Re: [選秀] 2012選秀: Day 1

[ColbyRasmus (Raz)]

附上BA球探報告，括弧內為BA排名。

19.

(8) Michael Wacha, rhp, Texas A&M

After the consensus top three college pitchers (Stanford’s Mark Appel,
Louisiana State’s Kevin Gausman, San Francisco’s Kyle Zimmer) go off the
board, Wacha could be the next one selected. He owns the best changeup in the
draft, a pitch that can be devastating when he sets it up with a 90-93 mph
fastball that peaks at 96. His command also is as good as any pitcher in this
crop, as is his competitiveness. He also has an athletic 6-foot-6, 200-pound
frame and delivers his pitches on a tough angle to the plate. The only thing
keeping him from being considered on the top tier of college arms is the lack
of a plus breaking ball. Wacha made progress with a slider last summer under
the tutelage of Team USA pitching coach Rob Walton, and he also throws a
curveball. Wacha generally sticks with whichever breaking pitch is working
best on a given day. Both pitches can get loose at times and project as no
better than average at the big league level. Despite that one shortcoming, he
still could find his way into the first 10 picks. He may not have the ceiling
of Appel, Gausman or Zimmer, but Wacha has a higher floor.

http://youtu.be/rsH31_RiXJw

高中版Zack Cox。很多方面看起來很好，控球好，變速球好，耐操。但他沒有變化球。這
個問題就夠讓人頭大了，使他只會是個輪值後段先發。

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23.

(51) James Ramsey, of, Florida State

Scouts have called Ramsey the Tim Tebow of Florida State baseball, referring
to his leadership, strong Christian faith and big-play ability, and Seminoles
coaches don’t shrink from the comparison. The first player under 33-year
head coach Mike Martin to wear a “C" on his uniform as team captain, Ramsey
spurned the Twins as a 22nd-round pick last summer, turning down more than
$500,000 from a club that wanted to shift him to second base. He has moved
from right to center field as a senior and got off to a blistering start, and
he was batting .401/.536/.731 to lead the Atlantic Coast Conference in all
three categories. Scouts see Ramsey as much the same player he was last year,
with average to above-average tools but no true plus tool. He’s an
above-average runner who might be able to stick in center field, though some
scouts question his instincts and doubt he could stick there in a larger home
park. He has an average, accurate arm sufficient for right field. Ramsey has
average power but may not have corner power. He’s a safe bet to be a big
leaguer, with scouts split on just how much impact he’ll have. He has yet to
play the infield, but another club might want to follow the Twins’ lead and
try him at second in a Jason Kipnis redux.

http://tinyurl.com/88fkh82

車神二代。

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36.

(26) Stephen Piscotty, of/3b, Stanford

For the teams that value track record, Piscotty has been a consistent
performer. He’s hit well all three years at Stanford, hit well in the Alaska
League after his freshman year and led the Cape Cod League in batting last
year. Piscotty has a strong frame at 6-foot-3 and 215 pounds. He has a soild,
line-drive approach at the plate and projects as more of a doubles hitter
than a home run threat. Piscotty’s bat profiles better at third base than it
does in a corner outfield spot. But if he has to move there as a pro—which
is likely, since he moved to the outfield midway through the season at
Stanford to make room at third for freshman Alex Blandino—then it’s a
tougher profile as a righthanded hitter with limited power potential.
Piscotty has a strong arm and is a fringe-average runner and scouts like his
makeup and work ethic.

http://youtu.be/d-TYuPmiZVk

Casey Blake類型。

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52.

(161) Patrick Wisdom, 3b, St. Mary’s

While most scouts like Wisdom’s defense and makeup, this spring has raised
questions about how much he’ll hit. Scouts who believe in him point to his
track record, which includes a .351/.423/.582 line last year and a
league-leading seven home runs in the Alaska League last summer, when he was
the league’s No. 2 prospect. They see a solid hitter with above-average
power. This year, however, he was hitting just .254/.380/.435. Scouts who don
’t believe in Wisdom don’t think he’ll have enough bat to profile at third
base, where he’s a strong defender with above-average arm strength. He is an
average runner who moves well for his size, and a great teammate with an
outstanding work ethic. Wisdom played some catcher in high school, and a team
may ask him to give that another shot.

http://youtu.be/hhBs8srKM9U

預計是四、五輪的球員

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59.

(66) Steve Bean, c, Rockwall (Texas) HS

The University of Texas landed two of the top three high school catching
prospects in its recruiting class, though neither Bean nor Wyatt Mathisen
figures to arrive on campus. Bean has raised his profile as much as any
prospect in Texas this spring, giving himself a chance to go in the top two
rounds of the draft. His standout tool is an arm that grades as a 65 on the
20-80 scouting scale. He’s improving as a receiver and projects to develop
solid skills in that regard. A 6-foot-2, 190-pounder, Bean offers offensive
potential from the left side of the plate as well. He makes consistent
contact and has the wiry strength to grow into decent power. While he’s a
below-average runner, he’s athletic for a catcher and plays with a lot of
energy.

http://tinyurl.com/85h893s

最好工具是臂力，捕手防守技巧有進步，打擊有潛力。這報告內容可以套用在每一個捕手
新秀上面。

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要講紅雀今年第一天的選秀成果，先搭配Jeff Luhnow在太空人的選擇。太空人選了
Carlos Correa、Lance McCullers。Correa的天花板加上現有表現，可以說是今年新秀中
最好。McCullers比較麻煩，原本投球動作太差，不過調整後開始有轉先發的可能，stuff
是本屆投手當中最好的一位，但是要求簽約金傳聞相當高。但Luhnow都選了這兩位高天花
板球員。

