Re: [農場] Fangraphs Yankees Top 10 Prospects

[pttoliver ()]

:   6. Austin Romine, C
:   Acquired: Drafted 2nd Round 2007 (California HS)
:   2010 Level: AA
:   Age on Opening Day: 22.4
:   Notes: The Yankees have an enviable amount of catching prospects in
:   their system. The problem is that none are sure bets to stay behind
:   the plate. Despite a strong arm, Romine struggles to throw out runners,
:   catching only 23 percent of would-be base-stealers last year. What’s
:   more, reports from the AFL were critical of his receiving ability
:   (although the usually caveats with grading catchers based on AFL looks
:   apply). If Romine can’t catch at the big league level, his prospect
:   status value takes a big hit because while he shows promise at the plate,
:   it’s highly unlikely his bat will profile at first or in the outfield.
:   His walk rate has increased in each of his professional seasons, rising
:   to 7.4 percent last year, but there is still work to be done in that
:   area. He slugged ten home runs to go with a .138 ISO last year, solid
:   numbers for a 21 year-old catcher in AA.
:   Grading catchers is always tough because the offensive bar is so low.
:   If he can improve his defense, Romine could profile as a regular. He
:   should reach AAA in 2011, but the Yanks may choose to start him in AA
:   with Montero likely entrenched in AAA. With a solid season he could
:   position himself as the catcher of the future in New York.

   6. Austin Romine, C
   Acquired: Drafted 2nd Round 2007 (California HS)
   2010 Level: AA
   Age on Opening Day: 22.4

       洋基農場有一群讓人羨慕的捕手新秀，問題出在沒有一個可以確定留在本壘
   板後方。儘管Romine有強壯的手臂，可是他上季才抓到23%的盜壘者。除此之外，
   秋聯回來的報告批評他的接捕能力(儘管這些警告只根據他在秋聯的表現)。如果
   沒辦法在大聯盟接捕，他的新秀評價會大幅下滑，因為他的棒子看起來沒辦法守
   一壘或外野。他的保送比率每年都增加，像去年就增加了7.4%，但這部分還要再
   努力。去年他打了10支全壘打，還有.138的ISO，這對一個21歲在AA的年輕捕手
   來說已經是張不錯的成績單。
       因為捕手的防守較吃重，一般來說比較難評價。如果他的防守還可以進步，
   他能夠當個每天出賽的先發捕手。2011年他應該要從AAA出發，但AAA的位置可能
   要留給Montero，所以洋基應該還是會讓他從AA開始他的球季。如果打出不錯的球
   季，未來洋基隊會有他的位置。

:   7. Eduardo Nunez, SS
:   Acquired: Signed as a Free Agent 2004 (Dominican Republic)
:   2010 Level: AAA/MLB
:   Age on Opening Day: 23.10
:   Notes: Signed in 2004, it took Nunez five seasons to reach AA, including
:   three separate trips to the Florida State league. But since reaching
:   AA in 2009, Nunez seems to have turned a corner. Scouts have always
:   been impressed by his strong arm and range at short, but questions
:   lingered about his bat. He began to answer those questions in 2009 by
:   putting up a 322/349/433 line, and he continued to show promise at the
:   plate last year. In 506 AAA plate appearances, Nunez posted a .329 wOBA
:   to go with 23 steals. While he never projects to hit more than 8-10 home
:   runs in a season, Nunez does have enough pop to keep pitchers honest.
:   He was promoted to the big leagues late in the 2010 season, and performed
:   well enough to earn a spot on the postseason roster. For the Yankees,
:   Nunez is never likely to be more than a utility player, because while
:   his defense is solid, he’s not a true above-average defender and, as
:   a hitter who doesn’t walk or hit for much power, his offensive ceiling
:   is limited. That being said, Nunez does enough things well that I think
:   he will start for a number of years as a ‘second-division’ regular.



