新國王

[pennykidd (竟然家鄉也有小白)]

看了下戰績表  今年國王應該最高是第十順位  合理的預估是在11~15之間 前九名敗場數
實在太驚人  國王要追上真的不太可能 而關於人事異動 莫過於阿泰是否跳出合約 而這
又卡到選秀的因素 如果國王再選個搖擺人進來 我想立場就很明顯了 如果選PG Beno的
未來也會有影響  今夏是一個蠻關鍵的時間點 BB走後 目前國王五虎已經汰舊換新完畢
新的國王會考慮到五個人磨合及互補的需要 因此在交易或續約 甚至選秀時都會有所影響

這邊有個重點思考問題：

1.Martin & Beno：這個組合是我們未來想要的後場嗎？今夏有機會好好來思考。還是這

  只是今年過渡時期的權宜之計？這個組合後場防守相當薄弱。如果馬丁不可動搖 那麼

  PG的防守能力要求就要高些。今年的待選PG中 我們的順位能選到的PG都是個子比較矮

  小的（低於6-3）唯一有那麼一點機會的人選是OJ Mayo。這位6-5的雙能衛。但是如果

  選他勢必壓縮馬丁出手次數 我不認為他跟馬丁會是好的搭檔（反倒是跟Garcia較適合）

  派崔向來選天分在需求之前 若OJ掉到國王面前 將會是能選到最有天賦的球員 也因此

  交易馬丁或許不是絕無可能 如果我們選得到 OJ Mayo。 OJ ＆ Cisco 的組合？Maybe!

2.不管阿泰今年走不走（今年不走 明年應該也會走 除非今夏續長約） 我都認為國王還

  沒有等到SF的那個人。鮭魚和Cisco都是SG 打SF 高度厚度略嫌吃虧 如果要保留馬丁

  那麼選來一位6-8以上的SF是必要的 就算不壯 至少也要像活塞小王子一樣擅於防守

  而今年就有一位人選：法國小子（容後說明）

3.Hawes是設定在中鋒嗎？老實說 Hawes今年的表現是有些令人失望的。除了偶爾的進攻

  好表現之外 他的身體不夠結實 這也是他為何無法待在國王的輪替裡頭 無法得分沒關係

  但是基本的身形沒有出來 而正好教練是注重防守的 大米若非去年夏天雪恥減肥 我相信

  他無法今年有好表現  體能是基本要求 有球評在擔憂 如果Hawes不能在今夏好好鍛鍊

  在注重防守的教練體系下明年依然無法得到上場時間（驚訝的是一屆新人還敢對外抱怨

  上場時間不多？真有種）偏偏今年兩隻長人RH 和HT 國王依然有機會選到 之前派崔選

  馬丁之後 隔年再選同位置的小賈 今年會再選一個中鋒嗎？然後Hawes改打PF？

There seems to be a consensus developing about the top 5 picks in the draft
(Beasley, Rose, Gordon, Bayless, Lopez) so looking at all the guys coming after
 that, and not knowing which spot we'll be drafting at, I compiled a top 10:

1. OJ Mayo - Considering his size, work-ethic, and already developed
   skill-set he seems like the guy with the highest ceiling outside of the top
   5. His defense is already good enough to place him amongst the best PGs in
   that category.

   OJ的聲勢會掉到十名之外還真是令人不可思議 但以天分來論 不選他要很有勇氣

2. DeAndre Jordan - This ranking has more to do with potential than anything
   else. His body type and athleticism draw comparisons to Dwight Howard. Still
   has a lot to learn though.

   此君我認為國王不可能選到，就算不是前五，也會是前十。但如果掉下來了，就要撿！

3. Donte Greene - I really like this guy. Watching him play, he looks like an
   NBA player. His size and shooting ability is comparable to Rashard Lewis.
   He's been bumped back to 2009 in some mock drafts though so maybe he's
   staying another year?

   再留一年？

4. Nicolas Batum - Looks like he could be a dominant wing player in the NBA.
   Excellent scorer and defender.

   法國小子 比較對象是Rudy Gay Grant Hill 全能SF 他會是國王的未來SF嗎？

5. Roy Hibbert - Throwback center with excellent size, basketball IQ, and
   scoring ability. Not a dominant defender, but a good one. He's not going to
   outrun anybody but he could be one of the best halfcourt centers in a few
   years.

   半場進攻很適合 但是已經大四了 進步空間已不太大 體能中偏上 團隊觀念良好

6. Marreese Speights - Ideal size for PF spot, draws comparisons to a young
   Al Jefferson. Not as developed in his post game, and similarly undisciplined
   on defense, but he's got all the tools to be a dominant PF if he can develop
   them.

   此君不熟 但是能類比為Al Jefferson 體能應該不再話下 但目前行情不明

7. Kevin Love - Size is not ideal for his position, but he's impressed with
   his toughness and competitive edge. Everyone talks about his outlet passing.
   He's slow and not particularly long but I rank him higher because he's less
   risky than a lot of these guys.

   白人PF 6-9 穩定但不會有太多期待 個人不希望選白人PF 體能是很重要的考量

8. DJ Augustin - Excellent scorer and playmaker, no question he can lead a
   team. He's going to get torched on defense though so I'd be hesitant to
   install him as the PG of the future.

   一樣的問題：身材  選來一個TJ Ford不如續簽Beno 好歹小烏有6-3

9. Danilo Gallinari - Not much is available on this guy but he gets glowing
   reviews from the various draft sites. A smart do-it-all wing player he can
   be a scorer or a playmaker. Can he hold his own defensively?

   6-9的白人前鋒 比較對象Hedo 但他的防守顯然一大問號 選他的話寧可選D.Arthur

10. Anthony Randolph - Lanky and skilled PF with good size and length but
    he's going to get pushed around on defense. Shows potential as a weakside
    shotblocker. Eerily similar to Brandon Wright.

    19歲 左手 6-11 他會是最令人難以放手的選擇 類比為C.Bosh等 賭對了會是下個KG

Guys I eliminated for various reasons -

Hasheem Thabeet (excellent shotblocker, but can he guard post players man to
man?) 據說今年是有了進步 但他跟Roy放對時 被打得有點難看 但身材是擺在那裡

Darrell Arthur (terrible passer, below average rebounder, basketball IQ is a
big ?) 籃板表現不夠滿意 但體能不錯 進攻手段優異 比較對象Dice SAR 目前大約15順位

Darren Collison (I'm a big fan of his defense, but his shooting ability is
questionable - at best probably a top backup PG (Brevin Knight?) and I think
we're looking for a starter in this draft) 最後一句是重點 我們需要能先發的PG

Chase Budinger (good shooter, set-up man, athletic but he plays SG which we
don't need anytime soon and his defense is average at best)

Ty Lawson (blazingly fast, good distributer but his size makes him a
liability on defense - like Collison he's probably a backup PG in the NBA)


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