作者jessieptb (jessie)
站內BLAZERS
標題[情報]The free-agent class of 2009
時間Tue Sep 16 09:55:54 2008
http://www.xiaourl.com/?a7d93a
原文很長﹐我挑重點的列出來。
以目前的情況來看﹐有四支球隊會和拓荒者一樣在2009年夏天有空間隨意簽自由球員﹐
分別是雷霆、灰熊、熱火和遛馬。
假設明年的工資帽是6200萬﹐雷霆可能會有2500-3000萬的空間。灰熊會有1800-2400
萬的空間﹐取決於他們怎麼處理Hakim Warrick。遛馬如果放棄Danny Granger之外的
其他所有自由人將會獲得1100萬的空間﹐如果他們為Jamaal Tinsley找到下家空間可
能更大。熱火如果任憑Shawn Marion走人﹐會有1000萬的空間。
另外有兩支球隊山貓和木狼也存在低於工資帽的可能﹐但山貓需要放棄Raymond
Felton, Sean May 和Adam Morrison﹐木狼需要放棄Rashad McCants﹐可能性都不大。
拓荒者的空間在1500萬-3200萬之間﹐取決於Channing Frye, Steve Blake﹐Travis
Outlaw還有Martell Webster以及Ike Diogu的合同如何執行球隊選項和續約。當然
Miles的900萬算與不算也比較重要。(照最近的消息來看﹐Miles似乎恢復得很好﹖)
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擁有提前終止合同或者球員選項成為非受限自由人的球員
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1. Kobe Bryant, Lakers (ETO)
Last summer, when Kobe was pining for a trade, it look as though he would
tear up his contract in 2009 and likely leave the Lakers. Now, the Lakers
are poised to be a serious championship contender for the next few years.
You've got to believe Kobe's going to hang around for the ride.
2. Carlos Boozer, Jazz (PO)
Boozer is probably the biggest threat to leave his team next summer. He's
had his eye on Miami for some time, and with some maneuvering, the Heat
should be able to get far enough under the cap to deliver the dollars that
Boozer is looking for.
3. Richard Hamilton, Pistons (ETO)
Hamilton is not expected to opt out of his contract. He turns 31 in
February and is unlikely to earn more than the $11.6 million he's owed in
the final season of his contract. More likely, the Pistons will work out
some sort of extension with Rip.
4. Jermaine O'Neal, Raptors (PO)
There's virtually no chance of O'Neal opting out of his deal. He's owed a
whopping $23 million in 2009-10 and there's no way he could get anything
like that on the open market. O'Neal will be trying to work out some sort
of contract extension if he can prove to the Raptors that he's healthy.
5. Mehmet Okur, Jazz (ETO)
Okur is also an unlikely candidate to opt out of his contract. He, too,
would struggle to find more money on the open market. Like some of the
other players on the list, his goal is to work out an extension.
6. Hedo Turkoglu, Magic (ETO)
After Boozer, Turkoglu is the candidate most likely to opt out. He's coming
off a career year for the Magic, and if he can repeat his 2008 Most Improved
Player performance (19.5 points per game), he should be able to cash in
with a bigger deal next summer.
7. Jamal Crawford, Knicks (ETO)
It's hard to believe that Crawford would be willing to leave nearly $20
million on the table to opt out, but it's not inconceivable. If he has a
big year playing for Mike D'Antoni, it might be worth the gamble. Crawford
turns 29 in March and has never played for a winning team. If he thinks he
could get a longer-term deal for a better team, it might be worth the risk.
8. Eddy Curry, Knicks (ETO)
Curry is in a similar situation to Crawford's. Right now he's worth less
than what his contract is paying him, which means it's unlikely he'll leave
so much cash on the table -- especially with a perceived heart condition.
But the Knicks will be doing backflips if he decides to move on.
9. Anderson Varejao, Cavs (PO)
Varejao is another player who is quite likely to opt out. The relationship
between Cavs GM Danny Ferry and Varejao's agent, Dan Fegan, is rocky, and
unless Varejao has a terrible year, I think Fegan will try to get him moved
to a team that's willing to pay him more.
10. Al Harrington, Warriors (PO)
Harrington is unlikely to opt out. He's making more money than his
production suggests he deserves, and there will be just too much
competition in the open market for Harrington to score a big deal next
summer.