   7. Eduardo Nunez, SS
   Acquired: Signed as a Free Agent 2004 (Dominican Republic)
   2010 Level: AAA/MLB
   Age on Opening Day: 23.10

       2004年簽下來的Nunez，花了五年的時間升到AA，中間還來來回回在A+沉浮三
   年。不過2009年在2A看起來換了個人。球探一直對他的防守範圍和臂力印象深刻，
   但質疑他是否有辦法打擊。2009年他用 322/349/433 回答了球探們的疑慮，然後
   去年繼續保持他的成績。10年在 AAA 506打席中，他交出了.329的wOBA，外帶23個
   盜壘。儘管一般預測他一年不會打超過 8-10 支全壘打，但他還是有足夠的打擊威
   脅到投手。季末被升到大聯盟觀光，表現不錯的他還被帶進季後賽。雖然他的防守
   不錯，但還不到頂級，而且他沒辦法拿保送與貢獻太多長打，他的攻擊端評價有限
   ，所以對洋基來說他頂多當個工具人。儘管如此，我想他還是夠格在競爭力較低的
   球隊先發個幾年。







:   8. Ivan Nova, RHP
:   Aquired: Signed as a Free Agent 2004 (Dominican Republic)
:   2010 Level: AAA/MLB
:   Age on Opening Day: 24.3
:   Notes: Nova enters 2011 as the leading candidate to seize the Yanks’
:   firth starter’s spot. Selected by the Padres in the 2008 Rule 5 draft,
:   Nova doesn’t do anything especially well, but he has few weaknesses.
:   His fastball averaged 93 mph in the big leagues last year, and he also
:   features a solid curveball and a change-up (video). His fastball has
:   good life, allowing him to rack up a GB% of 54 percent in AAA and 52
:   percent in the big leagues. At 6’4〃, 210 pounds, Nova has a great
:   pitcher’s frame and a relatively smooth delivery. Nova doesn’t have
:   much star potential, as his K/9 rate has never been above 7.2 in a
:   full-season league, but he has the stuff to profile in the back of a
:   big-league rotation. Fans, Bill James, and Marcel all seem to agree
:   with that assessment, projecting that Nova’s 2011 FIP will be in the
:   4.08-4.28 range, although those projections have him splitting time
:   between the pen and the rotation.




   8. Ivan Nova, RHP
   Aquired: Signed as a Free Agent 2004 (Dominican Republic)
   2010 Level: AAA/MLB
   Age on Opening Day: 24.3

       Nova在2011年被視為填補洋基五號先發的頭號候選人。2008年被教士隊用規
  則五選走後，因表現不突出被退回，不過Nova並沒有太多缺點。去年他在大聯盟
  的速球均速93mph，而且他的曲球與變速球看起來還不錯。他的速球很有尾勁，這
  讓他能夠在AAA保持54%與在大聯盟保持52%的滾地球比例。6"4身高，210lb體重，
  很棒的投手身材，出手相當流暢。因為在小聯盟的完整球季中，K/9不曾超過7.2，
  所以Nova並沒有太多當明星的潛力，不過他的球威夠格在大聯盟當後段輪值。Fan
  ，Bill James，還有Marcel的預測看起來蠻一致的，認為他在2011年的FIP應該落
  在4.08-4.28之間，先發中繼兩頭跑。









:   9. Hector Noesi, RHP
:   Acquired: Signed as a Free Agent 2004 (Dominican Republic)
:   2010 Level: Hi A/AA/AAA
:   Age on Opening Day: 24.2
:   Notes: Noesi underwent Tommy John surgery in 2007, and it wasn’t until
:   2009 that he was back fully healthy. He made up for lost time last
:   season, climbing the ladder from the Florida State league all the way
:   to AAA and logging 160 innings along the way. In a lot of ways, Noesi
:   is a classic ‘Twins’ pitcher, as command and control are his calling
:   cards. He walked only 1.6 batters per nine in 2010, and his exceptional
:   command allowed him to carve up FSL hitters to the tune of a 11.1 K/9.
:   His strikeout rate fell to 7.8 against more experienced hitters in AA,
:   and he doesn’t figure to rack up big strikeout totals at higher levels.
:   The other knock on Noesi is that he’s an extreme fly-ball pitcher.
:   In 99 AA innings he only managed a meager 39 percent ground-ball rate.
:   The lack of a true out-pitch and his fly-ball rates will likely prevent
:   Noesi from becoming more than a back-of-the-rotation starter.





