[情報] Cardinals in trouble after Greinke's g

[abc12812 ()]

http://tinyurl.com/kwrokbu

There isn't a whole lot of analysis needed for the Dodgers' 6-4 victory over
the Cardinals in Game 5. Zack Greinke scuffled early and then dominated his
final four innings, the Dodgers hit their first four home runs of the series
(two from Adrian Gonzalez), Joe Kelly pitched more like the guy with shaky
peripherals than the guy with the 2.69 ERA, and Brian Wilson and Kenley
Jansen finished it up in the final two innings. (Well, Jansen didn't exactly
finish with gusto, allowing two runs and allowing the go-ahead run to get to
the plate, finally striking out Adron Chambers -- on a questionable call --
to end it.)

Greinke's final line looked like he cruised through seven innings: 104
pitches, six hits, even fewer instances of hard contact, and striking out
four while keeping the Cardinals off-balance with his fastball that touched
94 and that slow curve -- he throws it, on average, a couple miles slower
than Adam Wainwright's curve, but seems to vary the speed more than
Wainwright does. But the Cardinals had two big opportunities against him.
They loaded the bases in the top of the first with two soft singles and a
walk, but Greinke fanned Matt Adams on a 2-2 curveball and induced Yadier
Molina -- who would have a terrible game -- to ground into a 5-3 double play.

The one stretch where the Cardinals did damage could have been prevented with
a little better luck -- or maybe better defense. After the Dodgers had taken
a 2-0 lead in the second, Matt Carpenter grounded a single to right with one
out in the third. The Dodgers don't shift much; with a shift, Mark Ellis
makes that play, although to be fair Carpenter's hit chart on groundballs has
enough spray to it that not going into a severe shift is defensible.

Carlos Beltran then tripled high off the wall in center field. A tough play
to be sure, but the ball did have enough hang time that it could have been
caught. Andre Ethier, an obvious liability in center, didn't come close to
getting back on it, and when Yasiel Puig didn't back up the carom, Beltran
coasted into third. Matt Holliday doubled to deep left-center, and while
Dodgers fans on Twitter were calling for Ethier's head, I'm not sure Willie
Mays catches that one. The Dodgers then did shift for Matt Adams, who broke
his bat and hit a soft grounder to second, an easy play for Ellis in a
regular alignment but an infield single with Ellis playing deep.

Game tied, runners at the corners with one out, four straight hits, the
Cards' offense finally alive. Greinke then got what was the key out of the
game. He fell behind 3-1 to Molina, but Molina bounced back the mound on a 93
mph two-seam fastball, an easy 1-4-3 double play. (Molina would strike out
his other two plate appearances.)

Anyway, the Dodgers are alive and if we do a quick look ahead, they have a
pretty good chance of winning this series, even though it returns to St.
Louis for the final two games.

1. Clayton Kershaw starts Game 6. Don't have to say much about that. Yes, the
Cardinals counter with Michael Wacha, who has allowed one run in his two
postseason starts, striking out 17 in 14 innings. Still, the pitching edge
has to go to the Dodgers.

2. Hyun-Jin Ryu would then start Game 7 against Wainwright. Yes, on paper the
edge goes to Wainwright, but Ryu beat him with seven shutout innings in Game
3. Remember, the Cardinals hit much better against right-handed pitching --
.280/.343/.412 versus .238/.301/.371 against lefties, and that line against
includes Allen Craig, who is out injured. Having two left-handers starting
the next two games is a big advantage for the Dodgers.

3. Cardinals bats are still struggling. They did get 10 hits on Wednesday,
raising their average for the series to .177. But several of the 10 hits were
flares, one was an infield single and one came when Puig lost a ball in the
sun.

4. The Cardinals' bench remains a huge weakness. With the game on the line in
the ninth inning against Jansen, Mike Matheny had no better option than to
leave in Pete Kozma, one of the worst hitters in the majors in the regular
season. He kept the rally going with a little flare but pinch-hitting for the
pitcher was Chambers.

The Dodgers have their own problems -- Ethier is a liability in center and
hasn't hit and Hanley Ramirez certainly appears bothered by that cracked rib.
St. Louis should still rate the favorite playing at home where they went
54-27, but it looks like a toss-up to me. I think this series goes seven and
I think Game 7 is decided late -- don't be surprised if Greinke is used at
some point -- and comes down to the bullpens.

-----
棒子很冷 沒有板凳 還要連兩場面對不擅長應付的左投先發

紅雀會連兩年雖敗猶榮嗎?

