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http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/playoffs2008/columns/
story?page=ScoutingPistonsCeltics-Game2
Scouts Inc. Update: Pistons vs. Celtics, Game 2
By Mike Moreau
Scouts Inc.
(Archive)
Updated: May 22, 2008
Game 1 of this series was business as usual for the Boston Celtics, who won
at home by playing stingy half-court defense and with their two big guns
doing most of the scoring. Boston looked like the well-rested team, as its
team defense and rotations were quick and aggressive.
They sent the Pistons a message on the first possession that let Detroit know
it was no longer playing the Orlando Magic: Rajon Rondo fought and fronted
Richard Hamilton, refusing to be posted up. Rasheed Wallace got the same
message from Kevin Garnett a few possessions later when KG bounced Rasheed
off his stride and out of the lane. Even Chauncey Billups was unable to
maintain his position in the post against the Celtics' guards.
Richard Hamilton got no easy baskets in the half court because the Celtics
guards were physical with him, forcing him to catch the ball further out than
he likes when coming off screens. When Rip did make his patented curl move to
the elbow, the Celtics' bigs hedged toward him to prevent the drive, forcing
the pass back to the screener, and the weakside rotation was right there to
prevent an easy shot.
The Pistons got very little dribble penetration from Billups, who was clearly
not in rhythm and still bothered by his lingering hamstring injury. Without
Billups getting into the lane to create, Detroit's offense turned into
isolations and contested one-on-one action late in the shot clock. Look for a
more aggressive attack off the dribble from Billups in Game 2 if the
hamstring is not an issue.
In Game 2 watch for Detroit to also go to more high ball-screen action with
Billups and Rasheed -- a play that was successful early in Game 1. This
action creates a rotation problem for the Celtics because Garnett and
Kendrick Perkins tend to stay close to Wallace to prevent the pick-and-pop
3-pointer. This also takes a physical toll on Rondo, as he must take more
hits from the Pistons' big men.
Wallace must hold the screen longer: He slipped the screen too early a couple
of times and allowed KG to just chase him without any screening action for
Billups. The slip is only effective when the attention focuses on the ball
handler.
If Boston continues to be concerned with Rasheed on this high-screen action
in Game 2, Billups should be able to get into the paint consistently. As
Boston adjusts, Wallace will get more open looks.
Wallace's offensive production may go as Chauncey goes -- potentially a big
concern for Detroit in Game 2 if Billups' injury continues to be an issue, or
if his timing and decision making continue to be out of sync. Billups passed
up some shots he normally takes, and he seemed indecisive on some drives.
Whether that was more a product of the injury or the time off will be better
determined in Game 2.
Expect the Pistons in Game 2 to also work more of the pinch-post action, with
Tayshaun Prince feeding the elbow post man from the wing and then cutting for
the handoff or the back screen. This move makes Paul Pierce defend the
screening actions, and allows Prince to go to his post-up game if he is
funneled toward the corner on the cut.
Offensively in Game 1, the Celtics picked up right where they left off
against Cleveland, with pick-and-pop action for Pierce and Garnett. Detroit
played a soft double or stayed with the hedge for an extra dribble, allowing
Garnett to step to the open area for the mid-range jump shot. The Pistons'
rotations were late or never came in Game 1.
Look for Detroit to occasionally switch on this action in Game 2, with Prince
going with Garnett and Wallace or Antonio McDyess picking up Pierce. This
gives Pierce the advantage, but the Pistons can't just allow Garnett to get
wide-open looks. They will send another defender at Pierce -- especially when
he starts to drive -- and look for them to chase him from behind to get a
steal on his spin move, as they did once in Game 1.
Expect the Pistons to also force Pierce away from the screen to the baseline.
Detroit did this at times in Game 1, but got no rotation to prevent Pierce
from driving into the open area.
With better weakside rotation, Garnett's defender can stay home and Pierce
must make the play on his own.
With Rasheed looking for shot blocks from the weak side, Garnett found he
could wait for Wallace to start his rotation and then just cut to the open
area -- usually at about 18-20 feet at the elbow extended. Wallace can't
cover this much ground to get back to KG in time, so look for the Pistons to
change their rotations to get a defender to KG much quicker. Look for Garnett
to continue to seek out these open shooting spots in Game 2.
Detroit also got no aggressiveness from their 4s and 5s on the Celtics' side
pick-and-roll action, as Boston got into the lane consistently off the
dribble. Look for Boston to continue this action in Game 2, and look for a
harder hedge from the Pistons' big men.
Detroit must also keep Rondo on the perimeter -- he just blew by Pistons
defenders when they closed out to him on the rotation. Although he did hit a
big 3 late in the fourth quarter, look for the Pistons to close out on him
under more control and keep him shooting jump shots instead of driving for
layups.
With Pierce and KG combining for 48 points on 20-for-35 shooting, Ray Allen's
continued offensive funk was not a factor in Game 1. However, he is now the
basketball equivalent of the second baseman with the throwing yips or the
pitcher who's bouncing pitches six feet in front of the plate. Allen is
missing badly, shooting air balls and falling sideways or off-balance on
nearly every perimeter jumper.
Allen is making nothing while shooting off the move, and even on ball screens
he has lost his aggressiveness. Look for Doc Rivers to place Allen in a more
stationary position offensively by putting him on the wing or in the corner
on Rondo's side and letting Rondo drive that gap. If Rondo can draw the help
defender, then Allen has a much easier catch-and-shoot from that spot --
potentially helping him to get his confidence back.
In Game 2 look for more of the Celtics' home-court energy, which has so far
made them invincible in their building. Expect more aggressiveness and better
defense from the Pistons -- and another close game in the 80s.
PREDICTION: Celtics win Game 2
--
"I've got a busted lip and a black eye. But you do what you have to do."
-- Ben Wallace
--
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