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The Seedlings To Stars 2012 Top 100 Prospects,
#82: Jose Campos
Name: Jose Campos
DOB: 7/27/92
Organization: Mariners
Position: Pitcher
Notable 2011 Stats: 2.32 ERA, 2.38 FIP, 4 HRA, 13 BB, 85 K, 51% GB% in 81 1/3
IP with Everett (Short-season-A)
Why He’s This High: Despite turning just 19 toward the middle of the
Northwest League season, Campos had a big year across the board with Everett,
showing good command, groundball ability, and strikeout ability.
Of course, performance in short-season leagues alone isn’t going to get a
player on a top 100 list; he has to have upside beyond that, and Campos does.
He’s got a bigtime fastball, coming in at 91-93 mph with heavy action on it,
and his projectable frame should allow him to gain more velocity. He already
does an excellent job spotting the pitch, as evidenced by his superb
performance.
Campos already complements the fastball with a solid slider, and while he
needs to develop a third pitch, he’s so young that he has plenty of time to
figure that out.
Mechanically, Campos is quite smooth, and there aren’t any major red flags
in his motion. With his size and easy delivery, he projects to handle a big
workload in the big leagues.
Why He’s This Low: Campos obviously still has a lot to prove, being a
19-year-old pitcher who has yet to see full-season action yet. He’ll need to
prove his arm can hold up for a full season, and that his performance will
translate against more advanced hitters.
More in the long term, he’ll need to develop a changeup, and both his
fastball and slider will need to take a step forward if he’s going to
project as a front-of-the-rotation guy. It’s reasonable to expect that those
improvements could all occur, due to his projectability and the amount of
time he’ll have to refine everything, but far stranger things have happened
than the stagnation of a seemingly projectable pitcher.
Conclusions: Campos has bigtime upside, but he’s a long way from the big
leagues and he thus has many improvements to make if he’s going to approach
his upside. It’s telling that he’s come this far this fast–a year ago, he
was barely a blip on the prospect radar, and now this rating might almost
look conservative–Baseball America placed Campos third on its list of top
Northwest League prospects (although, incidentally, he’s the only NWL
prospect to make my top 100), calling him the “most electric arm” in the
circuit.
Since he’s so raw and unproven, I’m being conservative with this ranking
and not pushing him even higher, but Campos is a pitcher who could put
himself in the top 50 conversation just by sustaining his performance next
year in Low-A and staying healthy. The development of his offspeed stuff will
determine whether he’s just an innings-eater or a legitimate frontline
starter, and while such dramatic improvements are quite plausible, it’s
equally sensible to maintain some skepticism about what sort of gains he’s
going to make.
In any case, he’s an exciting young arm to keep tabs on; his performance in
2012 could push him quite far up or down prospect lists.
http://seedlingstostars.com/2011/10/17/the-seedlings-to-stars-2012-top-100-prospects-82-jose-campos/
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