[討論] FA新的補償機制季末的影響

[OoyaoO (你今天崩潰了嗎 囧)]

http://tinyurl.com/99dcemu

Forget about Type-A and Type-B. Forget about offering arbitration. Forget
about first-round picks going from one team to another.

Baseball’s free agent compensation system has been radically changed by the
new collective bargaining agreement, and in the next week or so we’re going
to hear a lot about qualifying offers and eliminated first-round picks. If
you want to have the changes broken down into bullet points, go here to MLB
Trade Rumors. If you want to have Jim Callis explain it quickly and easily,
go here to Baseball America.

過去的FA照TypeA、TypeB分級拿到補償的機制已經不見了

今年所有FA補償都一樣，看球隊是否提出Qualifying offer

If you don’t want to click a link, here are the basics.

Which free agents are eligible for compensation?
Only players who spent the entire season with one franchise are eligible for
compensation. Any mid-season trade addition or waiver claim is ineligible.
For the Yankees, that means guys like Ichiro Suzuki and Derek Lowe.
球員必須要整個2012球季都在同一支球隊，該球隊才有獲得補償選秀的資格

那些在季中被交易的球員都沒辦法幫新球隊凹到選秀籤

（這應該也是為什麼今年季中被交易的大咖拿到的包裹沒有往年這麼肥的原因）


Every other free agent – anyone who did spend the entire season with one
team – is eligible, as long as his former team is willing to offer a
qualifying contract. This year, a qualifying contract is at least one year,
$13.3 million (that number will change year to year based on the average
salary of the 125 highest-paid players in the game).

Players who are not given a qualifying offer become free agents with no
compensation attached to them.
如果一個球員在一個球隊待滿整個2012球季，季末成為FA，原球隊只要提供

qualifying contract被拒絕後，該名球員被其他球隊簽下後原球隊即可拿到一支

補償選秀籤，如果原球員沒有提供qualifying contract則無法凹到選秀籤

qualifying contract的數字每年都會變，今年是至少13.3M/Y


When do teams have to make a qualifying offer?
Teams have until five days after the World Series to make a qualifying offer.
Players have seven days to accept to reject a qualifying offer.

WS結束後的五天內球隊可以絕對是否提供qualifying offer，而球員有七天時間決定

是否接受

If a player accepts a qualifying offer, he goes back to his former team for
$13.3 million (or more, depending on the offer). If the player rejects the
qualifying offer, he becomes a free agent, and his former team is eligible
for compensation if he signs elsewhere.

What is the compensation for losing a qualified free agent?
There are no more Type-A and Type-B free agents. All compensation free agents
are the same.

When player rejects a qualifying offer and signs elsewhere, his former team
will receive one draft pick between the first and second rounds.

The player’s new team will lose its first-round pick (the top 10 picks are
protected, so if the signing team picks in the top 10, it loses its
second-round pick). Those lost picks go nowhere. They are simply lost and
everyone else moves up a spot.

球員如果接受qualifying offer當然就照這個數字留在原球隊，如果球員拒絕而跟別的

隊伍簽約，那原球隊就可以獲得一個1、2輪間的選秀籤，而簽下該球員的隊伍第一輪籤

就不見了，其他選秀順序排在該隊伍後面的自動上升一格

不過前十順位是受保護的，有前十順位籤的球隊即使簽下拒絕過QO的球員也只是失去

第二輪的籤而已

How does this affect the Yankees?

OK，講這麼多來談談這新規則對NYY的影響吧

It really means they have two choices to make.

With guys like Andy Pettitte and Mariano Rivera, there’s really no risk in
them signing elsewhere and nothing to be gained from a qualifying offer. Guys
like Raul Ibanez, Freddy Garcia and Russell Martin aren’t $13-million
players, so there’s no chance they’ll receive qualifying offers. Even
Hiroki Kuroda, who was outstanding, made well below $13.3 million this year.

The two to consider are Nick Swisher and Rafael Soriano. For Swisher, $13.3
million would be a solid raise over what he was making this year, but he’s
probably after a multi-year contract this winter (and even if he accepted, it
wouldn’t be the worst thing in the world for the Yankees). Soriano is
expected to opt out of $14 million, and he too is expected to be after a
multi-year contract.

It seems likely that the Yankees will extend a qualifying offer to those two,
and receive two additional draft picks when they sign elsewhere.

今年季末會變成FA的人

Pettitte
MO
Martin
Garcia
三老（Chavez/Ibanez/Jones）
黑田
Swisher
Soriano（如果他放棄option）

前面幾個不用講了，提13.3M不接受才有鬼，而Andy跟MO應該是NYYor退休

雖然原文作者認為就算是今年表現突出的黑田也會輕易選擇接受13.3M/Y

但是自己覺得憑他這麼多年穩定的表現，今年又這麼威，應該也很有機會拿到一張2年約

討論的是Swisher跟Soriano

Swisher年年穩定的成績足以幫他在FA拿到一張很不錯的合約，所以是應該提給他offer

就算他接受了也不是什麼壞事，畢竟一年13.3M使用Swisher也不算太划不來

他會同意的機率應該也不高


Soriano明年有14M的球員選擇權（他拒絕的話可以拿到1.5M的買斷金）

以他今年的表現絕對可以拒絕執行option去FA拼一張大約的

那要不要提供offer給他？ 畢竟13.3M也不低

有個問題↓

（如果他拒絕option球隊又提供他offer而他又接受，那他等於明年可以拿到13.3+1.5？）

不過他拒絕的話代表他認為可以拿到比14M/Y更划算的offer，所以就算提給他應該也是

很安全，接受機率不高







--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) 
◆ From: 123.0.249.8
推 wen8499     :給推~~~
推 enthusiasm  :不覺得拿補償有甚麼不好 照新規可能2X~3X選到
→ enthusiasm  :以前第一輪選到都跟第二輪沒兩樣了
推 wen8499     :選對貨比較重要~~
推 nickyang    :現在有簽約金pool，三明治會比以前有價值
推 tokuda      :現金人要算得精了...短期投資還是長期發展...
推 tokuda      :目前似乎可以拿兩支籤了 就看其他想要複數年約的如何
推 MonsterBacon:養也很重要阿!
推 dp44        :出清2人還不錯  一個RP要14M 太貴了
→ dp44        :我是懷疑還會有人願意出到那麼多買Sori嗎
推 enthusiasm  :這不是NY的問題 sori跳就給QO 接不接受也不是NY決定
→ enthusiasm  :不接受找不到新的傻子或是簽少了 也不是NY的問題
推 dp44        :希望Sori可以跳XD
推 helmet10845 :黑田不是自己要求要一年一簽的嗎?
推 enthusiasm  :上季他錯估情勢的樣子 現在就開給他QO看怎麼發展
推 GoldenWasabi:SORI今年跳是最佳時機啊~~~MO還可能退休...........
推 marstar     :Sori跳脫，MO:我不退休了，Sori:幹！MO你婊我
→ marstar     :以上為設計對白
推 GDBS        :撿了Cano, Grandy & Aardsma的Option