推 waitla:He still has time! 08/09 02:11
→ waitla:in baseball? Goldstein: Oscar....OSCAR XDDDD 08/09 09:24
推 hunterqiji:應該是Trout啊 08/09 11:23
→ hunterqiji:Oscar隻要好好練練﹐以後怎麼著也比Harper強 08/09 11:23
http://bullpenbanter.com/tyrell-jenkins-scouting-report/
Tyrell Jenkins
RHP, Quad Cities River Bandits (St. Louis Cardinals affiliate – Midwest
League)
Game scouted: June 30, 2012 – First Third Bank Ballpark, Geneva, Illinois
Background: Tyrell Jenkins is a 2010 supplemental round draft choice by the
St. Louis Cardinals out of Henderson, Texas. Listed at 6’4” and 192 pounds,
he was noted in high school for his prowess on both the baseball diamond as a
pitcher and the football field as a quarterback, earning himself the
opportunity to play both sports at Baylor University. He never made it to
college, choosing to go pro in baseball out of the prep ranks after being
drafted 50th overall. After a promising if mildly erratic first full pro
season in the Appalachian League, Jenkins has had a rough Midwest League
campaign in his introduction to full season baseball.
Body:
Jenkins is one of the more impressive physical specimens that you’ll find on
any baseball field, with the sort of natural evident athleticism that is
typically seen only in tools-laden outfielders and shortstops. In describing
his physicality it is easy to fall back on his football pedigree as a guide,
but he has a fluidity and lightness to his movements that reminds me more of
a basketball player. Jenkins has a high and narrow waist with LONG tapered
legs, and he’s very lean with a strong core. His upper body shows signs of
maturation with shoulders that have broadened somewhat since his high school
days, but he remains projectable with considerable room to fill out. Indeed,
Jenkins will almost certainly need to get bigger and stronger to handle the
strenuous physical demands of being a major league starting pitcher, and thus
far the Cardinals have seemed to implicitly acknowledge that need by closely
monitoring his workload. With his build and athleticism, however, there
should be no worries about this part of Jenkins’ game; the kid is a flat out
stud in this regard, and he has all the physical gifts needed to mature into
a durable innings eater.
Mechanics:
This is the part of Jenkins’ game that really needs work, as his mechanics
are erratic and raw even by the standards of young, inexperienced pitching
prospects. He starts off nicely enough, using a smooth backstep with his
hands dropping to his waist as he rotates back, then coming back up as he
prepares to release the ball. He has a very pronounced and high leg kick,
which he seems to repeat with consistency; it could stand to be lessened
some, but at this point the kick seems to be more about timing and less about
effort, so I’m not too troubled for the moment. Where things start to go
wrong is in the pause that Jenkins has over the mound, causing his body to go
out of sync and leading to a multitude of issues that can crop up from pitch
to pitch. What should be a smooth delivery often ends up being a little
herky-jerky, with inconsistencies in arm slot and release point. Between his
leg kick and a relatively long arm action in back, Jenkins is prone to
finding his arm coming in very late on the front side of his delivery; while
he has good arm speed and is able to compensate adequately for now, which
allows him to keep the ball down, this is nonetheless a serious flaw that
should be addressed. When he’s at his best, Jenkins throws from a high ¾
arm slot, although it can drop at times and reduce his extension. For all
this, he actually holds up okay with runners on, an observation borne out by
the similarities in his peripherals between the windup and the stretch. There
is a fair bit of visible effort in his delivery, particularly from the
stretch, but there is time to smooth things out. I’d start by finding ways
to speed up the tempo of his delivery.
Fastball:
Jenkins has a good looking fastball, even if the velocity wasn’t quite in
line with other accounts I have seen. In this particular outing he topped out
in the vicinity of 93-94 mph and worked comfortably a little less than that,
in the 90-92 mph range. I recognize those numbers may disappoint some who
might have been expecting a mid-90s sizzler, but there is room for that
velocity to bump as he grows into his body and refines his mechanics. Even
better is that Jenkins’ fastball is a lively one, with good sink. He’s
capable of getting good run on his fastball away from right-handed hitters
and in on lefties; lefties have not hit well Jenkins this year (.205 BAA),
and with his fastball capable of inducing weak contact against them, it’s
easy to see why that is the case. On its own merits Jenkins’ fastball should
certainly be a plus pitch, although I’ll admit I’m a conservative one when
it comes to grading and would want to see a little more before tabbing it as
a future 7 offering. I did believe that his fastball played down a little,
however, due to a tendency to overly aim his fastball for strikes. The result
was a fastball that is much more hittable than it really should be,
particularly for righties who are willing to take it to the opposite field.