--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) 
◆ From: 140.112.25.133
→ hunterqiji:紅雀輸是正常﹐贏球是爆冷﹐道奇payroll高太多了
推 EEERRIICC:道奇的陣容真的比較猛...
→ hunterqiji:payroll高的優勢是即使有幾個球星進DL陣容仍然很強
→ hunterqiji:看紅雀﹐Craig傷了後Adams先發﹐板凳就沒人了
→ hunterqiji:道奇兩連勝已經無懸念
→ bluegates:道奇也不一定能從wacha跟wainy手上討到便宜
推 gluo:Wacha季後賽真的超殺..道奇打線要幫幫忙才有機會
推 carrhung:期待Wacha再上演一次驚奇
推 loveeve:我倒認為紅雀會晉級  那種屎運太強
推 IMDH:G7是WAINY先發 還有人看衰喔
推 ocean11:哀兵政策吧 明明現在是紅鳥領先
推 JakeMcGee:Wacha在主場超強耶XDD
→ searoar:道奇傷了matt kemp板凳也沒人了
推 ck3300511:道奇陣容這麼強 紅雀輸也正常
→ ck3300511:板凳都菜鳥
推 STARKS3:第六戰 道奇贏面大  我不相信挖恰可以連封鎖道奇兩場..
→ ck3300511:是挖咖不是挖洽
→ STARKS3:估計大約是五局失三分左右的表現..就看書僮能否正常發揮了
推 bkm1:第六場我對克蕭有把握 但是第七場柳胖就....Wainy是大賽選手
→ STARKS3:打道第七戰很難說  不過紅鳥有主場還有ace出馬  經驗豐富.
推 o0991758566:我覺得紅鳥比較猛  打線太變態了
→ STARKS3:加上柳胖的季後賽經驗    看好紅鳥七戰勝出.. 道奇加油!!
→ pokey:過往記錄不過是結果統計出來的  比賽打了才知道
推 a502152000:季後賽不到比賽結束前都很難說 連MO都砸鍋過了
→ x24627785:無懸念wwww 話別說死
推 scimonster:進第七場又是wainy主投 就可以看到wainy狂吼了 XDDDD
推 ck3300511:科蕭先發贏定了
推 egria:前幾樓怎麼都是紅鳥版的在打預防針XD  期待紅鳥晉級啦~
→ searoar:紅鳥迷都有M屬性
推 alex2426chen:1996那次對勇士最後三戰只得一分丟32分  去年對巨人
→ alex2426chen:最後三戰也是只得一分丟20分  昨天得四分丟六分 XD
推 metalguy:我也看好紅鳥 屎運太強
推 TSbb:要低調也別反串阿，講一堆違心論可以在隊版
→ TSbb:來總版故意唱衰自己支持的隊伍有什麼意義嗎?
→ best2008:國聯 美聯 會不會都可以打G7呢 期待
推 newest:通通打到G7賭盤賺比較多啊
推 rererere5566:噓文救紅鳥,只能噓到
推 ck3300511:開示了!
推 loveavril08:我猜紅雀4：3勝出
推 condition0:紅鳥迷怪怪的..
推 secpeda:根據川哥G7打包的狀況 我猜道奇會勝出
推 chl001:無所謂, 但是我想看G7 XD
推 ievolfun:同樓上 只想看G7 XDD
→ davidqqq:hunterqiji:道奇兩連勝已經無懸念 <--哪來的那麼肯定阿..
推 yp60802:紅鳥季後賽太多傳奇了 看好紅鳥 道奇有年輕人的變數
推 ck3300511:紅鳥菜鳥帶了一堆
推 SergeIbaka9:阿就看好道奇不行喔 誰跟你反串
推 TSbb:資深鳥迷反串釣中新警察鳥迷 wwww
推 ck3300511:反串成什麼?
推 SergeIbaka9:資深鳥迷沒反串也能釣中新警察彌彌
→ SergeIbaka9:wwww
推 ck3300511:我問TSbb
推 SergeIbaka9:I know ^^
推 ck3300511:這年頭還有亂用崩潰跟反串的人喔wwww
→ mightymouse:這不叫反串啦,這是常見的老球迷"假唱衰"自我催眠心態
→ mightymouse:故意說對方比較有勝算,如果贏了加倍爽,如果輸了也可以
→ mightymouse:自我催眠雖敗猶榮
推 TSbb:這老球迷都知道啊，像中信鯨當初就很有名心中無勝負歡樂看球
→ TSbb:不過還真的有人以為是真看好，還急著解釋 XD
→ TSbb:搞不清楚就開分身崩潰 QQ
→ TSbb:不過糾察總長千萬別對我生氣唷 ><
推 ck3300511:推文前先查個字典喔^.^
推 toray:破解葛藍基不是要先用come on怒吼挑釁嗎？
推 pasaword:不要吵架囉
推 AK00627:不管是新警察還是老球迷都要乖乖喔
推 wwewcwwwf:小弟目前連四勝 這場我下紅雀拉
推 citcal:柳扛著韓國國家榮譽打大賽這麼多場了,可能越關鍵越硬
推 otaku5566:上次鳥迷也推文說wain大賽投手贏定了，害我輸光P幣
推 best2008:道奇贏啦 我要看G7啦...
推 dice4ksincos:紅鳥加油~~
推 sjvious:Wacha該爆一下了
→ wugi:沒意外應該是紅鳥紅襪打
推 Ryaa:go go power dodger !
推 Grammy:紅襪紅鳥加一
推 z2114422:被打臉囉LOL
推 ck3300511:我對科蕭有把握
→ ohmyya:想當年番薯騰的討論區經典標題 "決戰紅色十月"又要上演了
推 maikxz:ALCS打到G7的機率還不小
→ ck3300511:Oxxxxxxin:要睡覺的快去睡   第7場再出來看就好
推 zeropicher:打臉囉  朝聖推
推 SergeIbaka9:那屄屄你就安靜看球 就是愛唱衰^^
→ ck3300511:魔神掰了yayaya
推 TSbb:見證YA哥歷史 XDDDDDDDD
推 wwf80048:臉好腫喔  QQ