War 2

[smartgirl (奮鬥中...)]

小布希要把伊拉克從狂人海珊手中解放的出發點是對的，但是戰爭對心靈的創傷
與身體的傷害相同，對外部觀察者所烙下的印痕與參戰者或受害者也無異。1991
年沙漠風暴戰役後，埋下了賓拉登與美國為敵的引子。倘若巴格達此次再遭美國
聯軍慘烈空襲，又有多少阿拉伯人的心理會遭到蹂躪？
Mr Bush is right to say that ordinary Iraqis will have every practical
reason to welcome their liberation from Saddam's hateful regime. But
wars impinge on hearts as well as minds; and on the imaginations of
outsiders as well as on the participants and victims. It was Iraq's
humbling during America's 1991 liberation of Kuwait which, by his
own testimony, turned Osama bin Laden into a sworn enemy of the
United States. How many other bitter hearts will take up arms when
an American army storms Baghdad, one of the ancient centres of Arab
civilisation?

答案似乎只能在戰爭結果中找尋，或是端視伊拉克的配合誠意而定。如果美國的
舉證能說服安理會，事情或許能朝好的方向發展。但是如果美國仍無法說服安理會
會員國，那此次聯軍的規模將不會如科索渥行動一樣擴及北約成員，更無法取得
安理會的授權。雖然這不是最佳狀況，但對美國而言，卻已足夠。
Much of the answers to these questions will depend on the fortunes of
war, and the wisdom of policy during the occupation of Iraq that
follows. If American persuasion and evidence can wring the desired
authority out of the Security Council, so much the better. But
otherwise, the Americans will still probably have a coalition on their
side, one that will be smaller than the NATO coalition which, also
without the Security Council's authorisation, used force to rescue the
Muslims of Kosovo from Slobodan Milosevic. It will not be ideal, but it
will be enough.

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