[洋基] Note to Cash: Hold off on Cameron deal

[appshjkli (Red Spider Lily)]

  http://0rz.tw/e259l

  Posted by: Joseph P. in Hot Stove League

  The Winter Meetings may have passed, but it’s still relatively early in the

  baseball off-season. As you can see on our sidebar widget, there are still

  two months until pitchers and catchers report (the biggest day of the year on

  which nothing happens). That’s plenty of time for the Yankees to sift

  through their options and decide on the best course of action for the 2009

  team. We’ve been debating this hotly in the comments, and aside from a few

  overzealous folks, most everyone is making cogent points.


  I explained on Friday night that I think there are two paths the Yankees can

  take right now. First is to create a more balanced team. This would entail

  bringing back Andy Pettitte to fill the fourth/fifth slot in the rotation and

  trading for Mike Cameron. The lineup would then be filled with solid,

  established players (and a high-ceiling guy in Cano), and the rotation would

  be solid one through five. It would give the Yankees the depth to deal with

  an injury or two. It would give the team even more of a veteran presence.

  The other path the Yankees can explore is an all-in push for 2009. By signing

  CC and A.J., the Yankees have begun such a movement. Adding a big bat like

  Manny Ramirez or Mark Teixeira (as we’ve heard from our favorite

  rumormonger) or even Adam Dunn would re-ignite the talks of a 1,000-run

  offense. The difference, of course, is that this year the Yanks have the

  pitching to match it. The lineup would be disgusting one through nine, and

  the rotation would still feature a top four you can place against any team in

  the league.

  At this point, adding Cameron might hamper the team’s ability to sign one of

  the boppers on the market. While some cite the $88 million that came off the

  payroll after last season, that’s not the whole story. Some players are due

  raises, and others weren’t on the opening-day payroll (Marte, Nady). So

  let's go through the team’s current commitments (plus arbitration estimates):


  2009 Payroll

  Player Sal.

  A-Rod $32

  Sabathia $23 *

  Jeter $20

  Burnett $16.5 *

  Mo $15

  Jorge $13.1

  Damon $13

  Matsui $13

  Swisher $5.3

  Wang $5 **

  Marte $3.75

  Nady $6 **

  Cano $6

  Molina $1

  Bruney $1.2 **


  * AAV of contract

  ** Arb estimate

  That totals $173.85 million in committed salaries for 15 players. That leaves

  10 more players, likely for the most part under the reserve clause, which

  will keep their salaries in the $400 to $500,000 range. Even at the high end,

  $5 million for those 10 players, that leaves the Yanks with a $183.85 million

  opening day payroll. Notice how it’s right around the team’s stated goal of

  $180 million.

  Still, we know the Yankees. They could find a way to squeeze another contract

  in there. Perhaps they backload A.J.’s deal, knowing that $26 million comes

  off the books from Damon and Matsui after the year. That would give them the

  flexibility now to add a bat and still keep the payroll under $200 million.

  If you add Andy Pettitte, it’s almost impossible to add a bat without

  exceeding 2008’s payroll. Same with Mike Cameron. So the choices going

  forward:

  1) Sign Pettitte. Sign bat. Screw payroll.

  2) Sign Pettitte. Trade for Cameron. Go into season like that.

  3) Let Pettitte retire or go elsewhere. Let Milwaukee pay Cameron’s salary.

  Sign big bat.

  Without choosing one over the rest (though No. 1 is clearly the best option),

  this all leads me to believe that the Yankees should hold off on this Cameron

  deal. Wait until the rest of the bats are off the market so you can see where

  everyone else stands. Some might say that this would drive up the price for

  Cameron. Not so. At least, I don’t think it will. What other teams would be

  interested in a 35-year-old CFer making $10 million? That list begins and

  ends with the Yankees.

  If the Yankees do add Teixeira or Manny or Dunn, they won’t have room for

  Cameron anyway. All three make the outfield rather crowded — Tex by moving

  Swisher there, Manny and Dunn because they play there. True, the later two

  could DH, but what about Hideki? You can’t blindly rely on him to play in

  120, 130 games, but you also can’t relegate him to bench duty. He’s too

  good when healthy, and is making too much money.

  Mike Cameron will still be available in January. The Yankees might as well

  wait on that and see if they can better improve the team with a better bat.

--
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◆ From: 118.160.47.131
推 dvsmatix:有道理 先把TEIX搞定吧
推 loloool:TEIX用25M/Y簽下來的話就快破200M了
推 GDBS:不是快破 是已經破了 內文已經算到184M了
推 JimloveJill:破了世界會毀滅嗎.....
→ cuttino:不會
推 milien:     那就讓他破吧!!
推 chrischangqq:200M/8y 簽下去吧
推 Makubex82:搶鐵效果比較好 Manny回紅襪可能性低 火力一來一往有差
推 JimloveJill:鐵爺去天使 洋基簽咩尼 這樣也行
→ JoshBeckeet:Manny是不可能回紅襪的 連可能性都不存在
推 settier:反正不能給紅襪搶到鐵爺  = =+
推 kauw:AROD真貴..
推 a558815:arod貴得有道理啊:p
推 summoon:AROD是Pujols 的2倍 32M:16M
推 birdy590:agent 的操作真的有差, Pujols 簽那個約很虧
推 circadian:但是AROD的守備位置是Pujols的3倍啊 3B:1B
推 Shywei:Pujols在第一次薪資仲裁簽的約 那時候是很頂級的
→ Shywei:pujols開始拿千萬的時候 A-Rod還在拿百萬而已 不過隔年就..
推 birdy590:但是人家都有 opt-out 啊, 幾年過去行使一下就超車了
→ birdy590:只要挑對時間使用, 球團根本沒本錢不加薪留人
推 Shywei:鐵爺跟A-Rod一樣 在薪資仲裁時選擇不簽長約 等到FA狂撈
推 noahlin:Pujols上MLB的那年A-Rod已經簽那張252M了
推 nadal123:好想噓元PO
→ appshjkli:科科