推 ddtddt:thx 11/22 22:32
推 maiyan:推翻譯!! 11/23 11:08
※ 編輯: vg175 來自: 220.133.12.197 (11/23 20:29)
http://prospect361.com/nl-team-prospects/washington-nationals/
Let’s face it; the Washington Nationals were bad at the right time.
By having the worst record in 2008 and 2009, they were able to draft
two generational talents in Bryce Harper and Stephen Strasburg.
Both are already contributing at a high-level in the majors.
However, if you think their minor league organization is now void of
talent, guess again. While it’s a bit top heavy, there are several
elite prospects that could be in Washington over the next couple of
years, setting the Nats up to become a force for a long-time.
就來面對現實吧！國民在最棒的時間點擺出最爛的戰績，基於爛翻天的 08與09
年，國民得以選進天才洋溢的Bryce Harper及Stephen Strasburg，兩個都已經
在大聯盟打出頂尖成績。然而如果你認為他們的農場已經空空如也 ，再回去多
想想。也許有點頭重腳輕 ，他們還是有不少頂級新秀可以在未來幾年內成為球
隊的助力，幫忙將國民打造成聯盟中的長期強權。
At the top of the list is third baseman Anthony Rendon. With a
promising hit-tool and future power, Rendon may only be months away
from the majors if he can just stay healthy. Brian Goodwin could be
the answer for the Nationals in center field as he brings a dynamic
speed/power combination with excellent defense. Alex Meyer is an
enormous man at 6-foot-9 with electric stuff and control that has
been better than I thought when he was drafted.
這份名單裡最頂端的就是 Anthony Rendon。擁有極佳打擊技巧，砲瓦未來性也
相當可期；如果他能夠保持健康， Rendon距大聯盟真的只有短短幾個月而已。
Brian Goodwin可以是中外野的解答，他不只具備爆炸性的速度與力量，防守端
亦是相當傑出。 Alex Meyer這個6呎9吋的大傢伙搭載的才能及控球都十分驚人
，甚至比當初選秀時我所預測的更為出色。
The big wildcard in the system is 2012 first round pick, Lucas Giolito.
A teenager with a huge arm that demonstrated good command in
high school had Tommy John Surgery after pitching two innings of
professional ball. He has top-of-the-rotation potential, but we
might not see much of him until 2014.
農場裡最關鍵賭注非今年首輪的Lucas Giolito莫屬。這名未成年弟弟高中時期
手臂之強大早已聲名遠播，可惜進入職業的第一年只投兩局就進廠開 TJ。他的
潛力足以擔起前段輪值，不過2014年以前我們看到他的機會並不太多。
★★★★★ 頂級全明星
★★★★ 生涯可能擠進一兩次明星賽
★★★ 有機會站上且站穩大聯盟
★★ 不見得有機會站穩大聯盟
★ 就是個農場貨
10. Sammy Solis (LHP)
Sammy Solis had a really nice 2011 season including a dominating
performance that I saw him pitch in the Arizona Fall League.
Unfortunately, shortly after that start, Solis felt a twinge in his
elbow and in March of 2012, had Tommy John Surgery. He should be
back on the mound in 2013 and if he recovers, has the ability to
pitch in the majors. He has a nice fastball that sits in the low
90’s with a good curve and change-up. He also throws strikes,
walking 11 in 56.1 innings in the Carolina League in 2011.
Sammy Solis去年有個非常棒的球季，包括我親眼見識到他在 AFL是怎麼屠宰打
者。很不幸在那之後的短短時間裡，Solis就感覺手肘劇痛，今年三月也動了TJ
解決。明年他將回到投手丘而如果他能恢復，他也將找到登上大聯盟的能力 。
Solis能投不錯的速球，均速在low-90左右；曲球與變速球也夠水準。他也可以
把球控進好球帶，去年在Carolina League投了56.1局僅有11次保送。
9. Chris Marrero (1B)
It was a bit of a lost season for first baseman Chris Marrero as he
hit the DL in early April with a hamstring problem and never got it
going. In a 179 at-bats he hit three home runs and none in 127
at-bats in Triple-A. Marrero does have power but struggles with his
mechanics which can result in a loss of contact ability or just weak
swings. I’m not sure Marrero’s ceiling is much more than a utility
player receiving 250 at-bats a year.
