[外電]熱火是否能阻擋湖人的前場

[glaten (徐寶)]

http://ppt.cc/GTFJ

Just because we’re ten months away from the 2013 NBA Finals doesn’t mean that we can’t already make prediction pieces.

We did it last year and it turns out we were right in our overzealous predictions of the Miami Heat taking on the Oklahoma City Thunder. We may be on the right track again with the majority’s prediction of the Heat coming out of the East once again to take on the new-look Los Angeles Lakers. While nobody is counting out the Thunder or San Antonio Spurs, the Lakers have put themselves at a distinct advantage with the offseason moves they have made.

The Lakers offseason of 2012 could be equal to the Heat’s offseason success in 2010. While the Lakers may not have received the league’s best player, they still picked up the league’s top center in Dwight Howard through a four-team deal and also garnered arguably the league’s best pure point guard in Steve Nash. All the Lakers gave up in return for those two was Andrew Bynum, Josh McRoberts, Christian Eyenga, a 2017 first-round  pick, a 2013 first-round pick, a 2013 second-round pick, a 2014
second-round pick  and a 2015 first-round pick.

If there’s anything the Lakers lost out of this deal, it’s youth. The Lakers plan to win now with a 38-year old Steve Nash, a 34-year-old Kobe Bryant, a 32-year-old Pau Gasol and a 32-year-old Metta World Peace as four components of their starting lineup. Even their sixth man in Antawn Jamison continues this trend of stars past their prime, as he recently turned 36. Only Dwight Howard at 26 could be looked at as a formidable piece of the Lakers’ future.

So if there’s anything positive for other teams to look at when going against the Lakers, it’s that they won’t be around for long. In fact, the Thunder’s three stars are all 23-years-old or younger and will be the Miami Heat’s biggest foe coming out West. The Lakers will only cause a slight delay in the inevitable Heat-Thunder Final matchups, as age may be the only ideal that’s going to keep L.A. from becoming a surefire dynasty.

For now, however, we have to come to the realization that the Lakers are probably going to be a really good team next year. Because not only were they able to bring in Nash and Howard, but they were able to keep Pau Gasol as well. Gasol’s name was constantly being brought up in trade rumors–he was even a part of the rejected Chris Paul deal–yet he finds himself in the Laker gold that he’s already won two titles in.

The Magic, who came out of the deal looking the worst, was not looking for a star, thus the reason why Bynum is the only significant player from the Lakers who is now playing on a different team. It’s the ideal approach for the Lakers, as they traded away a center who has showcased a great deal of immaturity in the time he had spent with the team. Although Dwight isn’t much better, as long as he’s winning and satisfied, he can still conduct himself in a manner where he’s not attracting negative
attention.

Either way, the Lakers are a better team because of it. While some will state how Howard isn’t too significant of an upgrade from Bynum, who is the second best center in the league, we need to recognize that Dwight will be playing alongside Steve Nash and that means pick-and-rolls for days. Nash finished last year as the league’s leading pick-and-roll facilitator, while Howard finished at the top among players who scored on the pick-and-roll.
So, yeah, there will be a lot of pick-and-rolls in the Lakers’ princeton offense, and that could mean bad news for a team like the Heat that plays overly aggressive on defense. Miami is constantly attempting to force turnovers, whether it’s in the passing lane or at the perimeter, and that may not always work against a passer as skilled as Nash, who has consistently been one of the league’s top passing point guards over the past decade.

However, the Heat may not have a choice but to force turnovers; because they don’t have an individual answer for Dwight. While the team has shown success in the past defending him with just Joel Anthony or Chris Bosh, they’ve also proven to be unable to stop him when he’s playing aggressive and receiving touches. And that was with a Magic team that only ran isolation plays for Howard in the low-post; we can only guess as to how the Lakers will utilize Dwight in their new offense.
There will be a lot of movement to the Lakers offense and it may not be the best solution when going against a Heat team that also stays active on the defensive end. Miami has a number of players who are excellent at reading passing lanes and capable of disrupting the rhythm to any type of offense. In order to do so, however, they have to go for the head, who would be Steve Nash facilitating the majority of the plays.

The Lakers will probably employ the same tactic they used with Gasol and Bynum by posting Howard alongside Gasol, while also creating plays for Gasol to get his mid-range shot. The Heat will have no choice but to utilize LeBron James and his defense against Pau, if they don’t plan on signing a center who can take a few hits at Howard. Otherwise, they’ll need James and Bosh to guard the four and five, which creates mismatches on both sides.

The Heat will be hoping that leaving James and Bosh at the four and five will cause the Lakers to change up their lineup, since it will require Dwight to stray out to the perimeter in order to defend Chris. Miami will need to do all it can on the offensive end to drag Dwight and Pau out of the post in order to free up some drives. If the Heat can’t, the lane is basically shut down due to the length of Gasol and the sheer presence of Howard.

Even by himself, Dwight was a considerable defensive threat in Orlando. While Gasol may not be a defensive elite, he still has the length and size to cause trouble for slashers. Having Gasol on the other side of Howard means that the Lakers have stoppers on both sides of the rim, which is why it will be a necessity for the Heat to drag those two out of the post and out of their comfort zones.

There’s no doubt that LeBron James, Chris Bosh and Dwyane Wade will get their shots off, but they’ll need to force the issue inside and attempt to get the Lakers’ frontcourt members in foul trouble, much like they did with Tyson Chandler and Roy Hibbert in the first two rounds of last year’s postseason.

