[情報] Atlanta Braves Top 20 Prospects for 2011

[Roawen (嘴砲型的效率)]

By John Sickels

1) Julio Teheran, RHP, Grade A: Second only to Hellickson and Chapman in my
view.

2) Freddie Freeman, 1B, Grade A-: Great Triple-A performance at age 20 is
rare. You can make a case for a pure Grade A.

3) Mike Minor, LHP, Grade A-: Borderline B+. I think he can be a number two
starter. Right on the edge between those two grades for me.

4) Randall Delgado, RHP, Grade B+: Can also be a number two guy if all goes
well.

5) Arodys Vizcaino, RHP, Grade B: Would also be a B+ if not for health
concerns, but that's enough for me to hold him back a notch.

6) Craig Kimbrel, RHP, Grade B: You can make a B+ case if you don't mind
giving that high a grade to relievers. Future closer.

7) Matt Lipka, SS, Grade B: Lots of projection in this grade, but I like the
athleticism.

8) Carlos Perez, LHP, Grade B: Great power sinker, but small sample size and
some command issues mean I won't go higher than this without more data.

9) Brandon Beachy, RHP, Grade B-: Finished product, can be a number four
starter or a very good reliever.

10) J.J. Hoover, RHP, Grade B-: I've been a big Hoover supporter since he was
in junior college. I think he can be a durable inning-eater.

11) Andrelton Simmons, SS, Grade B-: Excellent defense and I think the bat
has a chance to improve.

12) Michael Dunn, LHP, Grade B-: Borderline C+. Should be a valuable
reliever, needs to lower the walks.

13) Todd Cunningham, OF, Grade B-: Borderline C+: 2011 will tell us a lot;
can his power increase?

14) Edward Salcedo, SS, Grade B-: Borderline C+. Extremely difficult to grade
and rank. Grade A tools, Grade D skills, could be a superstar but also has a
high chance to be a bust given his hacktastic approach. You could put him as
high as number nine depending on what you emphasize as an analyst.

15) Christian Bethancourt, C, Grade C+: Like Salcedo, there is high bust
potential here, especially offensively, but he's very young and has all the
tools, especially on defense.

16) Scott Diamond, LHP, Grade C+: Could be a very nice number four starter.

17) Steven Kent, LHP, Grade C+: Aggressive ranking, but Australian lefty
could break out huge in 2011.

18) Mychal Jones, SS, Grade C+: Not likely to hit for average, but does other
things well.

19) Benino Pruneda, RHP, Grade C+: Relief sleeper, good stuff, great K/IP
rate, only small size keeps him from being noticed.

20) Joe Leonard, 3B, Grade C+: I can't say I'm hugely impressed yet; defense
is rough, needs better strike zone judgment.

21) Brett Oberholtzer, LHP, Grade C+: Love the K/BB ratios.

22) Adam Milligan, OF, Grade C+: Love the power potential, but strikes out a
lot and health problems have slowed his development.

23) Paul Clemens, RHP, Grade C+: Numbers don't stand out on the surface, but
I think he could be a sleeper.

24) Dave Filak, RHP, Grade C+: Interesting small college guy, need to see at
higher levels.

OTHERS OF NOTE: Juan Abreu, RHP; Willie Cabrera, OF; Erik Cordier, RHP;
Dimaster Delgado, LHP; Brett DeVall, LHP; Cody Gearrin, RHP; Phil Gosselin,
2B; Cody Harrilchak, OF; Cody Johnson, OF; Willie Kempf, RHP; Chris Masters;
LHP; Tyler Pastornicky, INF; Cory Rasmus, RHP; Elmer Reyes, 2B; David Rohm,
OF-1B; Zeke Spruill, RHP.

Here you have the classic Atlanta Braves pitching depth, granted there will
be some injury attrition. Other than Freeman, I'm not that impressed with the
available hitting. Lipka, Simmons, and Jones should help cover middle infield
needs in the coming years, but the shortage of useable power remains an issue
and much rides on bats like Salcedo, Milligan, and Leonard living up to their
potential despite big issues with their approach.

