[新聞] Joba Chamberlain ALDS在牛棚的機率是 97.1%

[yyhong68 (come every now and then)]

這是延續昨天的那篇
先補一下昨天的內容：

- Yankees reliever Joba Chamberlain may return to the bullpen -- at least
for one series.

If the Yankees lock up the top seed in the American League, they will have
their choice of schedules for the AL Division Series. One schedule gives
teams an off day between Games 1 and 2 while the other does not.

With an off day after game one, the Yankees would need only three starting
pitchers to get through the series. Without the off day, the Yankees would
need four.

"There are two different division series where one you would need three
starters and one where you'd need four," Girardi said. "I'll just leave
it at that."

http://www.nj.com/yankees/index.ssf/2009/09/ny_yankees_notes_reliever_davi.html


今天的報導如下：

Chances of NY Yankees pitcher Joba Chamberlain heading back to bullpen
for ALDS: 97.1 percent
by Marc Carig/The Star-Ledger
Wednesday September 09, 2009, 12:18 PM

NEW YORK --The Yankees (90-50) have a 97.1 percent of winning home field
advantage throughout the playoffs, this according to the projections by
the good folks at coolstandings.com, who were kind enough to share with us
the numbers even though they're not published on their site (which, by the
way, you should check out).

The Angels (82-55), who are 6 1/2 games behind the Yankees for the league's
best record, stand at 2.1 percent. The Red Sox have a 0.8 percent chance
while the Tigers and Rangers have less than a 0.1 percent change
 (so you're saying there's chance?)

And just for the record, in the NL, the list is as follows:

Dodgers: 52.7%
Cardinals: 29.5%
Phillies: 13.0%
Rockies: 4.4%
Giants: 0.3%
Braves, Cubs, Marlins: <0.1% each

So, why does this matter for the Yankees?

The top seed gets their choice of two possible schedules (check them out
here at mlb.com) for the AL Division Series. Option A would give the Yankees
a day off after Game 1, which means they would need only three starters.
Option B, meanwhile, would have the teams play both Game 1 and 2 on
back-to-back days before an off day for travel, meaning the Yankees would
need four starters.

In other words, the Yankees will have the choice of putting Joba Chamberlain,
who stars Wednesday against the Rays, in the bullpen during the opening round.

"I'm not even thinking about it," Chamberlain said. "We've got to get through
this year and finish strong. I guess I'll be asked that question again in
October."

Meanwhile, Yankees manager Joe Girardi remained vague in his thoughts:
"There are two different division series where one you would need three
starters and one where you'd need four. I'll just leave it at that."

But ultimately, it would make sense for the Yankees to opt for the extra off
day and send their three best pitchers, CC Sabathia, Andy Pettitte and
A.J. Burnett to pitch in a short series.

And so it appears -- with 97.1 percent certainty -- that the Joba to the
Bullpen crew will finally get their wish. For one series, anyway.

http://www.nj.com/yankees/index.ssf/2009/09/chances_of_ny_yankees_pitcher.html

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