推 gaiaesque :皮卡人你跟QQ人到底啥關係XD 03/16 18:39
→ gaiaesque :靠..rondo 21順位...ainge真的眼光獨特 03/16 18:40
推 Miyanishi25 :ㄊㄇㄉㄉ 03/16 19:34
→ Y1999 :有數具有推 03/16 20:10
上一篇沒人鳥我
po個realgm上的統計佐證我的觀點好惹
原作者粗略地用EFF替球員分等級
統計2001-2009的選秀得出以下數據
Franchise players:
Pick 1 ..... 5/9 55%
Pick 2-5 ....9/36 25%
Pick 6-10 .. 3/45 7%
Pick 11-20.. 1/90 1%
Pick 21/30 0/90 0%
NBA starters (above average starter)
Pick 1 ..... 2/9 22%
Pick 2-5 ....13/36 36%
Pick 6-10 .. 13/45 29%
Pick 11-20.. 6/90 7%
Pick 21/30 8/90 9%
Combined... pick will net at least a NBA starter
Pick 1 ......... 7/9 78%
Pick 2-5 .......22/36 61%
Pick 6-10 .....17/45 39%
Pick 11-20....6/90 7%
Pick 21/30...8/90 9%
看到沒 7% 9%
要用雙位數順位撿到一個優質先發的機率
是ㄊㄇ的低
即便今年選秀大年把機率雙倍好了
還是ㄊㄇ的低
原文 http://0rz.tw/Bc9su
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※ 編輯: PikaRen 來自: 125.227.134.96 (03/16 18:38)