Re: [閒聊] Verducci effect candidates 2011

[searoar (翹你的小鋼盔)]

※ 引述《Belladonaa (  )》之銘言：
: 這份名單是以球數、球種比例預測
: ＊ Previous year was first full year (2500+ pitches)
: ＊ Previous year was a significant leap vs. previous year in MLB pitches
:    (700+ pitches)
: ＊ Threw 15+% sliders

http://razzball.com/20-risky-pitchers-for-2011/
今年的爆量名單，不過這個沒有算到小聯盟的，也是參考參考
1.去年投球數增加700顆以上
2.第一年丟2500顆以上
3.滑球丟15%以上

#1 – Brett Myers
        MLB Pitches 2009-2010:  1,145 -> 3,457 (+2,312)
        2010 was first year > 2,500 MLB Pitches:  No
        Slider %:  28%

#2 – Bud Norris
        MLB Pitches 2009-2010:  954 -> 2,726 (+1,772)
        2010 was first year > 2,500 MLB Pitches:  Yes
        Slider %:  33%

#3 – Francisco Liriano
        MLB Pitches 2009-2010:  2,318 -> 3,021 (+703)
        2010 was first year > 2,500 MLB Pitches:  Yes
        Slider %:  34%

#4 – Anibal Sanchez
        MLB Pitches 2009-2010:  1,476 -> 3,234 (+1,758)
        2010 was first year > 2,500 MLB Pitches:  Yes
        Slider %:  25%

#5 – Ervin Santana
        MLB Pitches 2009-2010:  2,300 -> 3,561 (+1,261)
        2010 was first year > 2,500 MLB Pitches:  No
        Slider %:  37%

#6 – C.J. Wilson
        MLB Pitches 2009-2010:  1,299 -> 3,441 (+2,142)
        2010 was first year > 2,500 MLB Pitches:  Yes
        Slider %:  12%

#7 – Ian Kennedy
        MLB Pitches 2009-2010:  28 -> 3,170 (+3,142)
        2010 was first year > 2,500 MLB Pitches:  Yes
        Slider %:  5%

#8 – Chris Carpenter
        MLB Pitches 2009-2010:  2,670-> 3,549 (+879)
        2010 was first year > 2,500 MLB Pitches:  No
        Slider %: 20%

#9 – Phil Hughes
        MLB Pitches 2009-2010:  1,459-> 3,007 (+1,548)
        2010 was first year > 2,500 MLB Pitches:  Yes
        Slider %: 0%

#10 – Brian Duensing
        MLB Pitches 2009-2010:  1,322-> 1,885 (+563)
        2010 was first year > 2,500 MLB Pitches:  N/A
        Slider %: 20%

#11 – Brandon Morrow
        MLB Pitches 2009-2010:  1,254-> 2,523 (+1,269)
        2010 was first year > 2,500 MLB Pitches:  Yes
        Slider %: 15%

#12 – Mat Latos
        MLB Pitches 2009-2010:  869-> 2,965 (+2,096)
        2010 was first year > 2,500 MLB Pitches:  Yes
        Slider %: 23%

#13 – Jhoulys Chacin
        MLB Pitches 2009-2010:  211-> 2,304 (+2,093)
        2010 was first year > 2,500 MLB Pitches:  N/A
        Slider %: 14%

#14 – Jason Vargas
        MLB Pitches 2009-2010:  1,477-> 3,020 (+1,543)
        2010 was first year > 2,500 MLB Pitches:  Yes
        Slider %: 9%

#15 – Gio Gonzalez
        MLB Pitches 2009-2010:  1,829-> 3,370 (+1,541)
        2010 was first year > 2,500 MLB Pitches:  Yes
        Slider %: 0%

#16 – Jered Weaver
        MLB Pitches 2009-2010:  3,401 -> 3,713 (+312)
        2010 was first year > 2,500 MLB Pitches:  No
        Slider %:  17%

#17 – Ricky Nolasco
        MLB Pitches 2009-2010:  3,035 -> 2,476 (-559)
        2010 was first year > 2,500 MLB Pitches:  No
        Slider %: 23%

#18 – Jonathon Niese
        MLB Pitches 2009-2010:  402 -> 2,947 (+2,545)
        2010 was first year > 2,500 MLB Pitches:  Yes
        Slider %: 0%

#19 – Brett Anderson
        MLB Pitches 2009-2010:  2,816 -> 1,801 (-1,015)
        2010 was first year > 2,500 MLB Pitches:  No
        Slider %: 31.3%

#20 – Clay Buchholz
        MLB Pitches 2009-2010:  1,521-> 2,810 (+1,289)
        2010 was first year > 2,500 MLB Pitches:  Yes
        Slider %: 19%

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→ searoar:Latos儼然是facebook狀態...
推 BlueSunLight:Latos真的感覺爆定了  去年就一直這樣覺得.....
推 seeyou1002:Kennedy...
推 abc12812:Jonathon Niese，我只記得他補位一壘也會拉傷XD
→ fifth:Brett Myers以前就是DL常客 去年還敢這麼操啊
推 fluorine:這其實很微妙 因為這名單裡有些又是第三年的投手
→ fluorine:而很多人都看好第三年投手會有好表現 希望這樣有給Latos
→ fluorine:的主人一點信心 ^^
→ szza2000:沒信心才好啊，就可以低價標下