The biggest problem for the Heat when it comes to facing the Lakers will be on the defensive end, however. They don’t have any individual who can stop Dwight nor do they have a plethora of centers who can just bang down low with Howard. They can’t double-team because of the threat of four other players in the starting lineup who can score at will, which means they have no choice but to stop the Lakers before they get into their play.

Attacking Steve Nash will be the key. Miami must find ways to weaken him on both sides of the ball, so that the touches for Dwight are limited and the effectiveness of the pick-and-roll isn’t as prolific as it can be.

This could be the 2013 NBA Finals, so it wouldn’t come as a surprise to know the Heat are preparing for the Lakers upon the beginning of training camp.

大意:

前半段大概是說湖人雖然實力變強...但是年齡偏老..雷霆是年輕的肉體...

後半段說
如果我們沒補沒有大個子的話

攻擊端:要LBJ打4號對GASOL...BOSH打5號將DH拉到外圍 ....
       創造其它點攻擊機會..
防守端:不能包夾DH..因為湖人其他四隻都能夠輕鬆得分....
       要盡可能的對NASH施壓

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◆ From: 114.42.203.227
推 KingLBJ:DH只能盡量單防或用哈隊長犧牲打了
推 demon616:要把嘎獸或DH拉去外面沒那麼簡單 而且風險也大
→ demon616:即使雙塔失一塔 剩下的那個依然是有很強的籃板優勢
→ demon616:現在打到湖人 關鍵真的是三分射手群的穩定度
→ demon616:如果湖人真的變打法 打NASH擋拆 熱火就完了 湖人會強翻
→ demon616:我不是反科 但是 科比真的是湖人化學效應的關鍵= =
推 Timmons:假如能像Gasol所說的多導傳，那湖人幾乎無解。
→ Timmons:加強版的西班牙。
→ ken86607:小米粒哩?? 歐登勒???說好的大個子呢??
推 oeibei:如果要用駭客戰術我怕老包+J.A+小哈犯規不夠用
→ oeibei:至少多找一個C來幫犯規吧 XD
推 Tony12477:犯規?屁人已經準備好了
推 ignativs:熱火要贏，可能要像奧運那樣，三分神準
→ ignativs:沒有籃板，快攻很難打出來
推 ignativs:我認為關鍵在籃板
推 Gwendaline:Oden喔 他這幾天受訪有提到他依然試著新球季加入熱火
→ wangkun:這兩隊打冠軍賽很有話題性....
→ Gwendaline:重返戰場
→ Gwendaline:不過稍微瞄了一下報導加上7月時的消息 他看來現階段還
→ Gwendaline:是無法替球隊做出貢獻 健康仍有疑慮 就別指望Oden了
→ hater4life:這裡是熱火版還是湖人版啊? Lao-da不改擔心都是多餘的
→ hater4life:全部地方都被迷迷攻佔了QQ
推 z6a6:雖然湖人補的好，也是要接受雷霆的考驗阿!!
→ z6a6:實在無須過度反應，就像熱火補強，也要先斬賽、76、網、Bulls
推 MrHeat:湖人再好 也沒有當年F4來得誇張吧 F4都被活塞幹掉了
→ MrHeat:雖說那時候的活塞也都是一時之選 但也沒有現在的熱火旺吧
→ wangkun:樓上又在張飛打岳飛了...
推 MrHeat:拍謝喔 我看到湖人新陣容沒嚇到崩潰是我的不對 科科
推 aheartcool:明顯的腦補...↑
推 frankmaki:湖人陣容干我屁事..來哪一隊..就打爆哪一隊就對了..
噓 peterman167:Po文的就迷迷啊
→ peterman167:都快長駐火板了
→ pastyowl:給我小米粒
推 frankmaki:人家小米粒不想來..油頭也沒興趣了....
推 KingLBJ:打了就知道.囉嗦一堆~搞不好真的總冠軍賽我們碰不到湖人.
→ KingLBJ:湖人要衝出西區比我們要衝出東區難多了
→ KingLBJ:賽隊已不是威脅.公牛依舊沒外線.籃網這季還要磨合.
→ KingLBJ:76人倒是要小心一點.溜馬也是.但應該還是打不贏熱火
→ aibltjv:熱火表示:雷霆可以打敗湖人就好了
推 pttfft:湖人禁區兩座猛塔會讓我們很難切進去取分，不過他們後場真
→ pttfft:的檔得住我們嗎，不用說WADE，Kobe從去年開始防守就跟不太
→ pttfft:上年輕後衛，Nash防守爛也不是一天兩天的事，他們真的能檔
→ pttfft:得住Rio 甚至速度更快的Cole嗎? 我們切不進去還能分出來
→ pttfft:外線一堆三分砲塔在等著 雷槍、路易斯、巴爺、MM、JJ、甚至
→ pttfft:連控後巧莫斯也能貢獻三分火力，至於禁區方面 Bosh上季已經
→ pttfft:證明他能扛大中鋒，不過對上第一中鋒DH還是挺有難度，還是
→ pttfft:希望直銷之神萊里能補個大肉柱，Bosh也可以回到他最舒服的
→ pttfft:位置，LBJ也不用那麼辛苦扛PF，讓他更認真來得分、控場
推 wangkun:湖人打爆熱火禁區   熱火外線射死湖人
推 frankmaki:湖人禁區不一定能打爆熱火喔！但熱火肯定能射爆湖人