推 Cold5566:推 04/05 18:14
推 neohippie:全篇講的就是對岸反映冷淡，因為認定臺灣的經濟依賴大陸 04/05 18:24
推 oxasshole:老實說,不想被統一,除了反對,要想辨法擺脫對中經濟依賴, 04/05 18:33
→ oxasshole:否則就會落得跟上一代民進黨一樣,喊爽的,完全沒對策,希 04/05 18:33
→ oxasshole:望年輕人能了解這點 04/05 18:33
是一篇彭博的文章，講對岸較為冷淡的反應，不想翻譯了，自己慢慢看啦
China's Reaction to Taiwan Protests? Eh.
Bloomberg: http://bv.ms/1eaLM4m
Once, if more than 100,000 people had marched through Taipei to oppose
closer links between Taiwan and Mainland China, Beijing's response would
have been predictable: an angry, high-level reminder that time was running
out for Taiwan to rejoin the motherland peacefully. Ten years ago, Taiwan's
then-president Chen Shui-bian -- who had a particular talent for infuriating
Chinese leaders with his pro-independence views -- drew a nasty rocket from
his mainland counterpart Jiang Zemin. China's president told a People’s
Liberation Army conference that Taiwan’s status had to be resolved by 2020,
adding that China’s military was perfectly capable of squashing Taiwan's
then-resurgent pro-independence movement.
Apparently, times have changed. In the two weeks since student protesters
seized Taiwan’s national legislative chamber to condemn a trade agreement
that opens up Taiwan’s service industry to mainland investment (and
competition), Chinese state media have been strikingly calm. This most
likely indicates strategy, of course, rather than ambivalence. Chinese
authorities -- keenly aware that threats against independent-, if not
independence-minded Taiwanese mostly succeed in alienating them -- have in
recent years taken a gentler approach to promoting reunification. Athletic
exchanges, increased tourism, and summits are in. Threats, ultimatums, and
deadlines are out.
Superficially, Taiwan has seemed perfectly content to accept this "friends
with benefits" approach to cross-Straits relations. And why not? The
benefits are obvious (no more ultimatums, for starters) and there is no
pressure to commit.
In retrospect, however, it's clear that Taiwan's discomfort with this
increasingly intimate relationship has been growing, and was probably bound
for a reckoning. The breaking point was reached over what should have been a
minor issue -– a trade agreement on services -– that came to evoke much
bigger questions about the island's ultimate relationship with Communist
China. Protests are spreading: After 100,000 Taiwanese marched through the
capital on Sunday, demonstrators are expected to march on campuses in North
America this weekend, holding sympathetic pro-democracy demonstrations.
If anything seems guaranteed to set the mainland's itchy anti-independence
officials on edge, it would be events like these. Yet the prevailing
sentiment that China seems to be projecting is studied indifference. This
might be a pose. But if so, it’s an awfully confident one built largely on
two intertwined ideas: first, that Taiwan’s economy is in decline, while
China's is ascendant; and second, that the economic imbalance between the
two makes reunification inevitable.
By this logic, Taiwan faces a stark choice: if it wants to improve its
stagnant economy, it needs to deepen the relationship with China, Asia’s
economic engine. On Monday, the state-owned Global Times newspaper,
ordinarily a reliably hawkish voice on Chinese sovereignty issues -- among
which Taiwan holds pride of place -- gave voice to this more nuanced
argument in an editorial that struggled at times to restrain its
schadenfreude:
“The long-term stagnation of Taiwan’s economy has made it fall behind Korea.
The root cause is that Taiwan doesn't dare to have real cooperation with
the Mainland while Korea doesn't have such concerns. Taiwanese students and
their supporting forces ignore the root issue and instead vent their anxiety
and confusion on the trade pacts. This kind of emotion is characteristic of
a community gripped by depression and hysteria.”
The problem, in other words, is all Taiwan’s. And to solve it, Taiwanese
need to accept what everyone else in Asia has already admitted is
inevitable.
It’s difficult to say just how prevalent this perspective is outside of
official circles. Early in the protests, Chinese social media users seemed
to view the unrest as one more example of a young democracy struggling with
stability, and took particular umbrage at the support given to the movement
by Taiwanese celebrities with Chinese audiences. But social media interest
in the protests has declined precipitously in recent weeks, overtaken by
the ongoing investigation into the disappearance of Malaysian Airlines 370.
Meanwhile, this weekend, as Taipei was swarmed by protesters, Chinese
Internet users ignored the demonstrations (and other breaking news) and
instead focused on a celebrity extra marital affair that -- by the end of
the weekend -- had set new records for comments and shares on Sina Weibo.
It’s possible, of course, that in between discussing the scandal of the
moment, Chinese Internet users paused to consider the question of whether
Taiwan was slipping out of the mainland's grasp. But like their government,
they appear to regard the Taipei protests as nothing more than bumps on the
fast track to reunification.
--
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※ 文章網址: http://www.ptt.cc/bbs/FuMouDiscuss/M.1396692613.A.B1B.html
※ 編輯: ted5566 (222.65.122.53), 04/05/2014 18:11:43