[情報] 0731 Big Board: Basketball / Brandon Funston

[Sweeptime (有讓你感動的事嗎)]

Big Board: Basketball
By Brandon Funston / July 31, 2008

The Big Board takes into consideration past returns, current performance and
expected future gains in determining who should be included among the top 50
fantasy basketball players. Essentially, the Big Board is a cheat sheet
designed for a fantasy owner who is planning to participate in a draft today.
Yahoo! Sports Fantasy Basketball default scoring settings are used as the
baseline for the Big Board, which is updated on a regular basis.

Big Board 50: Basketball
RK Player                                                                      
   Stock                                                                    Pvs
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 1 Chris Paul, NO, PG                                                          
   Fantasy, reality ... whatever. CP3 is my MVP                               1
 2 Amare Stoudemire, Pho, FC                                                   
   Why #2? Mature game, freak athleticism, healthy, C-eligibile, Nash         2
 3 Kobe Bryant, LAL, SG                                                        
   Hard to think full year w/ Gasol, Odom, Bynum won't be roto boon           3
 4 LeBron James, Cle, SF                                                       
   Needs to get to 75% FT shooting to be considered for the top here          4
 5 Kevin Garnett, Bos, F                                                       
   No. 9 in Y! despite getting a little bit of the kid glove treatment        5
 6 Dirk Nowitzki, Dal, PF                                                      
   Kidd's presence helped push Dirk's game back into top 5 level              6
 7 Elton Brand, Phi, FC                                                        
   Potent roto mix in Phi w/ 'Dre Miller, AI2, Dalembert and Brand            8
 8 Marcus Camby, LAC, FC                                                       
   No. 4 in Y! out to prove that Denver made a big mistake                    7
 9 Shawn Marion, Mia, SF                                                       
   Will he stay in Miami? If so, looks good alongside Wade/Beasley            9
10 Baron Davis, LAC, PG                                                        
   Sans Brand, the Clippers are truly the B-Diddy show                       10
11 Dwyane Wade, Mia, G                                                         
   '07-'08 a lost season, but looking like a spring chicken w/ Team USA      11
12 Allen Iverson, Den, PG                                                      
   1st full season in DEN was 1 of his best all-time in roto - No. 8 in Y!   13
13 Steve Nash, Pho, PG                                                         
   Assists maven brings unique value in 50% FG shooting from PG              12
14 Chris Bosh, Tor, FC                                                         
   Gets big help in the frontcourt w/ addition of Jermaine O'Neal            15
15 Danny Granger, Ind, F                                                       
   Matrix-esque roto game netted a No. 12 spot in the Y! game                16
16 Josh Smith, Atl, GF                                                         
   22-year-old defensive dynamo (2.8 blk, 1.5 stl) No. 19 in Y!              14
17 Caron Butler, Was, SF                                                       
↑ Top 10 roto game if healthy (avg. of 20+ DNPs past 2 seasons)             25
18 Deron Williams, Utah, PG                                                    
   If postseason 3-ball carries over, he's basically Nash w/ worse FT%       17
19 Chauncey Billups, Det, PG                                                   
   Has steady, efficient game that PlayerRaters love -- No. 10 in Y!         18
20 Gilbert Arenas, Was, PG                                                     
   FG%, TOs, health can be concerning, but brings it w/ Pts, Stl, 3s         22
21 Jose Calderon, Tor, PG                                                      
   Ford exit big: 13 pts, 9 ast, 1.2 stl/3s, .531 FG%, .911 FT% as starter   19
22 Pau Gasol, LAL, FC                                                          
   Crowded frontcourt with Bynum and Odom                                    20
23 Jason Richardson, Cha, GF                                                   
   1st season away from Golden St. was his best ever in roto                 21
