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by John Sickels on Jan 14, 2012 5:05 PM EST
The Seattle Mariners traded pitcher Michael Pineda and pitcher Jose Campos to
the New York Yankees on January 13, 2012, in exchange for catcher/DH Jesus
Montero and pitcher Hector Noesi. Here is a look at the players involved.
Jose Campos, RHP: A Venezuelan signed by the Mariners in 2009, Campos posted
a 2.32 ERA with an 85/13 K/BB in 81 innings for Everett in the short-season
Northwest League in 2011, allowing 66 hits with a 1.67 GO/AO. This was his
North American debut. Listed at 6-4, 200, Campos is a right-handed hitter and
thrower, born July 27, 1992.
Campos works at 92-95 MPH. He already throws quality strikes and scouts love
his fastball, but his curveball and changeup are works in progress. If his
secondary stuff develops properly, he can be at least a mid-rotation starter
and possibly much more than that. He's at least two years away, but was
remarkably successful given his lack of experience last summer. I am giving
him a Grade B in the 2012 Baseball Prospect Book.
Jesus Montero, C-DH: Montero is a right-handed hitter and thrower, listed at
6-4, 235, born November 28, 1989. He hit .288/.348/.467 with 18 homers in 420
at-bats for Triple-A Scranton last year, then hit .328/.406/.590 in 18 major
league games. He is a career .308/.366/.501 hitter in the minor leagues.
Montero has been around for awhile and people are quite familiar with him,
perhaps overly so. Just for some perspective, if Jesus Montero had gone to a
college in North America, 2011 would have been his junior/draft year and he
would just now be getting into pro ball. He will hit for power and average.
What he did in his 18-game major league trial, while at the upper bounds of
expectation, was not a fluke; the guy can simply mash.
Montero has improved as a defensive catcher but is still not very good. He's
lowered his passed ball and error rates, but still threw out just 20% of
runners last year. He's likely to end up as a DH, but if he hits as he's
capable, he'll be an excellent one. He is not just a slugger but has good
pure hitting skills as well. I rate him a Grade A prospect despite his
defensive limitations.
Hector Noesi, RHP: Noesi is no longer a rookie, having pitched 56 innings for
the Yankees in 2011, posting 45/22 K/BB with a 4.47 ERA, 63 hits allowed, and
a 99 ERA+. He turns 25 later this month. He's not a spectacular pitcher, but
he has some ability and I think he can be useful as an inning-eater type due
to his control, especially in an environment like Seattle which favors
pitching. He can't replace Pineda in direct talent terms, but the Mariners
don't expect him to. At worst he'll be a competent middle reliever or fifth
starter.
Michael Pineda, RHP: Like Noesi, Pineda (who turns 23 this month) is no
longer a rookie. He came into 2011 as a Grade A prospect and the Number Five
pitching prospect in all of baseball on my pre-season list. He posted a 3.74
ERA with a 175/33 K/BB in 171 innings for the Mariners, allowing 133 hits
with a 103 ERA+. He has the physical ability to be a number one starter, but
of course he'll have to prove he can stay healthy.
In the end, I can understand this trade from both sides. Both sides are
gambling that the key chits (Pineda and Montero) are at their peak perceived
value on the trade market, before they get too expensive. Montero should
become a guy you anchor your lineup around. The Mariners need that. Pineda
should become a guy you anchor your rotation around, and the Yankees need one
of those.
In theory this will work for both teams, but both of these guys have risks as
well: Montero's performance in Triple-A hasn't always been as good as
anticipated, and he's got a bad glove. Pineda is a pitcher and he could
easily get hurt or otherwise fail to thrive.
Baseball history is littered with trades that had unexpected or weird
outcomes. In this case, an unexpected outcome would be Campos or (especially)
Noesi turning out to be the most valuable player involved. Stranger things
have happened.
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