推 marios:最後一題XDDD 10/02 09:15
原文:http://www.natsinsider.com/2011/09/revisiting-those-predictions.html#more
So, you may recall back on Opening Day, I and my counterparts on the
Nationals beat made some predictions for the 2011 season. Easy stuff like,
you know: How many games will they win this year, and what will their exact
home attendance be for the season?
讓我們回到球季開幕日吧，我(指本文作者MZ)和我的同行為國民的2011球季做了些
預測。一些簡單的像是這季會贏幾場或是主場觀眾會有多少人?
It's only fair, of course, that we now hold ourselves accountable to those
predictions, as terribly wrong as we were. Hey, how could I sleep at night
letting you all believe I predicted Tyler Clippard would make the All-Star
team and Ryan Zimmerman wouldn't? (Oh wait, that's not at all what I
predicted.)
現在我們要為我們的預測負責了，有些我們錯得離譜。嘿，我如何讓你們相信我預測
眼鏡哥會代表國民打明星賽而Zimmerman不會呢?(等等，這不是我當時預測的)
So without further ado, here's a look back at what we all guessed back on
Opening Day, and what actually happened...
事不宜遲，讓我們回到開幕日當天看看我們都預測了些什麼...
1.誰代表國民打明星賽?
Who will represent the team at the All-Star Game?
Mark Zuckerman (CSNWashington.com) -- Ryan Zimmerman
Adam Kilgore (Washington Post) -- Ryan Zimmerman, Jayson Werth and Sean
Burnett
Dave Sheinin (Washington Post) -- Ryan Zimmerman
Amanda Comak (Washington Times) -- Ryan Zimmerman
Ben Goessling (MASNsports.com) -- Ryan Zimmerman and Jayson Werth
Pete Kerzel (MASNsports.com) -- Ryan Zimmerman
Bill Ladson (MLB.com) -- Ryan Zimmerman, Jayson Werth and Danny Espinosa
Craig Heist (WTOP) -- Ryan Zimmerman and Jayson Werth
WINNER: No one. Nobody had Tyler Clippard, though I suppose
Kilgore gets some credit for picking a setup man, just the wrong one.
沒人猜中。我認為Kilgore比較接近只是他猜成另一個SU。
2.本季主場觀眾共有多少人？
What will total home attendance be?
Craig Heist -- 2,512,759
Bill Ladson -- 2,500,000
Pete Kerzel -- 1,987,654
Dave Sheinin -- 1,841,000
Amanda Comak -- 1,640,000
Ben Goessling -- 1,585,000
Mark Zuckerman -- 1,562,538
Adam Kilgore -- 1,200,000
WINNER: Kerzel, who missed the actual total of 1,940,478 by a mere 47,176.
Not bad.
Kerzel猜對了，只跟結果1,940,478相差47,176人，不錯。
3.小史哪時候能重回大聯盟先發?
When will Stephen Strasburg make his next start in the majors?
Craig Heist -- Aug. 21 vs. Phillies
Bill Ladson -- Aug. 28 at Reds
Amanda Comak -- Sept. 2 vs. Mets
Mark Zuckerman -- Sept. 6 vs. Dodgers
Ben Goessling -- Sept. 9 vs. Astros
Adam Kilgore -- Sept. 23 vs. Braves
Pete Kerzel -- April 2012
Dave Sheinin -- April 2012
WINNER: Yours truly. Somehow, I managed to nail down the exact date. Hey, you
know what they say about the blind pig...
小弟不才猜中正解了。(後面不會翻)
4.飛吻哥會在哪結束球季?
Where will Bryce Harper finish the season?
Adam Kilgore -- Washington
Pete Kerzel -- Washington
Craig Heist -- Washington
Amanda Comak -- Washington
Bill Ladson -- Washington
Mark Zuckerman -- Harrisburg
Ben Goessling -- Harrisburg
Dave Sheinin -- Harrisburg
WINNER: Me, Goessling and Sheinin.
答案是2A，我、Goessling、Sheinin都猜中了.
5.今年飛吻哥會打幾支全壘打呢?
How many total home runs will Harper hit in 2011?
Adam Kilgore -- 31
Mark Zuckerman -- 29
Amanda Comak -- 27
Bill Ladson -- 25
Dave Sheinin -- 24
Pete Kerzel -- 23
Craig Heist -- 22
Ben Goessling -- 19
WINNER: Goessling. Harper finished the season with 17.