24 Tim Duncan, SA, FC                                                          
   Peyton Manning of hoops: annual 20/10, 2 blk, 3 ast, 50% FG               23
25 Paul Pierce, Bos, GF                                                        
   Less = more: Pts down w/ KG, Allen, but top 20 roto game back             24
26 Carlos Boozer, Utah, FC                                                     
↑ Solid 20/10, 50% FG guy who counters low Block #'s w/ 1+ Steals           31
27 Andre Iguodala, Phi, GF                                                     
   3-point development, curbing TOs has pushed him into elite class          28
28 Rashard Lewis, Orl, SF                                                      
   Another ultra-efficient game that PlayerRater loves -- No. 13 in Y!       30
29 Yao Ming, Hou, C                                                            
   Fear factor: at least 25 DNPs each of past 3 seasons                      26
30 Manu Ginobili, SA, SG                                                       
   Efficient all-around game doesn't get enough love -- No. 17 in Y!         32
31 Al Jefferson, Min, FC                                                       
   T-Wolves show Big Al some (Kevin) Love w/ frontcourt help                 27
32 Monta Ellis, GS, G                                                          
   Mr. Rack Attack to handle more PG duty w/ Baron heading south             29
33 Kevin Martin, Sac, SG                                                       
   All-around sharpshooter w/ a twist of defense (1 stl, 4.5 reb)            34
34 Rudy Gay, Mem, GF                                                           
   1+ blk/stl/3 club member w/ solid %'s, low TOs and 20+ points             33
35 Joe Johnson, Atl, G                                                         
   Got his groove back: top 20 production post All-Star break                35
36 David West, NO, PF                                                          
   Definition of solid: 20/10 regular w/ efficient peripherals               38
37 Carmelo Anthony, Den, SF                                                    
   Machine gunner is slowly building a richer all-around game                39
38 Lamar Odom, LAL, F                                                          
   Posted top 15 roto numbers after Gasol came on board                      37
39 Vince Carter, NJ, GF                                                        
   Likely to spend next season w/ a trade target on his back                 36
40 Jason Kidd, Dal, PG                                                         
   1st since Magic ('88-'89) to average 10+ pts/ast and at least 7.5 reb     40
41 Antawn Jamison, Was, F                                                      
   No. 23 in Y!, as expected, re-ups with the Wizards                        41
42 Rasheed Wallace, Det, FC                                                    
   Only player w/ more Blks (1.7), 3s (1.5), & Stls (1.2) than TOs (1.1)     42
43 Brandon Roy, Por, G                                                         
   Consummate team player surrounded by more talent than ever                43
44 Ron Artest, Hou, SF                                                         
   Should be plenty of roto value in doing dirty work for Yao, T-Mac         46
45 Dwight Howard, Orl, FC                                                      
   1 huge, crippling roto flaw: 59% FT shooting at 11 shots per game         44
46 Michael Redd, Mil, SG                                                       
   Brings a Kevin Martin-type game, if only slightly less efficient          45
47 Mike Dunleavy, Ind, GF                                                      
   Mr. Key to Success came out of nowhere to rank No. 21 in Y! game          47
48 Michael Beasley*, Mia, PF                                                   
   Most NBA-ready rook capable of 18/10/1 blk/1 stl/.500 FG%                 48
49 Kevin Durant, OKC, GF                                                       
   Should be an '08-'09 member of 1+ Stl/Blk/3 club w/ 20+ pts               49
50 Hedo Turkoglu, Orl, GF                                                      
   Blossomed into a 20/5/5 (and 2 treys) stalwart -- No. 36 in Y!            50
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*1 前 50 的候補名單就不列出了  原文詳見下面網址
   http://sports.yahoo.com/fantasy/nba/news?slug=bf-bigboard-basketball

