作者appshjkli (貓肉球)
看板NY-Yankees
標題[農場] 2010 Season Preview: Help from within
時間Tue Mar 30 02:27:12 2010
2010 Season Preview: Help from within
By Mike Axisa
http://riveraveblues.com/2010/03/2010-season-preview-help-from-within-25810/
Although they’ll always be known as a team that relies on stars and big name
players, the core of the most recent Yankees’ dynasty came from within. The
team developed three borderline Hall of Fame players at premium up-the-middle
positions (Bernie Williams, Jorge Posada, Andy Pettitte) in under a decade,
and that alone would have been a strong enough foundation for perennial
championship contender. The Yankees got greedy though, so they went ahead and
developed a surefire Hall of Fame shortstop and the greatest relief pitcher
who ever lived as well. That’s not just a great run of player development,
it’s a historically great run.
After the lavish spending that occurred in the early part of the century, GM
Brian Cashman re-emphasized the farm system and player development, and in
recent years he’s begun to see those efforts pay dividends. Last year’s
World Series roster featured eight homegrown players who made their big
league debut within the last five seasons, and six who debuted within the
last three years.
The crown jewel of the farm system right now is the man you see above,
20-year-old catcher Jesus Montero. Opinions about his ability to remain
behind the plate vary, though most believe he’s destined to move to a less
valuable position down the road. His bat will work no matter where he plays,
because he compliments top of the line power with a solid approach and the
innate ability to get the fat part of the bat on the ball. As a 19-year-old
he hit .337-.389-.562 with 17 homers in 92 games split between High-A Tampa
and Double-A Trenton before a fluke injury (broken finger on his catching
hand) ended his season in August, and just before Spring Training he was
named the fourth best prospect in the game by Baseball America. The Yankees
have Montero penciled into the starting catcher’s job for Triple-A Scranton
this season.
It’s unlikely the Yanks would call Montero up for any sort of extended
playing time during the 2010 season, but they have several other players on
the cusp of contributing, one of whom we caught a glimpse of last season.
Mark Melancon, the team’s best relief prospect, walked as many batters as he
struck out (ten) in his 16.1 inning cameo, but his minor league track record
(2.69 FIP, 8.7 K/9, 2.0 BB/9, 57.6 GB%) screams future success. With a
low-90’s fastball and an out-pitch curveball, the 25-year-old Tommy John
surgery survivor will be the first arm called up whenever the bullpen
needs some help, and there’s a good chance he’ll be this year’s version
of David Robertson.
Another player the Yankees are sure to call on at some point is utility man
Kevin Russo (left), who has opened eyes this spring with a .276-.353-.379
batting line. A 2006 draft pick like Melancon and Robertson, the 24-year-old
broke out in 2008 and has hit .318-.379-.424 since, playing three infield
spots as well as the outfield corners. The undersized Russo (5-foot-11, 190
lbs.) has battled hamstring injuries and bad luck in his pro career (a batted
ball in BP broke some bones in his face), but he’s the first in line for a
promotion when Ramiro Pena falters or the bench otherwise needs some
reinforcements.
The Yanks also have young rotation depth in 23-year-old Ivan Nova (3.83 FIP,
1.53 K/BB last year) and 22-year-old Zach McAllister (3.03 FIP, 2.91 K/BB),
both of whom will open the season in the Triple-A Scranton rotation and
project as back of the rotation workhorses. Jason Hirsh is a little older
than those two at 28, but he’s a former top prospect with the Astros and
Rockies who has big league experience and has done nothing but get outs since
joining the Yanks last season. All three players also double as prime pieces
of trade bait should the Yankees decide to go that route. The 24-year-old
Greg Golson offers elite defense and speed if a stopgap outfielder is needed,
and I’m pretty sure we’re all familiar with the soon to be 27-year-old
first baseman Juan Miranda. All but McAllister and Hirsh are on the 40-man
roster.
Those are the players that are in the position to help the big league team in
2010, but the Yankees also have several prospects further down the ladder
with a chance to make a name for themselves this year. Catcher Austin Romine
will finally step out of Montero’s shadow this year for Double-A Trenton,
and look to improve on last year’s .347 wOBA with High-A Tampa while
handling the rigors of his first full season as a clear cut number one
catcher. With a strong all-around package of offense and defense at a premium
position, the 21-year-old Romine is the early favorite to be the team’s
catcher of the future.
His battery mate every five days will be former Stanford lefty Jeremy Bleich,
who despite less than stellar stats at Double-A Trenton (4.40 FIP, 1.76 K/BB)
showed great improvement with his stuff last year as he got further away from
a 2008 elbow injury. Drafted as a polished finesse pitcher, the 22-year-old’
s velocity flirted with 95 last season, and anytime a lefty throws that hard,
you pay attention. He’ll look to regain his trademark command this year to
get back on track.
Dominican bonus baby Jose Ramirez, 21, took the short season circuit by storm
last year when he held opponents to a .161 batting average and posted a 3.46
FIP and a 3.31 K/BB, and he’ll bring his mid-90’s gas and knockout changeup
to Low-A Charleston in 2010. Lefty Manny Banuelos emerged as Charleston’s
ace last season when he posted a 2.76 FIP and a 3.71 K/BB in 108 innings,
earning himself a trip to the Futures Game. Still a year away from his 20th
birthday, he’ll jump to High-A Tampa and try to further establish himself as
a cornerstone piece for the future. Last year’s top draft picks, outfielder
Slade Heathcott and catcher J.R. Murphy, will spend their first full season
in the organization proving they were worth their seven figure signing
bonuses.
Of course, when it comes to farm system this year, all eyes will again be on
2007 first rounder Andrew Brackman (right), who disappointed in 2009 to say
the least. The now 24-year-old posted a 4.66 FIP in Low-A Charleston, walking
close to six and a half batters for every nine innings pitched, and his stuff
was a far cry from what it was in college. The silver lining was that he
continued to miss bats (8.69 K/9) and showed improved control and arm
strength in a late season stint as a reliever, which he was able to carry
over into Instructional League and again into Spring Training. The Yankees
will bump Brackman up to High-A Tampa in part because his big league contract
will force him to stick in the Majors for good by 2013, and they’re looking
for him to really step up and grab the reigns in a farm system devoid of star
power beyond it’s top prospect.
Trades, attrition, and graduation have thinned out the farm system that was
rated as one of the game’s five best by Baseball America as recently as
2008, but the Yankees still have a bonafide superstar in the making in Jesus
Montero, as well as several complementary pieces just a phone call away from
the Bronx. The 2009 draft brought a much needed influx of high upside
position players and power arms, while several Latin America prospects and
pre-2009 draftees are poised to make the jump from good to very good and
possibly even great prospects as they enter into their early-20’s and finish
maturing.
The current Yankee team is still built around that same homegrown core from
the late-90’s, though they’re surrounded by more star power than ever
before. Should they need some reinforcements during the season or prospects
to dangle as trade bait, the farm system offers plenty of variety. As the
Yankees look to start their next dynasty, they aren’t going to have the
luxury of producing five players as productive as the quintet they produced
in the 90’s, though it’s possible no team will ever have that much player
development success in such a short period of time ever again.
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