Other notables: Kyle Korver, Jazz (ETO); Zydrunas Ilgauskas, Cavs (ETO);
Ricky Davis, Clippers (PO); Kwame Brown, Pistons (PO); Etan Thomas,
Wizards (ETO); Mark Blount, Heat (ETO).
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受限自由球員
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1. Andrew Bynum, Lakers
If Bynum's surgically repaired knee is healthy and he comes back and
builds on what he was doing last season before he got injured, he'll
be a candidate for a max salary. There's no way the Lakers will let
another team outbid them for Bynum as long as he's healthy; he's the
future of the team.
2. Danny Granger, Pacers
Granger slipped on draft night three years ago because of concerns about
a knee injury. But he's proven he should've been a top-six pick. Granger
averaged more than 23 ppg for the Pacers over the last few months of last
season. He's the Pacers' brightest hope right now, which means they'll
likely have to give him a contract in the same ballpark as what Luol Deng
or Josh Smith got this summer.
3. Marvin Williams, Hawks
Williams has as much raw talent as anyone in the class of 2005, but he's
been frustratingly inconsistent in his first three years with the Hawks.
He needs a big year if he wants to earn anything close to what Granger or
Bynum might get next summer.
4. David Lee, Knicks
Lee is a fan favorite in New York and among coaches around the league. But
what is he worth? It sounds like new head coach Mike D'Antoni is unsure if
Lee is a great fit and the Knicks explored trading him this summer. Given
the Knicks' goal of getting under the cap in 2010, Lee might be the best
player on this list for another team to try to sign to an offer sheet. As
long as it's a substantial deal, I doubt the Knicks would match.
5. Josh Childress, Hawks
Childress shocked many in the NBA by deciding to bolt for Greece this
summer. If he plays well overseas, he'll be better positioned to get a
bigger contract offer next summer. However, it seems unlikely that
Childress will ever wear a Hawks uniform again. There's a lot of bad blood
on both sides concerning what went down this summer.
6. Raymond Felton, Bobcats
Felton has to be looking over his shoulder after the Bobcats made a
strong play for T.J. Ford and then drafted D.J. Augustin in the lottery.
Felton can dish out the assists but his poor shooting has hurt his stock.
If Augustin performs well this season, Felton will be another player some
team can snag with an offer sheet.
7. Charlie Villanueva, Bucks
Villanueva has talent. The question has always been about his heart. With
Yi Jianlian now playing in New Jersey, Villanueva should start seeing
significant minutes this season. If he produces (and plays a little
defense), he could land himself a big contract next summer.
8. Channing Frye, Blazers
After his first season with the Knicks, Frye looked like a star in the
making, but his last two seasons have been much less impressive. Still,
Frye is big, has some offensive skills facing the basket and is a decent
rebounder. If he ever started playing defense, he'd certainly be considered
a capable big man. The Blazers are looking for cap room next summer and
Frye isn't part of their core group, which means he's also a good candidate
to change teams next summer.
9. Nenad Krstic, Nets
Krstic was a borderline All-Star before an ACL injury set his career back.
He's now off to Russia to prove that he's 100 percent healthy and ready to
contribute. If he has a big year over there, NBA teams will come calling
next summer. But will they be willing to offer him as much money as he can
make in Europe?
10. Rashad McCants, Timberwolves
McCants is a good scorer and showed that he can be an excellent 3-point
shooter. But it appears he's really more of a sixth man than a dominant
2-guard. With Mike Miller and Corey Brewer on board, McCants could see
his production dip a bit this season.
Other notables: Jason Maxiell, Pistons; Nate Robinson, Knicks; Sean May,
Bobcats; Martell Webster, Blazers; Linas Kleiza, Nuggets; Hakim Warrick,
Grizzlies; Jarrett Jack, Pacers; Francisco Garcia; Kings; Luther Head,
Rockets; Ramon Sessions, Bucks; Johan Petro, Thunder; Ike Diogu, Blazers;
Jamario Moon, Raptors; Glen Davis, Celtics; Leon Powe, Celtics.
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非受限自由球員
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1. Shawn Marion, Heat
Marion is a super-talented forward with the ability to score, defend
and rebound. But he turns 31 in May and has seen his production slip
the past two years. Even if he puts up big numbers in Miami this season,
how much is a team going to be willing to spend on him, given his age
and reputation for being difficult?
