2013 MLB Draft: Mock draft, top ten picks

[alex710707 (霹靂雷霆震霪霧)]

http://www.fishstripes.com/2013/6/4/4394226/2013-mlb-draft-mock-draft-top-ten-
picks

1. Houston Astros - Kohl Stewart (RHP, St. Pius X HS, TX)

As we learned last year, the Astros' new  regime led by GM Jeff Luhnow won't
be easy to predict on draft day. For the second consecutive year, Houston
owns the first overall pick and once again, nobody really knows where they'll
end up going. This is exactly why I have them taking local prep righty and
Texas A&M football commit Kohl Stewart. Stewart's arsenal on the mound
includes a power fastball, good slider, and developing changeup. At 6'3", 205
lbs., Stewart's athleticism (combined with his natural stuff) is what gives
him the potential to be a future ace. At this point, he's still very raw and
is much more of a thrower than a pitcher (something that's evident when
watching video), but with some tinkering to his mechanics, Stewart could
become dominant at the pro level. With Stewart added to the fold, and fellow
Texan Lance McCullers, Jr. from the 2012 class, the Astros could eventually
have two local prep stars anchoring the top of their rotation.

2. Chicago Cubs - Jonathan Gray (RHP, Oklahoma)

Most of what's been written about the Cubs' draft strategy entering this year
has essentially been "they'll take the pitcher that the Astros don't take
between Mark Appel and Jonathan Gray." Well, guess what! Because of my crazy
idea of Houston taking Kohl Stewart with the top pick, now they get their
choice of either! I think that in this scenario, Gray could very well be the
pick. I've graded the life on Gray's upper-90's (occasionally 100+ mph)
fastball as STUPID, and you should, too. He's got all the tools to become a
future ace and Chicago is dying to get more pitching into their system. In
addition, Gray's recent Adderall incident even gives him a 90 grade for his
Focus tool.

3. Colorado Rockies - Mark Appel (RHP, Stanford)

Last year, the Appel fell pretty far from the tree, if the tree is the first
overall pick where many expected Appel to be drafted. But after Scott
Boras-ing his way out of Pittsburgh, Appel returned to Stanford for his
senior season. In 16 starts for the Cardinal, Appel posted a 2.56 ERA and
struck out 130 in 123 innings of work. Appel is one of the elite players in
this class and I think it's highly unlikely that we see any drop like he
experienced last year. The Rockies would probably be surprised if Appel fell
to them and wouldn't hesitate to take him if he was still on the board.

4. Minnesota Twins - Kris Bryant (3B, San Diego)

Let me give you a brief history of a third baseman from the University of San
Diego. Discovered by the German scouts in 1904, they named him "Kris Bryant,"
which of course in German means "a whale of a hitter." Alright, that's enough
jokes for this capsule. Third baseman Kris Bryant was not discovered by
German scouts, but instead will hear his name called very early on draft day
this Thursday. Bryant has light tower power and his 31 home runs this season
were tops in Division I by a wide margin. By adding Bryant to the system, the
Twins would make a case for having three of the top twenty prospects in
baseball with Bryant, Miguel Sano, and Byron Buxton.

5. Cleveland Indians - Colin Moran (3B, North Carolina)

It seems like North Carolina keeps churning out "pure hitters" year after
year, and Colin Moran is one of them. There have been rumors of the Astros
considering Moran with the first overall pick and while I'm sure Houston has
done their homework on each of the players in the top five, I don't think
Moran is on the "elite" level of the players above. The Indians have liked
drafting advanced college bats in the past and Moran has the potential to
move quickly through the system.

6. Miami Marlins - Clint Frazier (OF, Loganville HS, GA)

Add the sixth overall pick to the list of grievances that the Marlins can
file against the baseball gods. With five "elite" prospects in the draft,
there's a chance that the Marlins will have to make their selection with all
five of those players off the board. That in no way means that the Fish can't
find a great talent to add to their system. Clint Frazier is a great talent.
Frazier has five-tool potential in the outfield and has some of the highest
upside of any player in this class. What stands out when you watch video of
Frazier is his absurd bat speed, something that could translate to big power
at the professional level. The Marlins haven't been hesitant to draft prep
bats before and I gotta admit, a potential future outfield of Marcell Ozuna,
Frazier, and Giancarlo Stanton sounds awfully impressive.