相較之下，Kantz (或是說紅雀整個團隊)在前六十順位五支籤的情況下，沒有選任何一位
具有明星潛力的球員。Wacha、Piscotty要是用來調配風險和潛力的平衡，會是很好的選
擇。但他們的天花板已經是五個人當中最高的了… 選Wacha時，大學投手更成熟的
Marcus Stroman、stuff更好的Chris Stratton都還在檯面上。Ramsey和Wisdom都是我想
砸電腦螢幕的選擇。第23順位選擇車神類型球員? 第52順位選打擊比Zack Cox還爛的三壘
手? 尤其是已經選了三壘手Piscotty之後又選個三壘手? 在Bean之前還有個德州高中捕手
Wyatt Mathisen，打擊好更多、工具更好卻沒選?

紅雀第一天的選秀可以跟蒙特婁博覽會1990年的第一輪慘況比了。當年他們第一輪有六支
籤，長最好的是Rondell White。我實在不懂，為什麼一定要選擇有問題的球員-沒變化球
的投手，糙老沒特別工具的角落外野手，沒守備沒砲管的三壘手，沒棒子的三壘手，風險
相當高、報酬不高的捕手。想壓縮預算可以理解，但不精打細算，就去買瑕疵品，差勁…

今年大學生已經夠爛了，偏偏我們愛選又選爛中之爛。少了小普，我們卻選了連明星賽都
搭不上邊的球員。

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※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) 
◆ From: 125.229.122.199
推 yenchenchou:Piscotty如果真能長成類似Casey Blake，還可接受...
推 hunterqiji:我有個疑問﹐我覺得3B幾年之內都應該是Freese的吧
→ hunterqiji:雖然守備差點﹐不一定能打滿整季﹐但正常的話應該能
→ hunterqiji:成為AS或者準AS的球員﹐為啥還要選這麼多3B呢?
→ hunterqiji:CF以及OF更迫切一點吧。
→ ColbyRasmus:位置不是問題，打得好球團一定想辦法弄位置，就像天使
→ ColbyRasmus:的Trout一樣
→ ColbyRasmus:CF去年選了三個，一個今年報銷，一個最快七月才能打
→ ColbyRasmus:一個春訓也受傷，要從短期聯盟開始
→ ColbyRasmus:我比較擔心投手，低階除了Jenkins，已經是完全空了
推 chopinlee:我也覺得位置不是問題，大小聯盟轉換位置非常正常，棒子
→ chopinlee:和速度相對起來至少要有一強項，不然就多選投手吧!
推 baronterry:看來只能勉強期待Wacha了..影片裡曲球感覺可以加強...
→ ColbyRasmus:球探希望他變化球進步已經希望很久了............
推 yenchenchou:真的打得好，轉換位置、別人轉換位置、交易都是選項
推 baronterry:我們農場比較會教有曲球的 說不定可以期待一下.....
→ ColbyRasmus:其實還有一個辦法可以救今年的選秀
→ ColbyRasmus:全部都不要簽，明年重選 - save/load大法
→ ajburnett:Wacha球太直了
→ ColbyRasmus:啊... Cox上禮拜比賽被觸身球打到腦震盪
→ ColbyRasmus:不過他應該不會缺席太久，補他位置的都預期只會短暫停
→ ColbyRasmus:留。補他的Garrett Wittles才剛從延長春訓上來補Jose
→ ColbyRasmus:Garcia的2A位置，馬上又被叫到3A。原本Garcia的空缺給
→ ColbyRasmus:Breyvic Valera，他將是目前德州聯盟第二年輕新秀
→ ColbyRasmus:Tyrell Jenkins肩膀疼痛，上半季不會再出賽
→ ColbyRasmus:這下低階真的空無一物了
→ ColbyRasmus:2010第一籤Cox腦震盪，第二個Seth Blair蹲DL蹲很久了
→ ColbyRasmus:Jenkins肩膀痛，第二輪Swagerty動Tommy John
推 baronterry:拜託Jenkins早日康復...回來後練功練成上來救救輪值XD
推 baronterry:還有全都不簽不就連掙扎都沒有就承認比90選還鳥了嗎XDD
→ ColbyRasmus:會跟那比較就已經夠鳥了 沒差
→ ColbyRasmus:川哥跟小摸都打電話恭喜狀元Correa
→ ColbyRasmus:啊哈，Carson Kelly!
推 kafen:our new scout knows he is not good at risky picks
→ kafen:instead of trying and failing, he went to a safer route
→ kafen:and of course, save some money. owners love it
→ ColbyRasmus:個人覺得選秀省錢沒必要，一年花的總價可能還不到一個
→ ColbyRasmus:中上自由球員的薪水
→ ColbyRasmus:尤其是現在好的球員跟母隊簽延長合約的情形增加
推 waitla:我覺得根本就是放棄國內選秀了 反正拉美球探部分這幾年搞的
→ waitla:還不錯 轉向搶國際FA吧
→ ColbyRasmus:不過簽下Taveras和Martinez的球探去海盜了 XD
推 hunterqiji:Carson Kelly算是一個好消息吧﹗
→ hunterqiji:Raz的愛將﹗
→ ColbyRasmus:太空人選了Rio Ruiz，Luhnow在我們這裡悶很久了吧 XD
推 baronterry:Carson Kelly does not want to pitch he wants to bat
→ baronterry:算是好消息??
推 waitla:Raz目前5-5  生涯第一次單場5安打