推 jajakang:這一期的移民專題也很值得一讀。 01/10 03:41
→ jajakang:好不容易看到台灣出現了，看到標題，心卻涼了 01/10 03:42
→ mlkj:其實以最近出現在標題的情況來說 這次算好了 01/10 20:02
→ mlkj:移民好像是上期的沒記錯的話 01/10 20:03
http://www.economist.com/world/asia/displaystory.cfm?story_id=10443144
好久未在亞洲的欄位下看到台灣的消息了
這是公開不需訂閱的 應該不會有版權問題
每次看完國外報導 總是很感嘆 人家怎麼寫的這麼平鋪直敘
翻譯http://blog.pixnet.net/mlkj24/post/12721026
Vote, vote and vote again
Economicst Jan 3 2008
WITH the new year, election season has arrived in Taiwan. Parliamentary
and presidential elections loom in the next three months. As always, the
government in Beijing will be watching keenly. The first contest, on
January 12th, is for Taiwan's legislature. The opposition Nationalist Party,
the Kuomintang (KMT), which favours better relations with the mainland, is
expected to retain its majority.
The KMT hopes a decisive victory will give it momentum for the big prize,
the presidency, to be decided on March 22nd. Ousted in 2000 after five decades
in power, the KMT is desperate to win it back. Its hopes were raised on
December 28th when a court rejected an appeal against the acquittal on
corruption charges of Ma Ying-jeou, the party's former chairman. This
cleared him to contest the presidency.
The ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), on the other hand, is planning
to use its expected defeat to argue against a concentration of power in KMT
hands. Its presidential candidate, Frank Hsieh, will remind voters of the
authoritarianism that marked KMT rule in the 20th century.
Turnout may be no more than 60%, low by Taiwan's standards. Years of political
mudslinging between the big parties have brought disillusionment and apathy.
And unfamiliarity with a new electoral system may also deter voters. Taiwan has
adopted a “single-seat, dual vote” system similar to those used in Japan and
Germany. Voters will choose one direct representative per constituency and a
preferred party to provide “at-large” members of parliament. There are 113
seats, of which 73 are directly elected, 34 at-large and six reserved for
aboriginal candidates. The KMT is expected to win 60-65 seats, the DPP 35-45.
In 2005 the constitution was amended to halve the size of the legislature.
The idea was to make it less chaotic and prone to fisticuffs. But the new
rules are likely to result in a body stacked with local powerbrokers who care
little about national policy. Intending to break the two-party dominance of
Taiwan's rough-and-tumble political system, Lee Teng-hui, a former president,
has urged voters to opt for minority parties. He even hopes the emergence of
a third force in local politics could produce another presidential candidate.
The legislative-election campaign has been dominated by two issues. One is
the DPP's drive to expunge from Taiwan symbols of Chiang Kai-shek, the KMT
leader, who led its retreat from mainland China in 1949. This week, the
Chiang Kai-shek memorial hall in Taipei reopened as a “democracy memorial”,
highlighting the human-rights abuses of his regime.
Second is a procedural dispute over two referendums to be held with the
election. One, initiated by the DPP, relates to the KMT's “stolen assets”.
The other, introduced by the KMT, which this week nevertheless called a
boycott of both referendums, covers alleged corruption by the DPP and
President Chen Shui-bian.
More important for the DPP than the issues themselves is the chance to settle
procedures for yet another referendum, to be held at the same time as the
presidential election. It will ask whether Taiwan should apply for membership
of the United Nations using the name “Taiwan” rather than its antiquated form
al title, “the Republic of China”. This appeals to the DPP's core supporters,
who see themselves as Taiwanese, not Chinese. So it is a device both to win
votes and raise turnout. But it alarms China, which sees it as a step towards
a formal declaration of Taiwan's independence—an event China has said could
provoke an invasion. So China, as usual, will be rooting for the KMT. In Taiwan
, that is not an advantage.
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