7. Boston Red Sox - Braden Shipley (RHP, Nevada)

It's unclear where Boston will go with the seventh overall selection but
"best player available" seems to be the most likely scenario here. Nevada
righty Braden Shipley is the best pitcher left on the board at this point in
the mock. Shipley has a nice fastball-changeup combo, although he'll need to
improve his command if he's going to be successful at the pro level.

8. Kansas City Royals - DJ Peterson (3B, New Mexico)

I wrote words about Peterson potentially going to the Marlins at number six
last week (link here) but what do you know, things have changed! Peterson has
put up an absurd slash line this season and is one of the most underrated
college bats in this class. The power and how it'll translate at the pro
level is the only question and because he's likely to only be average
defensively, he could potentially have the opportunity to DH for an American
League club. One report I read compared Peterson to current Royal Billy
Butler. The Royals already have a Billy Butler. Now they can have two and two
is always better than one (unless you're golfing).

9. Pittsburgh Pirates - Reese McGuire (C, Kentwood HS, WA)

Reese McGuire stands out as a catching prospect primarily for his incredible
defensive skills and it's part of the reason he probably won't make it out of
the top ten. The Pirates have drafted well in recent years and adding McGuire
to the system would be an even bigger boost. The only thing that could go
wrong for the Pirates' draft this year is if Mark Appel fell to them and they
took him again. That would be awkward.

10. Toronto Blue Jays - Austin Meadows (OF, Grayson HS, GA)

Another Georgia prep star, Austin Meadows' power potential make him worthy of
a top ten pick and the Blue Jays would likely be thrilled if he made it to
this spot. His athleticism makes you believe that he can stick in center field,
which makes him even more valuable if he's able to reach said power potential.
Fun fact: Meadows' school (Grayson) and Frazier's (Loganville) are just 5.3
miles apart. Not so fun fact: that fun fact means absolutely nothing when it
comes to figuring out where the two players will be drafted on Thursday.

雖然Kohl Stewart是比Collin Moran能接受的選擇,但今年這種鳥深度太空人不選
Jonathan Gray或是Mark Appel而去搞去年那套有點不智
看今年太空人會怎麼選也蠻有趣的

http://0rz.tw/nTuHb
補上BA的mock draft

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※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 211.73.186.174
→ ByronBuxton:我好奇你為什麼覺得選Gray或Appel一定比Stewart好？
→ ByronBuxton:你可能沒聽過一些球探長的話
→ alex710707:Stewart天花板高風險也高 Gray跟Appel天花板不會低到哪
→ alex710707:Stewart不確定性很高耶又有糖尿病
→ ByronBuxton:糖尿病不會有多大影響，去問 Morrow 就知道
→ alex710707:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yMhZQJxcCAY
→ cd12631:Morrow那樣算沒影響嗎? 當時在水手就因為糖尿病害高層對他
→ cd12631:定位不明 應該多少有拖到他的養成進度吧
→ alex710707:控球方面 明顯的壞球也是偏多 我不懂為何Gray跟Appel
→ alex710707:哪裡比他更差
→ ByronBuxton:Raw Stuff和體能贏那兩個，控球現在他還很嫩，只要好
→ ByronBuxton:好養，3-4年他有可能是這屆最好的投手
→ uranusjr:Stewart 的 upside 不會比較差可是價格差很多
→ ByronBuxton:Gray和Appel是大家的明智的選擇，但如果你想在40順位
→ alex710707:天花板高我不否認啊 但Appel跟Gray不會比他差到哪
→ ByronBuxton:賭Ryan Boldt這種掉下來的，就一定是他
→ alex710707:如果天花板沒差多少 為何選風險高很多的高中投手
→ alex710707:Stewart是那種賭到就是超級王牌 沒賭到就bust的
→ alex710707:純討論啦 禮拜五就能知道結果了
→ ByronBuxton:Jim Callis的昨天有回答Stewart和Bradley誰較強？
→ ByronBuxton:他選高中時期的Stewart
推 pejahuang:Gray的事件會讓他下跌很多吧?
推 q224222:11年的統一洋投羅伯特也有糖尿病
→ q224222:還不是能旅台(誤)
→ alex710707:是嗎? 我看外電好像影響不大耶
→ alex710707:Buxton可以把Jim Callis講的貼一下嗎 我沒看過
→ alex710707:http://0rz.tw/nTuHb
→ alex710707:Jim Callis昨天做的Mock Draft也是先選Appel
推 sky419012:Stewart是棒足雙棲?
→ alex710707:對啊  他還有大學獎學金當後路
※ 編輯: alex710707      來自: 211.73.186.174       (06/05 00:09)