    9. Hector Noesi, RHP
    Acquired: Signed as a Free Agent 2004 (Dominican Republic)
    2010 Level: Hi A/AA/AAA
    Age on Opening Day: 24.2

       Noesi 2007 年開TJ，然後不到兩年的時間就完全健康回來。去年他彌補了因
    手術失去的時間，從A+的佛羅里達聯盟一路爬到AAA，總共投了160局。靠控球吃
    飯的他，很像典型的雙城隊投手。2010年每9局才保送1.6個打者，他靠控球屠殺
    FSL打者，每九局三振11.1人。升上AA面對比較有經驗的打者，他的K/9掉到7.8，
    而在更高的層級三振率也不是很高。Noisi另一個缺點為他是極端的飛球投手。
    在AA的99局投球中只有39%的滾地球比例。缺乏致勝球種與高飛球比，使他的天花
    板頂多為後段輪值。


:   10. Adam Warren, RHP
:   Acquired: Drafted 4th Round 2009 (North Carolina)
:   2010 Level: Hi A/AA
:   Age on Opening Day: 23.7
:   Notes: Only one year removed from the 2009 draft, it looks like the
:   Yankees may have gotten a steal in Warren. The 6’1〃 right-hander
:   pounds the zone with a low-90s fastball, as evidenced by his 2.2 BB/9.
:   The pitch has such great life that he is able to rack up strikeouts
:   and ground-balls with it. In 135 innings combined between Hi A and AA,
:   Warren managed an 8.4 K/9 and a ground-ball rate of 54 percent.
:   He doesn’t have the secondary stuff to profile as more than a
:   mid-to-back-of-the-rotation starter, but his fastball is good enough
:   that he has a relatively high floor. Warren will likely begin the year
:   in a crowded Scranton rotation, and could make his major-league debut
:   at some point during the season.

   10. Adam Warren, RHP
   Acquired: Drafted 4th Round 2009 (North Carolina)
   2010 Level: Hi A/AA
   Age on Opening Day: 23.7

       距離他2009年選秀進來的時間只有一年，洋基可能偷到好物了。這位6"1的右
   投手速球落在low 90s，BB/9只有2.2，控球看起來不錯。他的直球尾勁很好，幫
   助他投出很多三振與滾地球。在A+與AA合計135局的投球當中，他交出8.4的K/9與
   54%的滾地球比例。目前因為沒有很好的第二球種限制他頂多成為輪值中後段，
   不過他的直球很好所以他有比較高的天花板。Warren明年很有可能會在擁擠的AAA
   輪值開始他的球技，然後球季中有機會初登板。


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◆ From: 140.120.136.175
※ 編輯: pttoliver       來自: 140.120.136.175      (03/05 15:18)
推 yamatai     :star potential，不是 start
→ yamatai     :他是說 Nova 不是明星，但是可以當後段輪值
→ pttoliver   :眼花~ 感謝了
→ pkbrown     :什麼叫做典型雙城投手？
推 chihlanren  :原本想接著翻的XDD
推 TrueTears   :是像Slowey,Blackburn,Baker這種投手吧?
推 jayin07     :雙城那幾個都是非常難丟保送的
推 LouGehrig   :推
推 lukehong    :Romine的第四段 "一壘"或是外野
推 lukehong    :那段應該是指他的打擊還沒有厲害到可以讓他擺在一壘
※ 編輯: pttoliver       來自: 122.117.18.181       (03/13 00:50)