[閒聊] 3-1後的晉級機率

[liugayo (好玩)]

http://sunsent.nl/kjASel

Boston entered aware of what was at stake. Including the first round of these
2011 playoffs, there have been 199 series in which a team has trailed 3-1,
and only eight times has a team managed to bounce back to win the series. It
last happened in 2006 when the Phoenix Suns recovered from a 3-1 hole in the
first-round to defeat the Los Angeles Lakers.

199個3-1的系列對戰，只有8支球隊翻盤，前一次是2006年太陽逆轉湖人

翻盤機率是  8 ÷200 = 0.04

所以熱火晉級機率 96%


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我應該沒算錯吧!?

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◆ From: 118.170.28.217
推 wade1223:專業推
→ wade1223:機率比我想像中的高 我以為是千分之幾
※ 編輯: liugayo         來自: 118.170.28.217       (05/10 10:21)
→ dwyanelin:有4%會輸耶!!
→ wii128:一趴都不要給老賽機會
→ dwyanelin:覽趴也不要給老賽
推 zerostar:                 打
推 Rubymiddle:Push
→ idiotsmart:奇怪 我怎麼算是100%??
→ w61036:3-0才是100％吧
→ idiotsmart:XDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD我是對熱火有信心拉XDD
→ oshunter:我也覺得是100%
推 evilvens:衝啊!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
推 eric1989524:4% 很高的 熱火要加油!!! 不能給老賽任何機會!!!
→ sneak: 奇怪 我怎麼算是100 https://muxiv.com
→ sneak: Push https://daxiv.com