作者TZUYIC (Je T'aime Celine)
看板ForeignEX
標題[情報] 澳洲央行RBA決議降息2碼至3.75%!
時間Tue May 1 13:35:47 2012
先前搶進銀行「澳幣高利定存/活存」者表示:溫馨!?
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Ref.
http://www.rba.gov.au/media-releases/2012/mr-12-10.html
Media Release
Number 2012-10
Date 1 May 2012
Embargo For Immediate Release
Statement by Glenn Stevens, Governor: Monetary Policy Decision
At its meeting today, the Board decided to
lower the cash rate by 50 basis
points to
3.75 per cent,
effective 2 May 2012. This decision is based on
information received over the past few months that suggests that economic
conditions have been somewhat weaker than expected, while inflation has
moderated.
Growth in the world economy slowed in the second half of 2011, and is likely
to continue at a below-trend pace this year. A deep downturn is not occurring
at this stage, however, and in fact some forecasters have recently revised
upwards their global growth outlook. Growth in China has moderated, as was
intended, and is likely to remain at a more measured and sustainable pace in
the future. Conditions in other parts of Asia softened in 2011, partly due to
natural disasters, but have recently shown some tentative signs of improving.
Among the major countries, conditions in Europe remain very difficult, while
the United States continues to grow at a moderate pace. Commodity prices have
been little changed, at levels below recent peaks but which are nonetheless
still quite high. Australia's terms of trade similarly peaked about six
months ago, though they too remain high.
Financial market sentiment has generally improved this year, and capital
markets are supplying funding to corporations and well-rated banks. At the
margin, wholesale funding costs have declined over recent months, though they
remain higher, relative to benchmark rates, than in mid 2011. Market
sentiment remains skittish, however, and the tasks of putting European banks
and sovereigns onto a sound footing for the longer term, and of improving
Europe's growth prospects, remain large. Hence Europe will remain a potential
source of adverse shocks for some time yet.
In Australia, output growth was somewhat below trend over the past year,
notwithstanding that growth in domestic demand ran at its fastest pace for
four years. Output growth was affected in part by temporary factors, but also
by the persistently high exchange rate. Considerable structural change is
also occurring in the economy. Labour market conditions softened during 2011,
though the rate of unemployment has so far remained little changed at a low
level.
Recent data for inflation show that after a pick up in the first half of last
year, underlying inflation has declined again, and was a little over 2 per
cent over the latest four quarters. CPI inflation has also declined, from
about 3½ per cent to a little over 1½ per cent at the latest reading, as
the weather-driven rises in food prices in the first half of last year have,
as expected, now been fully reversed. Over the coming one to two years, and
abstracting from the effects of the carbon price, inflation will probably be
lower than earlier expected, but still in the 2–3 per cent range.
As a result of changes to monetary policy late last year, interest rates for
borrowers have been close to their medium-term averages over recent months,
albeit tending to increase a little as lenders passed on the higher costs of
funding their books. Credit growth remains modest overall. Housing prices
have shown some signs of stabilising recently, after having declined for most
of 2011, but generally the housing market remains subdued. The exchange rate
remains high even though the terms of trade have declined somewhat.
Since it last changed the cash rate in December, the Board has maintained the
view that the setting of policy was appropriate for the time being, but that
the inflation outlook would provide scope for easier monetary policy, if
needed, to support demand. The accretion of evidence over recent months
suggests that it is now appropriate for a further step in that direction.
In considering the appropriate size of adjustment to the cash rate at today's
meeting, the Board judged it desirable that financial conditions now be
easier than those which had prevailed in December. A reduction of 50 basis
points in the cash rate was, in this instance, therefore judged to be
necessary in order to deliver the appropriate level of borrowing rates.
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Enquiries:
Dr Christopher Kent
Assistant Governor (Economic)
Reserve Bank of Australia
SYDNEY
Phone: +61 2 9551 8800
Dr Guy Debelle
Assistant Governor (Financial Markets)
Reserve Bank of Australia
SYDNEY
Phone: +61 2 9551 8200
Media Office
Information Department
Reserve Bank of Australia
SYDNEY
Phone: +61 2 9551 9720
Fax: +61 2 9551 8033
E-mail: rbainfo@rba.gov.au
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