作者LaGregRoy (拓荒三本柱)
看板BLAZERS
標題[外電] realgm 的開季分析
時間Sat Oct 23 11:36:59 2010
2010-11 Season Preview: Portland Trailblazers
2009-10 Stats
Record: 50-32
Seeding: 6th in the Western Conference (T-6th best record)
Playoff Result: Lost to Suns in six games
What changed since June: Martell out, Matthews in (and no more Pritchslaps)
By re-signing Marcus Camby, it appeared Portland was going into the draft
with their rotation almost entirely identical. As it turned out, the Blazers
traded Martell Webster to Minnesota in a move that netted them Luke Babbitt
while also signing Wesley Matthews away from Utah once free agency started.
Matthews gives Portland the insurance and depth to handle Rudy Fernandez
however they like since their perimeter quality is strong with or without
him. Furthermore, Matthews has the versatility to mesh well with Brandon Roy,
though I worry about how they’ll keep teams honest from deep if they play on
the floor together.
Beyond those moves, Portland added depth pieces in Elliot Williams and Armon
Johnson, while Brit Joel Freeland continues to play in Europe. (Not that he’
d get any burn stateside)
Portland’s biggest strength: The interior
Brandon Roy stands as the best player on the team, but the interior is what
can take Portland into and beyond the second round of the playoffs. No team
in the league can match the defensive potential and impact of Marcus Camby
and Greg Oden over the course of 48 minutes, even as LaMarcus Aldridge’s D
leaves a ton to be desired. Having either Camby or Oden on the floor poses a
major threat to all of the Western Conference teams that heavily rely on a
big man to generate offense, a group which includes both LA teams, Utah,
Denver and Memphis.
Aldridge gives Portland a stretch element and he still has plenty of room to
grow as an all-around player. The backup power forward slot is still in flux
after the injury to Jeff Pendergraph.
Portland’s biggest weakness: Injures
Honestly, I tried and tried to think of a better weakness than this. Luckily,
this team has better roster balance and depth than the past few years, so the
potential for this team to be side-tracked by one or more injuries to
rotation players looms largest. Much of the vaunted depth here could be
shattered by Roy, Oden, Aldridge, or another rotation player going down for
an extended period of time.
This statement is true of every single high level team, yet Portland’s core
has a prior history (fair or unfair) that would make any NBA fan shudder.
The Big Question: Can Greg Oden stay on the floor?
Even after all of his woes, when Greg Oden is on the floor, he shows why he
was the #1 overall pick. A disruptor on defense and one of the best
rebounders in the league, Oden determines the ceiling of the 10-11 Blazers
and likely the franchise moving forward. If Oden can stay healthy and
continue to expand his offensive repertoire while reducing his fouls,
Portland could end this season as the biggest threat to another Lakers’
Finals visit in the playoffs.
Where the team fits in:
Portland stands as one of the major beneficiaries of Phoenix losing Amare
Stoudemire and Denver’s general uncertainty. This team should be better than
last year’s 50-win season if they can stay healthier than last year (which
seems extremely likely) while also being a more balanced and dangerous team
game to game. If the rookies and Matthews step up and make a quick impact,
they could be the #2 seed, though somewhere between #3-#5 is the most likely
outcome.
原文:
http://tinyurl.com/27shr35
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