對Chris Marrero來說2012年失去的時間有點多了。四月初他就因為腿部肌腱問
題躺進DL，情況也沒有好轉。今年他在179個打數中敲出3轟，沒半轟是打在127
個3A打數裡。Marrero的砲瓦絕對沒問題，但掙扎的揮棒機制會導致他失去擊中
球的能力，或者只能虛弱地出棒。很難去說Marrero的天花板是否只會是個一年
250個打數的工具人而已。
8. Eury Perez (OF)
With seven home runs in four professional seasons, Perez is all about
making contact and stealing bases. Across three levels in 2012, Perez
stole 49 bases including three in a September call-up. While he
makes good contact, he’s also super aggressive having only walked 15
times in 515 at-bats. While I’m not sure Perez is much more than a
fourth outfielder, he could provide sneaky short-term stolen base
opportunities for fantasy owners. So fantasy players, remember the name.
四個職業球季總共只扛出7轟，Perez顯然是個專靠contact與盜壘吃飯的傢伙。
今年三個層級 Perez總共盜了49次，包含九月上來後也盜過3次。雖然他擊球能
力不錯，過於積極的出棒卻使他在515個打數裡只有15次保送。不敢說把 Perez
擺四號OF算低估，但他的確能靠隱密的盜壘能力製造更多機會。
7. Nathan Karns (RHP)
In his junior year in Texas Tech, Nate Karns had thoughts of going
as a top 100 player in the Year of Trout (2009). However, he pitched
poorly and once drafted by the Nats in the 10th round, doctors found a
torn labrum that cost him all of the 2010 season as well as good part
of 2011. Seemingly fully healthy, Karns had an impressive 2012,
striking out 144 batters in 166.0 innings while walking 47. Granted he
was old for Low-A, his arsenal looked solid with a 92-93 MPH fastball
and a nasty curveball that gets a lot of swing a misses. I expect him
to start 2013 in Double-A and he could be an early 2013 “Pop-up” guy.
當Karns還在德州理工唸低年級時選秀順位絕對是前百大，然而貧乏的投球內容
使他掉到第10輪才被國民選走。之後醫生更發現他的右肩關節唇發生撕裂傷 ，
傷勢逼使他放棄整個2010年，2011年超過半季也都沒辦法出賽。今年Karns看來
似乎完全恢復健康也繳出亮眼成績，他在166局裡三振144次，投出47個保送 。
以他的年紀還待在1A似乎太晚了點。 Karns用92~93左右的結實速球搭配噁心的
曲球造成不少揮棒落空，我預測他明年將從2A起步而且很快就能往上彈升。
6. Michael Taylor (OF) ★★★
DOB: March 26, 1991 BP: Florida
Ht: 6-2 Weight: 190 Bats: R Throws: R ETA: 2013-14
Year Class AB R HR RBI SB Avg OBP C% BB% BABI
2012 A+ 384 51 17 68 23 .242 .318 70.6 10.4 .333
When asked who in the Nationals system should “I know more about”.
The answer was frequently Michael Taylor. I know many of you are
thinking that he use to play for Oakland, but that’s a different
Taylor. Washington Michael Taylor is an athletic center fielder who
has great speed and power potential. Yeah, I know it sounds a lot
like Oakland Michael Taylor, but it’s really a different guy.
當問起國民農場裡”我應該要更了解誰”，答案通常是 Michael Taylor。我知
道你們會想到那個在奧克蘭打球的那個，但他們只是同名同姓而已 。華盛頓的
Michael Taylor是個敏捷的中外野手，擁有絕佳速度及砲瓦。好啦，我知道聽
起來真的很像奧克蘭那個，但他們真的不是同一個人。
The people I spoke with in prepping this profile love Taylor’s swing.
Although the swing is long and Taylor’s mechanics can get out of sync,
they believe in his natural power stroke. The approach is good with
the ability to take pitches and a plan once he gets two strikes.
While I respect the opinion, I’m not as bullish as I think he’ll
struggle against lefties and might in the end, be a platoon player or
a fourth outfielder.
給 Taylor做評估的人很喜歡他的揮棒。雖然他的揮棒幅度過大而且揮擊機制不
穩定，他們還是相信他與生俱來的砲瓦。 Taylor也有能力耗費投手用球數，即
使是在兩好球之後。我尊重他們的意見，但我也沒在唱衰 ，我認為他對左投會
出問題，而最後可能只會是個代打或四號OF。
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