2. Allen Iverson, Nuggets
At the age of 33, Iverson continues to fill up the stat sheet with points,
assists and steals. And, last season, AI posted his highest field-goal
percentage and lowest turnovers per game since his second year in the
league. He's still a dominant player, but two nagging questions will hurt
his case for a big deal: One, with the exception of that magical season
in Philly under Larry Brown, is Iverson a winner? Two, how much game does
he have left? Still, Iverson has one thing going for him that Marion
doesn't: He still sells tickets.
3. Ron Artest, Rockets
It's difficult to know where to place Artest on this list. If he stays on
his best behavior and helps the Rockets get deep into the playoffs, he's
going to make some money. He may not get four- or five-year offers, but
teams will come calling if his time in Houston is a success. On the other
hand, if Artest self-combusts, he's going to struggle to find anyone
willing to give him more than a one-year deal next summer.
4. Lamar Odom, Lakers
Odom will be one of the most coveted free agents on the open market. Phil
Jackson likes him, but with Kobe, Bynum and Pau Gasol on the roster, the
Lakers don't need him and might explore trades for him in the coming months.
Odom's penchant for disappearing in big moments (see: 2008 NBA Finals)
hasn't helped his rep in L.A. But he is a great team guy, he can rebound
the ball, he can initiate the offense and he doesn't need the ball to be
effective. If he doesn't stick in L.A., there will be a line of teams
waiting to snatch him up.
5. Rasheed Wallace, Pistons
'Sheed continues to be one of the most baffling players in the league.
When he's on, he's one of the best big men in the game. When he's off …
he can be way off. He turns 34 in September, which makes you wonder if
he's still worth the risk. Short of him making a jump to Charlotte --
he and Larry Brown remain close friends -- is there any other team in
the league that will be open to paying this guy?
6. Jason Kidd, Mavericks
Kidd continues to claim that the reports of his demise are exaggerated,
but I'm not so sure. He's a 35-year-old point guard who really started
to show his age last season. Rick Carlisle is going to try to get him
turned around, but I'm not sure he's the right coach for the job. There
will always be someone willing to give up some money for a point guard
with eyes in the back of his head … but if Kidd continues to slip, I
wonder if he'll be able to garner more than a midlevel deal next year,
should Dallas decide to move on.
7. Andre Miller, Sixers
Miller, at the age of 32, had one of the best seasons of his career in
2007-08. While many (including me) were calling for GM Ed Stefanski to
trade him to create more cap space, Stefanski held on to Miller and rode
him to an unexpected playoff berth. Now with Elton Brand in the fold, the
Sixers should be formidable. The team has been trying to get Miller locked
up to an extension, and once Miller decides to hire an agent, he should
move off this list.
8. Chris Wilcox, Thunder
We continue to use Wilcox and the word "upside" in the same sentence,
but it's probably time for that to end. By now it is fairly clear what
he is -- a super-athletic big man who still relies on dunks for a lot of
his points. He is not a great defender and doesn't look like he'll ever
be more than a solid contributor. But given the constant need for talented
big men in the league, some team is going to want him. OKC is developing
Jeff Green and Kevin Durant to be its frontcourt of the future, which
should leave Wilcox looking for new digs next summer.
9. Mike Bibby, Hawks
Bibby was decent as the Hawks' starting point guard at the end of last
season, but it's hard to see him making anything near what he's made
the last few years. The Hawks are a young team still searching for a
long-term answer at the point. Bibby is a nice stop-gap for 18 months,
but I doubt he's got a long-term future in Atlanta unless he's willing
to take much less next summer.
10. Drew Gooden, Bulls
Gooden is coming off the worst year of his career, and it couldn't be
worse timing. With the Bulls still trying to develop young players like
Tyrus Thomas and Joakim Noah, it's unclear what role Gooden will play
this season. Still, he's a legit power forward who rebounds well. He may
not be the headiest player in the league, but he is a talented 4.
Other notables: Trevor Ariza, Lakers; Anthony Parker, Raptors; Zaza
Pachulia, Hawks; Jeff Foster, Pacers; Brandon Bass, Mavs; Marquis Daniels,
Pacers; Wally Szczerbiak, Cavs; Joe Smith, Thunder; Stephon Marbury, Knicks;
Grant Hill, Suns; Stromile Swift, Nets; Robert Swift, Thunder; Rasho
Nesterovic, Pacers; Keith Bogans, Magic; Jason Williams, Clippers; Bobby
Jackson, Kings; Damon Jones, Bucks; Desmond Mason, Thunder; Chris Mihm,
Lakers; Jason Collins, Timberwolves; Jarron Collins, Jazz.
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不知道KP看中的是誰﹖XD
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