Re: [農場] Prospect of the Day: Jesus Montero, …

[air0812 (airwalker)]

※ 引述《ccpz (OoOoOo)》之銘言：
: http://goo.gl/CaX18
: 基本上就是總結本季的成績
: 他認為打擊的功力足夠上 MLB 了
: 防守有進步，可是還不算是好
: 預計主要的腳色會是 DH

小弟第一次來獻醜 幫忙翻譯 若有錯誤 請各位先進不吝指教 謝謝
: Prospect of the Day: Jesus Montero, C, New York Yankees
: by John Sickels on Sep 1, 2011 8:01 AM EDT
: All indications are that the Yankees will promote prospect Jesus Montero to
: the major league roster on Thursday. He's been on a hot streak lately for
: Triple-A Scranton, and fans in the Bronx have been awaiting his arrival with
: anticipation.

所有跡象都顯示Montero禮拜四要被拉上來了 最近在3A表現蠻火的
球迷們也期待他很久了

: Montero has been one of the highest-profile prospects in the minor leagues
: for several years. Signed for $1.65 million out of Venezuela in 2006, he
: exploded on the scene with an excellent 2008 season for Low-A Charleston,
: hitting .326/.376/.491 with 17 homers at age 18. He was even better in 2009,
: hitting a combined .337/.389/.562 in 347 at-bats split between High-A and
: Double-A, although his season ended early due to a broken finger. In 2010 he
: hit .289/.353/.517 with 21 homers in Triple-A, at the tender age of 20.
: With no room for him on the Yankees roster, Montero was sent back to Triple-A
: for 2011, to get regular at-bats and work on his defense (more on that
: below). He had a fast start with a .365 average in April, but slumped in May
: and June to the point where observers felt he was discouraged due to lack of
: opportunity. True or not, he heated up at mid-season, slugging .514 in July
: then hitting .308/.370/.604 in August. He's hit five homers in his last 10
: games.

過去幾年是咱們農場中的頭號新秀 2006年花了1.65M從委內瑞拉挖來的
2008年18歲在Low-A 三圍 .326/.376/.491 附帶17 Hr
2009 高階1A 跟2A 通算 .289/.353/.517  打數僅347因為手指骨折 提前放假
2010 20歲 3A成績 .289/.353/.517 21 Hr

今年因為大聯盟名單沒位置給他 又被送回3A去練功 特別是低於3A水準的守備
四月起飛很快 AVG .365 五六月墜機 (觀察他的人 覺得主因是對於沒機會
升上major趕到沮喪)
季中再度熱起來 七月長打率.514 八月 .308/.370/.604 過去十場共出現五轟


: Overall, he's hit .288/.348/.467 this year, with 18 homers, 36 walks, and 98
: strikeouts in 420 at-bats. It isn't as good as his 2010 performance, but we
: are still talking about a 21-year-old in Triple-A.
: The 6-3, 235 pound Montero has everything needed to be a force at the plate,
: including power to all fields, bat speed and strength to spare. His strike
: zone judgment isn't perfect, but his strikeout rate is reasonably low for a
: young power hitter, and while he could need some adjustment time, scouts
: anticipate he'll hit for average in the long run. Even a conservative
: estimate projects him as an above-average power hitter for years to come, and
: it is easy to envision him as an MVP-type producer at his peak, hitting .300
: with strong home run production.
今年3A結算 420AB .288/.348/.467 18 Hr 36BB 98 SO 並沒有去年好
但請注意哦!! 我們正在討論一個在3A的21歲小夥子

6呎3吋 235磅 具備了所有打擊所需 像是出棒速度(power to all fields, strength
to spare 不會翻 >"< sorry)

好球帶判斷還不是完美 但是三振率相較於年輕巨炮較低
或許需要一些調整時間 但球探期望長期而言 他的表現可以平均一些
即使保守一點估計 他將會是個 比平均水準高的強力打者
可以樂觀的期望他在顛峰時 會表現的像MVP選手 像是 .300 外帶很多Hr




: Any doubts about Montero center on his glove. He has a strong throwing arm,
: but his throwing mechanics are less than ideal and he's not especially
: effective against basestealers. He caught just 20% this year for Scranton,
: and 21% in his minor league career. Other aspects of his defense have
: gradually improved. He's steadily cut down on passed balls (15 last year but
: just seven this year) and errors, and he has improved his mobility behind the
: plate. However, despite the improvement in his statistics, most scouts still
: rate his defense as mediocre at best, and as he gets older what flexibility
: he has will likely decline. There has been some talk of making him a first
: baseman, but he's never played the position and that won't help him much in
: New York, anyhow.
: In the end, Montero will likely spend much of his career at DH, and there's
: nothing wrong with that if his bat develops as expected. Given his sweet spot
: on the age curve, he should develop into a premium offensive force. Even if
: his glove never improves further, his bat will keep him in the lineup for a
: long time.

任何對他的懷疑都集中在他的守備  臂力強 但傳球機制不理想
阻殺率太低了 今年才20% 而且生涯小聯盟平均也才21%....
另一方面 也是有慢慢在進步啦 補逸從從去年的15次降到今年7次 失誤也在減少
本壘守備的敏捷性也在增加中

然而 儘管防守數據看起來有變好 大部分球探對他最好的評價頂多是中等
隨著年齡變大 適應性也會變差 有些人在討論要不要讓他去守1B 但他完全還沒試過
NYY 1B已經有鐵爺了 轉1B好像也沒三小路用

如果他的棒子如預期般成長 看起來生涯大部分時間會打DH
目前還在最佳轉大人期間 或許有機會長出手套吧
但即使他的守備沒變好 靠棒子就能長期存在打線中了

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◆ From: 121.254.125.202
推 coffee1205  :頭推~!
推 Caryniko    :09跟10 三圍完全一樣-.-?
→ Caryniko    :09應該是 .337/.389/.562
推 kohi120     :ptaf好像是指能將球轟到球場任何地方（能拉能推）
→ kohi120     :sts 是指用不完的精力？ spare是多餘的
推 weiany      :這裡spare是verb 多到有剩的力量 也就是力量非常足夠