6.今年Desmond會失誤幾次?
How many errors will Ian Desmond commit?
Dave Sheinin -- 28
Pete Kerzel -- 28
Ben Goessling -- 26
Mark Zuckerman -- 25
Adam Kilgore -- 25
Amanda Comak -- 24
Craig Heist -- 23
Bill Ladson -- 20
WINNER: Heist, who correctly predicted Desmond would finish with 23 errors.
7.今年鬍子會打幾分打點?
How many RBI will Jayson Werth finish the season with?
Craig Heist -- 101
Adam Kilgore -- 92
Bill Ladson -- 90
Pete Kerzel -- 89
Ben Goessling -- 88
Dave Sheinin -- 88
Mark Zuckerman -- 86
Amanda Comak -- 83
WINNER: Comak, though that's more by default than anything, because Werth
amassed a scant 58 RBI this year.
8.今年的勝投王是誰?拿了幾勝?
Who will lead the pitching staff in wins? How many wins?
Bill Ladson -- Jordan Zimmermann, 15
Mark Zuckerman -- John Lannan, 13
Adam Kilgore -- Tom Gorzelanny, 13
Craig Heist -- Jason Marquis, 13
Dave Sheinin -- Jason Marquis, 13
Amanda Comak -- Jordan Zimmermann, 13
Ben Goessling -- John Lannan, 12
Pete Kerzel -- Jordan Zimmermann, 12
WINNER: Goessling. Lannan led the staff, though only with 10 wins.
9.誰是國民今年的救援王?幾次?
Who will lead the pitching staff in saves? How many saves?
Bill Ladson -- Sean Burnett, 25
Adam Kilgore -- Drew Storen, 24
Dave Sheinin -- Drew Storen, 24
Craig Heist -- Drew Storen, 23
Pete Kerzel -- Drew Storen, 22
Ben Goessling -- Drew Storen, 21
Amanda Comak -- Sean Burnett, 20
Mark Zuckerman -- Drew Storen, 19
WINNER: Kilgore, though he came up well short of Storen's incredible total of
43.
10.哪時候國民會動用到第6號先發投手?
When will they use a sixth starting pitcher for the first time?
Dave Sheinin -- April 22 at Pirates
Pete Kerzel -- April 23 at Pirates
Adam Kilgore -- April 30 vs. Giants
Craig Heist -- May 1 vs. Giants
Ben Goessling -- May 5 at Phillies
Mark Zuckerman -- May 8 at Marlins
Bill Ladson -- May 15 vs. Marlins
Amanda Comak -- June 1 vs. Phillies
WINNER: Comak, who missed by only three days. Yunesky Maya became the Nats'
sixth starting pitcher on May 29.
11.國民今年會贏幾場?
How many games will the Nats win this season?
Bill Ladson -- 82
Craig Heist -- 78
Mark Zuckerman -- 77
Pete Kerzel -- 77
Adam Kilgore -- 76
Dave Sheinin -- 76
Ben Goessling -- 74
Amanda Comak -- 74
WINNER: It's a tie between Ladson and Heist since the Nats finished with 80
wins. Those two arch-rivals will have to settle this duel with a televised
debate on whether Rafael Palmeiro and Mike Mussina are Hall of Famers. (Hmm,
that could take a long time to settle. Might have to tell the networks to set
aside a full three hours of primetime.)
Ladson猜的和Heist猜的都差了2場，國民今年拿了80勝。這兩個死對頭即將針對
Rafael Palmeiro 和 Mike Mussina誰該進名人堂作辯論。(可能會吵很久，
應該告訴電視台留三小時給他們)
12.加分題:小Zuckerman哪時候會出生?(預產期10.4)
Special bonus question: When will the Zuckerman baby be born?
(Due date: Oct. 4)
Bill Ladson -- Sept. 28
Pete Kerzel -- Sept. 30
Amanda Comak -- Sept. 30
Craig Heist -- Oct. 1
Mark Zuckerman -- Oct. 2
Adam Kilgore -- Oct. 7
Ben Goessling -- Oct. 9
Dave Sheinin -- Oct. 14
WINNER: Ladson, but nobody came close to getting it right. Brian was born on
Aug. 29, five weeks early.
Ladson猜對了。但是Brain Zuckerman在8.29就出生了早了5個星期。
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