*2 稍微修正一下原作中球員位置的錯謬  例如：Caron Butler 由 F 修正至 SF

應該過不久八月的名單就出來了  不過有幾點還值得大家討論看看  :)


(1)FB選秀前三順位洗牌

終於 Chris Paul 被預測登上 FB 選秀狀元寶座  而核子彈頭 Amare 則虎視眈眈暫居第二
結束近年來由 KG, Marion & LBJ 三強鼎立的局面..
其中 KG 和 Marion 因為轉隊之故而在數據上和以往有所落差(不過今年是 Marion合約年)
至於 LBJ則還需要把罰球命中率的問題解決  才能真正衝擊 Paul 無懈可擊的數據表現
Amare 上一季的數據可謂是優質長人的代表 25 pts / 9 reb / 2 blk 還附帶雙高命中率
而連兩季 80 場左右的出賽  減少玩家對其健康的疑慮..並且能打中鋒更使其難能可貴
或許真正令人疑慮的是太陽新教練帶球隊的功力吧？
Funston 預測 Kobe 可望獲得選秀探花  則反映了他這幾年穩定出色的成績

(2)下跌幅度最大的球員

姚明和 Agent Zero 基本上都跌出第一輪的名單  最主要的原因莫過於傷病的疑慮
不過球星裡下滑最多的其實是 Kidd 他被 Funston排到第 40 位....
可能是 Funston真的不看好他和小牛系統的磨合運作吧

P.S. Duncan 順位也比前幾年跌一些

(3)上升幅度最大的球員

我想溜馬雙槍應該當之無愧  尤其是小葛(Danny Granger) 衝到第 15 名
勝過一干名氣比他大很多的 NBA沙場老將
另外暴龍西班牙籍的控球後衛 Calderon 也在 Ford 離開後猶如撥雲見日
大步邁向前 20 的 FB 菁英名單

(4)新秀上榜狀況

雖然本季 Oden 有角逐最佳新秀的資格  選秀狀元 Rose 亦一副勢在必得的樣子
不過大多數的球評似乎都比較看好 Beasley的表現
此份名單基本上也反應這種看法  他是 Funston前 50 名單中唯一上榜的新人
揪竟 Beasley是否能預期打出驚人好成績  大家拭目以待吧

不知道各位板友對於新球季球員的展望如何  :)

--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 61.217.212.245
推 sky00231:請問從什麼時候開放組隊阿? 今年我也想玩~
→ Sweeptime:一般都在 9月底 10月初就開放選秀組隊了  ^^
推 yushi:Granger 也衝太高了吧，我想應該還是在第三輪以後差不多。
推 w2570:今年要當兵 不知道能不能玩T^T
推 NewPacers:小葛衝高不意外..小歐走後..他變成理所當然的一哥了
→ NewPacers:各項數據應該都會上升..瓶大居然不挺子弟兵 > <
推 yushi:因為前兩輪我還是會以頂級球員和優質 PG 或 C 為主要考量，
→ yushi:得分能力強的 SF 除非數據有升到 20-5-5 這種潛能，例如：
→ yushi:小 AI 或 Caron Butler，這樣用第三輪或更高去選才有價值，
→ yushi:不然其實 PTS, 3PT 的可取代性太高了。
推 okokok29:好期待~~好希望可以開始選秀了
→ Sweeptime:另外 Camby 被放在第八順位也是罕見的  :)
※ 編輯: Sweeptime       來自: 61.216.1.45          (08/19 07:54)
推 aultra:Brandon Funston的意見本來就很主觀啊 他也不過就是個全職
→ aultra:的玩家 其實不用太在意 參考就好了 有空看一下他那篇文章的
→ aultra:討論板 不贊同的人其實挺多
推 aultra:至於Granger的順位是真的太高了 我也同意他大概在第三輪
→ aultra:約莫25上下是比較合理的 畢竟他雖然當一哥 但還沒有一個真
→ aultra:正能證明自己是elite等級的球季 15順位是有點賭他的潛力
→ aultra:但我是覺得賭太大了 況且我很同意y大 如果不能放C或PG
→ aultra:那用這麼高的順位選 他一定要再breakthrough一次 這個pick
→ aultra:才沒有虧到
推 oneword:新人方面Mayo應該也很有搞頭 另外DH VC也衝太下面了吧 XD
推 broken543:用roto的話這樣看還蠻合理的  H2H整個大翻盤
→ Sweeptime:我猜他評判的標準相當依賴 Y! rank 而這個指標重視全能
→ Sweeptime:而不偏好單項超強或有致命缺點的明星球員
推 KKyosuke:因為他評的是Roto 5*5..這種計分法對於Howard或大歐這種
→ KKyosuke:有致命缺點的選手來說是很不利的..