Evans像誰？

[pennykidd (回到青蘋果的年代)]

http://www.hoopsanalyst.com/0809ew9.htm

1. Tyreke Evans, Memphis: I decided SG will be his ultimate place, rather
than point or combo. I know Memphis moved him to the point in late December
and the team took off after that move. But there were other factors fueling
that streak. Most important is the lineup change was part of a major lineup
shuffle that eventually saw Doneal Mack and Shawn Taggart replacing Wesley
Witherspoon and Pierre Henderson-Niles in the starting lineup. In short, when
Evans was playing PG it was with stronger teammates than when he was playing
SG. The second reason is Memphis’ non-conference schedule featured more
strong teams than their conference schedule. There were still some patsies,
but the 3 early losses came to Xavier, Georgetown and Syracuse, all superior
teams than anything they’d face in Conference USA. So the idea that Evans
blossomed when he moved to the point isn’t exactly correct. The team was
already winning the games they should win and losing games they could be
expected to lose. This was a team that lost a lot of talent to the NBA over
the summer and they spent the first couple of months of the season
transitioning to a new lineup. Once they found the right mix the team took
off, but Evans was pretty much the same player in March that he was in
December:


Tyreke Evans  2 pt pct  3 pt pct  P40  A40  A/TO   RSB40
 Nov-Dec       .519       .277   26.1  6.3   1.1   12.4
 Jan-Mar       .512       .273   21.8  4.8   1.1    9.9


He was actually a little better during the early months, which is probably a
case of a player fattening up stats against weaker competition, something
every major college player does.

The reason I like Evans so much as a prospect is his high RSB40 number. He
finished at 11.0 which led all major college guards in this draft. It’s a
stat that might indicate the dominant athleticism needed to excel at the next
level. Here are other major college freshmen SGs who also surpassed 10.0 RSB40:


Player          2 pt pct   3 pt pct   P40   A/TO  RSB40

Dwayne Wade      .505        .346    24.4   1.2   13.9

Ray Allen        .548        .402    23.4   1.1   10.9

Jerry Stackhouse .493        .100    23.3   0.8   12.8

Eddie Jones      .517        .351    17.4   1.0   10.2

Joe Johnson      .496        .368    20.1   0.8   10.3

Doug Christie    .600        .255    14.6   1.2   11.2

Tyreke Evans     .514        .274    22.9   1.1   11.0


Wade was actually a year older at the time, having missed his freshman year.
This was his initial NCAA season though. The top 5 were all-stars at least
twice in their careers. Christie had a long, productive career. Buckner and
Richardson have been solid role players. Stith and Burrell hung around the
league until their 30s with unremarkable careers. As for the others, Clack
and Moten were listed as guards, but seem more like SFs. Clack was heavy for
a guard at 230 lbs. Seals never got his FG pct. over .400 in 4 seasons and
such players rarely make it. Blunt regressed after his freshman year. The
problem in looking at some of these prospects, is all I have are numbers and
whatever information I can find by googling. But it’s not uncommon in
college basketball for a 6’3” forward to be listed as a guard. I suspect
this is the case with Moten, Seals, Clack and Blunt. Richardson was more of a
forward in college and was only able to transition to the pros because he
developed a nice 3-point shot. These players just weren’t quick enough to
play guard at the next level and not tall enough to play SF. Evans doesn’t
have that problem. He’s definitely quick enough for the guard spot, so I see
his career going much more like that of the top 6 than anything.


It would be a very good thing for his career if he could get that 3-pointer
to fall more often. I think he probably can. He was hovering around .300,
when a 4-30 slump to finish the season knocked him down to .274. There’s
have been no shortage of NBA guards who shot less than .300 from behind the
arc as college freshmen, but went on to become at least adequate long range
shooters including, but not limited to: TJ Ford, Jason Kidd, Keyon Dooling,
Derek Fisher, Mo Williams, Greg Buckner, Fred Hoiberg, Derek Anderson, Doug
Christie, Allen Iverson, Gilbert Arenas, Jerry Stackhouse, Larry Hughes and
Jason Richardson.

One more thing I wanted to add on Evans is how impressive it was how well
Memphis played this year with him as the star. This was a team that lost the
best player in the nation in Rose, their leading scorer in Douglas-Roberts
and their best inside player in Dorsey. Evans was the only major addition,
yet he had this team very close to gaining a top seed by the time the season
was finished. That they were upset by a very good #3 seed in Missouri in the
tournament is no shame at all. Tyreke Evans looks like a very good prospect
to me. He has good size and dominant athleticism. He moved comfortably into
the role of star on a good team and led them to a terrific season. He shows
all the characteristics of a future all-star SG.


