Re: [閒聊] Jose Campos

[nickyang (肌腱炎者少打字)]

※ 引述《beckseaton (沒有運動會死)》之銘言：
: The Seedlings To Stars 2012 Top 100 Prospects,
: #82: Jose Campos
: Name: Jose Campos
: DOB: 7/27/92
: Organization: Mariners
: Position: Pitcher
: Notable 2011 Stats: 2.32 ERA, 2.38 FIP, 4 HRA, 13 BB, 85 K, 51% GB% in 81 1/3
: IP with Everett (Short-season-A)
: Why He’s This High: Despite turning just 19 toward the middle of the
: Northwest League season, Campos had a big year across the board with Everett,
: showing good command, groundball ability, and strikeout ability.
強項：
才19歲的Campos去年在短盟幹得很好，好控球、滾球、會K

: Of course, performance in short-season leagues alone isn’t going to get a
: player on a top 100 list; he has to have upside beyond that, and Campos does.
: He’s got a bigtime fastball, coming in at 91-93 mph with heavy action on it,
: and his projectable frame should allow him to gain more velocity. He already
: does an excellent job spotting the pitch, as evidenced by his superb
: performance.
Campos的天分在Top100，91-93帶尾勁的速球，從姿勢來看以後可能會更快
他現在已經滿知道怎麼用他的武器

: Campos already complements the fastball with a solid slider, and while he
: needs to develop a third pitch, he’s so young that he has plenty of time to
: figure that out.
Campos已經知道怎麼搭配他的速球跟滑球，他需要第三個球路而他還有很多時間去發展

: Mechanically, Campos is quite smooth, and there aren’t any major red flags
: in his motion. With his size and easy delivery, he projects to handle a big
: workload in the big leagues.
投球機制很順，大致沒有什麼嚴重的缺點在他目前的姿勢。
他的身材跟姿勢看起來可以在大聯盟吃很多局數

: Why He’s This Low: Campos obviously still has a lot to prove, being a
: 19-year-old pitcher who has yet to see full-season action yet. He’ll need to
: prove his arm can hold up for a full season, and that his performance will
: translate against more advanced hitters.
弱項：還沒丟過完整球季，他的表現也會受到更高階的打者檢驗

: More in the long term, he’ll need to develop a changeup, and both his
: fastball and slider will need to take a step forward if he’s going to
: project as a front-of-the-rotation guy. It’s reasonable to expect that those
: improvements could all occur, due to his projectability and the amount of
: time he’ll have to refine everything, but far stranger things have happened
: than the stagnation of a seemingly projectable pitcher.
長期來說他需要變速球，速球跟滑球也都需要進步如果他想站前段輪值
從他的年紀跟天份來看這是可以預期的，但是你永遠都不知道會發生什麼事

: Conclusions: Campos has bigtime upside, but he’s a long way from the big
: leagues and he thus has many improvements to make if he’s going to approach
: his upside. It’s telling that he’s come this far this fast–a year ago, he
: was barely a blip on the prospect radar, and now this rating might almost
: look conservative–Baseball America placed Campos third on its list of top
: Northwest League prospects (although, incidentally, he’s the only NWL
: prospect to make my top 100), calling him the “most electric arm” in the
: circuit.
結論：Campos天花板很高，但他離大聯盟太遠還太難講
一年之前他還不過是球探們雷達上的一個小點，現在已經被BA放在西北短盟的新秀第三名
（他也是唯一個被作者放進TOP100的西北短盟球約）

: Since he’s so raw and unproven, I’m being conservative with this ranking
: and not pushing him even higher, but Campos is a pitcher who could put
: himself in the top 50 conversation just by sustaining his performance next
: year in Low-A and staying healthy. The development of his offspeed stuff will
: determine whether he’s just an innings-eater or a legitimate frontline
: starter, and while such dramatic improvements are quite plausible, it’s
: equally sensible to maintain some skepticism about what sort of gains he’s
: going to make.
現在他還太嫩，作者對於把他估得更高趨向保守，不過只要他明年維持表現並且健康
要進入TOP50很容易。關鍵在於他是否能發展出搭配速差的球路

: In any case, he’s an exciting young arm to keep tabs on; his performance in
: 2012 could push him quite far up or down prospect lists.
: http://seedlingstostars.com/2011/10/17/the-seedlings-to-stars-2012-top-100-prospects-82-jose-campos/

感想：年底再看看吧

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◆ From: 66.66.11.17
→ mithralin   :他的天花板是王建民還是Doc啊?
推 devilsky    :怎麼會出現老王...他會K嗎
推 Sechslee    :因為1F只認識這兩個人
推 prostitute  :樓上酸酸 不過我喜歡
推 ken86607    :感謝翻譯!!!  不過這隻真的賺嗎??
推 krizarlid   :多凹到這隻就是水兵不爽的原因
推 kyo06       :養起來就賺翻了，養不起來也沒差，反正不是主要目標
推 Hiro2       :一樓說的兩種天花板高度也差太多了吧? 哈
→ realestate  :一個三號工作馬 跟一個Ace  這天花板差有點多
推 magicagar   :王的天花板也不到Doc  差太多了  XD
推 asd25       :三年後再說
推 TRAP        :一樓不是在問天花板？
→ TRAP        :如果舉出兩個等級差不多的人來問才真的很奇怪吧
→ cyhung1025  :我也覺得一樓問法沒問題阿= = 又不是說他們相等
→ MonsterBacon:推!~
推 DLCSEA      :一樓的意思應該是說倒底是會變3.4號 還是ACE呢?
推 kenro       :不酸王好像不能顯示自己是資深球迷，真是夠了
→ kenro       :就只是配菜雜魚，也能開始因條紋聖衣而捧
→ kiuo        :就是這個配菜讓我們在這筆交易中賺到,至於說他是雜魚
→ kiuo        :你可以去SEA板講他是雜魚試試
推 krizarlid   :樓樓上...好歹看一下外電 這隻可是BAtop100的
→ krizarlid   :水兵農場第5個大物 Noesi能偷到這隻算很好了
→ krizarlid   :Sickels認為他可以是中段輪值以上
推 GDBS        :所以我們的農場投手從3B變成BBC了
推 ELF007      :這支離MLB還有一段距離  變數太大了
推 krizarlid   :是很遠 不過凹到也可以拿來當未來的交易籌碼
→ Tukiyomi    :什麼BATop100 不要亂講 是John Sickels排的水兵Top5