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Washington Nationals
Org rank: 18
Farm system overview
Similar to last year's top 10, the Nationals' current list boasts a strong
front five with a bit of a drop-off to the rest of the system.
十大跟去年很像。前五很好很強大但跟其他有落差。
Lucas Giolito has ace upside once he builds up the durability to handle a full
workload; he's just a few months back from Tommy John surgery and rehab and is
all potential right now. A.J. Cole re-established himself as a starting
pitching candidate, bouncing back from a poor year in exile with the A's. Both
Nate Karns and Sammy Solis could be someone's starters, although there's no
room at the inn in Washington right now.
Giolito只要能順暢轉完整季可以上看王牌，
才TJ復出幾個月就把潛能都挖回來。
悲愴的一年綠帽人過後Cole成功反彈。
Karns與Solis都有成為某隊先發的可能，
但目前的國民沒有空間。
Jefry Rodriguez is very intriguing as a converted shortstop who's up to 98 with
a power curveball, but as you might expect has even further to go than your
typical rookie-ball pitcher because he's new to the craft. The Nationals' first
pick in 2013, Jake Johansen, was a little underwhelming as their top selection
(they didn't have a first-round pick), a power arm who almost certainly
projects as a reliever down the line.
神奇的Jefry Rodriguez以SS被簽進來，
速球卻能98且搭強力大曲。
甚至會長到比你想像中的典型菜鳥更強，因為他才剛轉職。
去年第一指名Jake Johansen普普通通，
通常這種火臂將來幾乎都會養成RP。
Beyond the top 10, they did get solid pro debuts from right-hander Austin Voth
(No. 11), who was 90-94 with a solid-average slider, and third baseman Drew
Ward (No. 12), a very physical kid who may end up at first base but has the
potential for impact power.
90-94速球加平均以上滑球的右投Austin Voth排11，
活力四射的小子Drew Ward排12，
最後也許會站到1B也有巨砲的潛能。
2014 impact
Karns had a cup of coffee last year and could help the Nats again this year as
a spot starter or in a long relief role, which might be ideal for him as he
needs work on turning a lineup over more than anything else. Outfielder Eury
Perez would be a good bench candidate for someone, even if it's not here.
去年上來喝過咖啡的Karns今年也還有可能幫助球隊，
跟先發比起來爭取長中繼對他回國民或許更有利。
儘管在這裡沒有機會，
Eury Perez對某些人而言依舊是不錯的板凳外野。
The fallen
I think the Matt Purke ship has probably sailed at this point; the overhyped,
overpaid lefty threw just 90 innings this year, all in Class A, and looked like
a future reliever between his low slot and average-ish velocity. He's now about
14 months removed from shoulder surgery, much of the blame for which lies not
with him, but with the TCU coaching staff that worked him hard his freshman
year and continued to roll him out there his sophomore year when he was
obviously ailing.
我想Purke是時候決定發展方向了。
這個過譽又太貴的左投今年只在1A吃90局，
因為出手點低跟平庸的球速使他未來似乎更像RP。
肩膀手術後已經過14個月，這不能怪他，
因為TCU教練團從他入學後就只想操翻他，
操到大二已經明顯出問題了也不肯罷手。
Sleeper
Pedro Severino was an All-Star in the Sally League this year, primarily because
of his defense -- he's a superb pitch-framer with a 70 or 80 arm, with the rare
combination of strength and flexibility that's ideal for the position. At the
plate, he's very balanced with a clean, efficient swing; there's probably not a
lot of future power there, but he should make plenty of contact and hit for
average. The defense is the calling card here, enough to get him to the big
leagues at a young age while the bat develops.
Pedro Severino今年因為防守能力入選Sally League全明星，
他兼具威力與柔軟度的超強臂力有70或80分。
以捕手這個位置來說相當理想。
打擊區裡他的揮棒乾淨俐落有效率，
也許砲瓦生不出來但他能碰得到球也可達到平均打擊率。
防守已經很有水準，
只要棒子往上長他很年輕就能上大聯盟。
Nationals' Top 10
Player, POS (Top 100 rank)
1. Lucas Giolito, RHP (21)
2. A.J. Cole, RHP (65)
3. Brian Goodwin, CF (83)
4. Nate Karns, RHP
5. Sammy Solis, LHP
6. Pedro Severino, C
7. Jefry Rodriguez, RHP
8. Jake Johansen, RHP
9. Michael Taylor, CF
10. Steven Souza, OF
Giolito might have been the first high school right-hander ever taken first
overall in the draft had he not suffered a thickness tear to one of his right
elbow ligaments in March of 2012, eventually requiring Tommy John surgery. He
was back on the mound as early as you can possibly return from that operation,
back to hitting 98 mph again with great downhill plane that prevented hitters
from elevating the ball against him all summer.
如果2012年三月沒傷到手肘的話Giolito也許是史上第一個高中生右投狀元。
最後他還是接受TJ。
夏天時以最快速度站回投手丘，
靠著帶有頂級移動幅度的98英哩火球不斷欺負打者。
His curveball flashed plus-plus again, and his feel for the pitch will likely
return with more reps; while he does need to work on his changeup, it was the
best it's ever been during instructional league this past September, with good
separation from the fastball and better arm speed. He's a very hard-working kid
who does a lot of the little things well, like fielding his position and
holding runners, which endears him to old-school coaches who place a lot of
emphasis on those "fundamentals." I like those too, but I don't care as much
when the pitcher is 6-foot-6 and has a chance for two 70-grade pitches with
command and feel.