Curveball:
The curveball is Jenkins’ primary secondary offering, and it showed
impressive potential. It’s not quite a true power curve, coming in at 76-78
mph, but it has the spin and break to be at least a very good major league
offering. Like most young pitchers, Jenkins doesn’t throw his breaking ball
with pitch-to-pitch consistency, but this is not likely to be a long-term
problem. It has remarkably good depth, and considering that it is thrown from
Jenkins’ high arm slot, this 12-to-6 curve comes in on a tough downward
plane. Perhaps most impressive of all, Jenkins even flashes the ability to
throw his curveball in the strike zone, making it a trustworthy second pitch
in his repertoire that can project to higher levels of competition. I am wary
of being too effusive in my praise here, because there are certainly things
to improve on, but Jenkins’ weaknesses with his breaking ball are of the
type that aren’t uncommon in pitchers of his age and especially experience
level. He needs to develop consistency with it, he needs to make sure he’s
keeping his arm slot and arm speed in tune with his fastball when he throws
it, and he needs to throw it for strikes. In other words, weaknesses that
stand to resolve themselves positively with more experience.
Changeup:
Perhaps not surprisingly, Jenkins’ changeup lags behind his fastball/curve
combo, but there is some room for optimism here. The good news is that he
seems to have heard of what a changeup actually is and what it is supposed to
do, which automatically puts him in relatively good standing for this level.
He flashes the ability to get it around the plate and he kept it low, both of
which are nice to see. Unfortunately the pitch really doesn’t do much at
this point, coming in pretty hard velocity-wise and lacking the life of a
quality offering. I do not believe that Jenkins’ changeup projects to be
more than below-average at the major league level, but it could be useful as
a show-me pitch if thrown for strikes. An optimist may take the view that
with the fundamental issue of throwing strikes addressed, it may prove easier
for Jenkins to add movement to his changeup down the road. For now, I’d
rather err on the side of caution, especially when it comes to the volatile
subject of the changeups of young pitchers.
Overall Control & Command:
I would say that Jenkins looks to have above-average to plus control, with
fringe-average to average command. A lot will depend on his mechanical
consistency, of course, but que sera sera. He demonstrates commitment to
throwing strikes to both sides of the plate with all of his pitches, and he
keeps the ball low. In fact, he does these things well enough to the point
where it may actually work against him to some extent; batters seem to lock
on to him fairly well, and a more “effectively wild” approach involving
better use of high fastballs to keep batters off balance may help his stuff
play to its true potential. It’s worth noting that Jenkins seems to miss low
with his pitches (often due to overthrowing) more than he misses up. The
better defenses that Jenkins will be pitching in front of at higher levels
will no doubt benefit him given the number of ground balls he induces, as
well. He shows flashes of solid command, but more often he displays a lack of
finesse that is owed in part to his inconsistent mechanics and in part to his
inexperience. I am admittedly uncertain that he can make the adjustments that
will be needed to succeed, and a breakthrough does not appear to be in the
near future. Lest I sound too negative, I would stress that these are simply
the issues that an organization must contend with when developing a very raw
and inexperienced arm. They are by no means issues that compromise Jenkins’
potential in any way.
Summary:
In a way, Tyrell Jenkins is a player for whom it might be said that it is
probably best to just completely shut out of your mind for the next couple of
years. He is raw, very raw indeed, and barring a major injury his level of
performance is not likely to be very representative of his potential – so don
’t worry about it. He is still learning the basics of his craft, and while
he has a lot of work to do, that is at least in part a tribute to how good he
can be; optimal outcomes may very well involve breakthroughs of unexpected
sorts. Of course, we are still talking about a player who could find himself
struggling to get out of A ball. As such, Jenkins is an incredibly difficult
player to project, but given his inexperience and the progress he has made
already I think it’s just best to look at the talent and hope for the best.
Projection:
A talented if erratic No. 3 starter who can out-perform that label for
stretches at a time.
其實我自己還沒看完 XD
要懶一點做個比較的話，他很像James McDonald，體能好，天花板高。
但養成時間也是跟McDonald一樣，要很久，必須有耐心等他。
投球影片: http://youtu.be/Axwcslc8b2U
題外話，Trevor Rosenthal被BA評為德州聯盟最佳投手，真令人又意外又驚喜。
有得有失吧，Shelby Miller在PCL的最佳投手連被考慮都沾不上邊。
--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 218.173.213.245