Most similar players to Tyreke Evans:


Doug Christie,     sophomore:           .939

Donny Boyce,       sophomore            .898

Vonteego Cummings, sophomore:           .886

Shandon Anderson,  sophomore            .877

David Vanterpool,  sophomore:           .869


Boyce was a very good all-around player who could never get his shooting
efficiency to where it needed to be. Improving this area of his game will be
a key for Evans. Not an impressive group in general, but both Grant Hill and
Dwayne Wade were close at .845.


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→ eliczone:這樣是說最像DC的意思嗎@@"
推 Yocoldagain:Stackhouse!
→ Gunsroses:意思就是他是SG! 來看看灰狼的雙PG還是我們的雙SG強!
推 Sweeptime:推這個網站  作者對他評價還蠻公正的
推 a00779928:我感覺 他比較像 以前灰狼"為家打球"的Latrell Sprewell
推 a00779928:號稱 比阿泰更兇 的鎖吼手 希望Evans有他的球技
→ a00779928:不要有他的 鎖吼功
→ pennykidd:他的確有成為DC的潛力:體能,防守比Garcia更接近DC的原型
→ pennykidd:如果K＄打不到三號或國王三衛戰術不行的話 K$未來就堪慮
→ pennykidd:還是國王要仿造之前的先例 Rubio先去灰狼第四年再來國王
→ pennykidd:到時候再組成Rubio&Evans的後場 反正到時候兩人也才22歲
推 Sweeptime:不過這個作者太重視數據  有些地方會評估失真
→ Sweeptime:翻他前面的文章會發現對某些球員的介紹太簡單
→ Sweeptime:像 Thompson 就是  ^^
→ pennykidd:沒有數據他就很難分析的樣子XD小卡被他認為得分防守可能
→ pennykidd:還OK但傳球不好Brockman的籃板是他的強項但封阻能力不夠
推 Sweeptime:對阿  我覺得他提供一些不錯的點子  但最終評價還得斟酌
推 RonArtest93:這篇是說他認為EVANS比較像能發展成一個好SG大於好PG
→ RonArtest93:他指出曼菲斯並不是在他改打PG後才成為一隻常勝軍的
→ RonArtest93:他認為那跟EVANS改打PG一點關係也沒有  純粹因為
→ RonArtest93:EVANS有著SG+STAR上的能力才如此
→ RonArtest93:基本上他講的有憑有據  不好反駁什麼....
→ RonArtest93:但是5020篇的推文我也說了  曼菲斯根本沒將他當PG在
→ RonArtest93:用  這篇指出的證據都是說他能成為個好的SG
→ RonArtest93:但沒有辦法同樣證明他不是個好PG (只看助攻失誤比就
→ RonArtest93:失真了 ) 所以我們仍然可以假設他仍然有潛力成為好
→ RonArtest93:的雙能衛  誰說有好的SG潛質不能同時有好的PG潛力呢?
→ RonArtest93:只是一切待開發跟證實罷了  不過無論如何  好文章  推
→ pennykidd:基本上交易來Sergio就代表國王沒打算只把Evans放在PG 他
→ pennykidd:們希望多的是能打多個位置的人 如果Evans跟Garcia搭替補
→ pennykidd:應該會很適合Evans持球攻擊Cisco防守而Sergio因為需要持
→ pennykidd:球跟K$搭配會比較能把彼此的優點發揮出來我相當期待這組
推 hunight:其實Coach Cal的DDM系統中 誰是PG或誰來組織 不是太重要
→ hunight:重點是有那個能力切入和持球才是重點 Memphis原先設定的是
→ hunight:A.Anderson 他傳球有一點 但持球技巧和切入能力很普通
推 hunight:我覺得這篇講的不無道理 但也有點問題就是 Memphis在給
→ hunight:Evans更多空間之前 確實打的不怎麼樣 給Evans也不是沒有陣
→ hunight:痛磨合 但確實是給Evans更多空間之後 Memphis才打的比較
→ hunight:樣一點
→ hunight:最明顯的例子 在移往PG之後 Memphis剛開始還只贏Tulsa一分
→ hunight:過一陣子再次交手 直接把Tulsa打趴到翻過去還有剩
推 hunight:Evans真的做好PG工作了嗎? 其實只是在DDM系統下魚幫水 水
→ hunight:幫魚而已
→ hunight:說戰績和球員完全無關或歸功於誰 都有點太武斷
→ sneak: 不過這個作者太重視數據 https://muxiv.com