他的曲球回到plus-plus且投球感覺比以前更好，
同時持續鍛鍊的變速在九月指導聯盟達到他自己前所未有的高峰，
速差更大出手速度也更快。
他也是個很努力並注重細節的孩子，
像防守或看管跑者，
這也吸引老派教練的賞識，讚揚他在基本功方面下的功夫。
我也喜歡但其實我不大在乎，
因為他是個6呎6吋有控球還有機會長出兩種70分球種的投手。
He might move slowly in 2014, as he's just 19 years old and will be in his
first full year back from the elbow surgery, but he projects as a No. 1 starter
not too far down the road.
他才19歲也才剛要進入術後首個完整年，
因此2014年不會有太大的進展。
但他不久的將來就會成為第一號先發。
Cole was traded to Oakland in the Gio Gonzalez deal before 2012, flopped in
high Class A for the Athletics, then went back to Washington in the three-team
John Jaso/Michael Morse deal, after which he seemed to right the ship somewhat,
even working his way up to Double-A by year-end.
2012年的Gio交易案把Cole送到奧克蘭，
他在運動家high-A被打爛，
三方交易時又回到華盛頓。
看來似乎找對方向，甚至季末還升到2A。
His best pitch is still his fastball, 93-97 mph without a lot of effort, a
little true but also one that gets in on right-handed hitters quickly. His
curveball is more of a power slurve, 77-84 mph and varying in shape as he tries
to maintain a consistent arm slot for the pitch; when he stays up toward
three-quarters, it has angle and depth, and when he finishes it out front, it's
a real weapon for him in pitchers' counts.
他的主力武器還是93-97且不大需要特別練就能快速解決右打的速球。
曲球更像強力滑曲，
若能將姿勢維持住3/4那這顆有角度加幅度的球種會成為球數領先時的致命武器。
He began using his changeup more in Harrisburg and it was approaching average
by the end of August, although he still showed a large platoon split in
Double-A. His control is well ahead of his command, but the latter will come as
he gets more consistency with his arm slot and release point.
在Harrisburg他開始提高變速用量，
八月末也能投到接近平均水準，
儘管面對左右打者表現差距很大。
他能投進好球帶但無法控制進壘點，
一旦揮臂與放球點能穩定那他的控球就不會是問題了。
Cole's still on the thin side with room to add some muscle, more for stamina
than for added velocity, but the key for him is body control and repeating that
delivery. With the Nats having one of baseball's best rotations, they can take
their time to get Cole right, and develop him into a good midrotation starter.
Cole還是偏瘦也還有空間增加肌肉，
比起拉升球速更重要的是增強耐力。
但關鍵還是身體控制與重複一致的投球姿勢。
因為國民擁有聯盟頂尖輪值之一，
他們有時間等待Cole撥亂反正，
培養他成為中間輪值先發投手。
Goodwin skipped high Class A in the summer of 2012, largely because the field
conditions at Potomac are so poor that the Nats don't like sending outfield
prospects there. Instead, he went right to Double-A Harrisburg, where he showed
flashes of all five tools but never put everything together like I'd hoped, and
returned there for all of 2013.
2012年夏天Goodwin跳過high-A，
很大原因是Potomac外野狀態爛到國民不想把外野新秀送去比賽。
取而代之是他直接前往2A Harrisburg，
他在那裡展現五種工具但從沒整合起來。
2013年整季也都待在2A。
His season was uneven -- not bad -- as he did a lot of smaller things well,
like working the count more effectively and improving his reads on defense.
Goodwin is a plus-plus runner with quick wrists and generates plenty of bat
speed for doubles and triples power with enough rotational action for maybe
10-15 homers per season. His arm would play in right or center, and with his
speed, I think he's a lock to stay in center. His approach against right-handers
is good, and his recognition problems with breaking stuff show up mostly
against lefties, resulting in a growing platoon split.
他的球季有些上上下下，還不錯啦，
像在想辦法更具效率地取得球數優勢或防守判讀等許多小細節上做得很好。
Goodwin是plus-plus跑者，
手腕旋轉跟揮棒速度都很快，
也可將砲瓦灌進棒子打出2B或3B，
轉換得更好的話也許10-15轟也有機會。
他的臂力適合站RF或CF，
基於速度我想他會鎖定CF。
他能打右投，
但也承認面對左投的變化球會束手無策，
肇因左打對左投的劣勢所導致。
When he's "on," there's an explosive aspect to his game that makes me think
there's more production coming down the road and that he'll put everything
together and end up a 70-grade defender who hits .280 with 70-80 walks per
season and a slew of extra-base hits. He's just progressing in fits and starts
and might be a guy who needs an extra 500 at-bats before the tools fully
translate into results.
當狀況好時他在比賽中展現的許多面向，
讓我不禁認為當整合成功後最終會成為一個手套70分外帶.280打擊率，
每年可以選到70-80次保送並附加一堆長打的好手。
他還在練而將所有工具轉換成功前也許還需要再多磨500個打數吧。
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