作者ccpz (OoOoOo)
看板NY-Yankees
標題[農場] Prospect of the Day: Jesus Montero, C, New York Yankees
時間Thu Sep 1 22:10:06 2011
http://goo.gl/CaX18
基本上就是總結本季的成績
他認為打擊的功力足夠上 MLB 了
防守有進步,可是還不算是好
預計主要的腳色會是 DH
Prospect of the Day: Jesus Montero, C, New York Yankees
by John Sickels on Sep 1, 2011 8:01 AM EDT
All indications are that the Yankees will promote prospect Jesus Montero to
the major league roster on Thursday. He's been on a hot streak lately for
Triple-A Scranton, and fans in the Bronx have been awaiting his arrival with
anticipation.
Montero has been one of the highest-profile prospects in the minor leagues
for several years. Signed for $1.65 million out of Venezuela in 2006, he
exploded on the scene with an excellent 2008 season for Low-A Charleston,
hitting .326/.376/.491 with 17 homers at age 18. He was even better in 2009,
hitting a combined .337/.389/.562 in 347 at-bats split between High-A and
Double-A, although his season ended early due to a broken finger. In 2010 he
hit .289/.353/.517 with 21 homers in Triple-A, at the tender age of 20.
With no room for him on the Yankees roster, Montero was sent back to Triple-A
for 2011, to get regular at-bats and work on his defense (more on that
below). He had a fast start with a .365 average in April, but slumped in May
and June to the point where observers felt he was discouraged due to lack of
opportunity. True or not, he heated up at mid-season, slugging .514 in July
then hitting .308/.370/.604 in August. He's hit five homers in his last 10
games.
Overall, he's hit .288/.348/.467 this year, with 18 homers, 36 walks, and 98
strikeouts in 420 at-bats. It isn't as good as his 2010 performance, but we
are still talking about a 21-year-old in Triple-A.
The 6-3, 235 pound Montero has everything needed to be a force at the plate,
including power to all fields, bat speed and strength to spare. His strike
zone judgment isn't perfect, but his strikeout rate is reasonably low for a
young power hitter, and while he could need some adjustment time, scouts
anticipate he'll hit for average in the long run. Even a conservative
estimate projects him as an above-average power hitter for years to come, and
it is easy to envision him as an MVP-type producer at his peak, hitting .300
with strong home run production.
Any doubts about Montero center on his glove. He has a strong throwing arm,
but his throwing mechanics are less than ideal and he's not especially
effective against basestealers. He caught just 20% this year for Scranton,
and 21% in his minor league career. Other aspects of his defense have
gradually improved. He's steadily cut down on passed balls (15 last year but
just seven this year) and errors, and he has improved his mobility behind the
plate. However, despite the improvement in his statistics, most scouts still
rate his defense as mediocre at best, and as he gets older what flexibility
he has will likely decline. There has been some talk of making him a first
baseman, but he's never played the position and that won't help him much in
New York, anyhow.
In the end, Montero will likely spend much of his career at DH, and there's
nothing wrong with that if his bat develops as expected. Given his sweet spot
on the age curve, he should develop into a premium offensive force. Even if
his glove never improves further, his bat will keep him in the lineup for a
long time.
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推 hassanstar :如果今年上來打得不錯的話 那就會是個交易的好菜 09/01 23:59
推 azlbf :如果打.34/.4/.6 守備再爛都可以接班無誤 09/02 00:29
推 externaload :有棒子誰管你守備啊 09/02 00:56
→ lsmking7219 :要一個剛上來的.34也太扯 連老鳥都很難了XD 09/02 10:58
→ OoyaoO :剛上來一個月的小樣本有.300就很有賣相了 09/02 11:02