***********************

QUICK PRIMER ON GRADE MEANINGS:

Grade A prospects are the elite. They have a good chance of becoming stars or
superstars. Almost all Grade A prospects develop into major league regulars,
if injuries or other problems don't intervene. Note that is a major "if" in
some cases.

Grade B prospects have a good chance to enjoy successful careers. Some will
develop into stars, some will not. Most end up spending several years in the
majors, at the very least in a marginal role.

Grade C prospects are the most common type. These are guys who have something
positive going for them, but who may have a question mark or three, or who
are just too far away from the majors to get an accurate feel for. A few
Grade C guys, especially at the lower levels, do develop into stars. Many end
up as role players or bench guys. Some don't make it at all.

A major point to remember is that grades for pitchers do NOT correspond
directly to grades for hitters. Many Grade A pitching prospects fail to
develop, often due to injuries. Some Grade C pitching prospects turn out much
better than expected.

Also note that there is diversity within each category. I'm a tough grader;
Grade C+ is actually good praise coming from me, and some C+ prospects turn
out very well indeed.

Finally, keep in mind that all grades are shorthand. You have to read the
full comment for my full opinion about a player, the letter grade only tells
you so much. A Grade C prospect in rookie ball could end up being very
impressive, while a Grade C prospect in Triple-A is likely just a future role
player.

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◆ From: 123.204.77.1
推 silentk     :Lipka排第七是他太強，還是我們農場野手太弱
推 RubenGotay  :普遍分數都比前幾年還要高。。。
→ Roawen      :Lipka天份不錯阿 之前高中都還兩棲 現在專心攻棒球
推 synchron    :Lipka在那個位子應該是因為天賦, 明年整年之後就會
→ synchron    :看的比較有個真正的樣子了.
→ synchron    :不過我們的農場, 真的高階SP RP都不缺, 真的有處理掉
→ synchron    :川上的必要, Minor, Beachy, Diamond, Kimbrel, Dunn
→ Roawen      :JS今年對勇士的農場評價算頗高 尤其是打者 我看除
→ Roawen      :了Freeman外其他人要在BA拿到高評價應該很難
→ synchron    :再下去一點還有Teheran, Delgado, Vizcaino
→ synchron    :打者部份...就是天賦  天賦  天賦..開不開竅都不知道
→ silentk     :剛選進來的第二輪就排野手第一，希望他長快一點
→ silentk     :不然後年可能SS要找打工仔
推 larusa      :Tyler Pastornicky是哪筆交易從藍鳥換過來的?
→ larusa      :目前已經在2A  1989年12月出生的
推 NomoLee     :Pastornicky是從古巴那筆交易而得到的
→ larusa      :所以藍鳥一口氣給了我們兩個SS
→ silentk     :sorry沒注意到他，看MiLB成績 SO比A Gon少AVG差不多
→ silentk     :幾乎沒Power，便宜用個三四年不成問題
→ OalexO      :Beachy終於上榜了
推 synchron    :皇家的也出來了, Moore在那邊做的真不錯
推 RubenGotay  :皇家把Gordon 移到外野應該是要把位置給top prospect
→ searoar     :我覺得拿Mclouth換B.Butler有機會過耶
推 searoar     :或是送一些SP prospect過去
→ Roawen      :McLouth換得到Butler? 除非同花打得過福羅浩斯..
推 RubenGotay  :麥老師換David .ok 但是換得到嗎XD
推 RubenGotay  :Rasmus 他弟潛力如何
推 synchron    :仔細看了一下..3A的stephen marek沒上榜
→ synchron    :他在3A當RP的成績也挺好的說...鐵爺唯一留下的東西了
推 yslin6      :真想看Heyward+McCain+Freeman的中心打線= =