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Scouts Inc. Update: Pistons vs. Celtics, Game 3
By Mike Moreau
Scouts Inc.
(Archive)
Updated: May 23, 2008
The Celtics find themselves in dangerous, unfamiliar territory in Game 3 --
the risk of falling behind in a playoff series. This is where the real
pressure cooker lies in a championship run, when the home-court advantage has
been stripped away. In spite of winning two Game 7s at home, Game 3 in
Detroit will be the Celtics' "welcome to the playoffs" moment, and coach Doc
Rivers and his staff must find some answers on both ends of the floor.
Boston did not play with the same defensive intensity or physical aggression
in Game 2, and critical breakdowns of communication and concentration cost
the team on key possessions. Giving up 103 points at home on 49 percent
shooting is concern enough for the NBA's best defense. Coupled with the fact
that the Celtics gave up 102 and 108 points in Game 3 losses to Atlanta and
Cleveland, respectively, Boston's defensive adjustments for Game 3 in Detroit
will be critical.
Detroit got more open looks from the 3-point line in Game 2, including
back-to-back 3s in the second half when the Celtics lost track of Chauncey
Billups and Rasheed Wallace. In Game 1, Kevin Garnett tracked Wallace all
over the perimeter and stayed close on ball screens to prevent the
pick-and-pop 3.
When Kendrick Perkins had Wallace in Game 2, Perkins got caught directing
traffic in the lane on a Richard Hamilton cut, lost focus on Wallace for a
split second, and Wallace stepped out to the left wing for an uncontested 3.
Expect no such lapses in concentration in Game 3, especially with the fans
ready to blow the roof off when Wallace knocks one down.
Garnett and Rajon Rondo had a communication problem on the next possession,
as Billups came off a high ball screen and KG and Rondo both went with
Billups. When Garnett tried to recover to Wallace, he and Rondo got their
feet tangled, Rondo fell, and Billups had a wide-open 3 on the right wing.
This was a simple, first day of training camp mistake that can cost a team a
win in the playoffs.
In Game 3, look for a shorter or flatter hedge from Garnett that allows him
to get back to Wallace, and expect the Pistons to put KG and Perkins in
multiple ball screen situations.
Expect the Celtics to apply more pressure on Billups in the half court in
Game 3. Boston allowed Billups to dribble casually and read his cutters with
no pressure on key possessions down the stretch in the fourth quarter of Game
2. Look for Rondo to guard Billups more often and pick him up earlier to try
to disrupt the Pistons' half-court precision.
The Pistons were a much more aggressive offensive team in Game 2, and their
extra ball and player movement caught the Celtics between defensive
rotations, setting up some key mismatches that Detroit was able to exploit.
Billups was able to hit a jumper on Perkins, Tayshaun Prince was able to post
Rondo, and Rip Hamilton backed Garnett outside and blew by him for a runner
late in the game. There is no mismatch this veteran Pistons team won't
recognize or exploit.
With the ball moving swiftly from side to side, the Celtics could not settle
in and reset their defense. It was this ball movement that allowed Detroit to
put six players in double figures; the Celtics couldn't zero in on one or two
key players.
Detroit also prepared for the Celtics' 4s and 5s hedging on Hamilton's curl
off the down screen. Hamilton made the catch and immediately hit his screener
on the baseline -- first Antonio McDyess on one side of the floor, then
Wallace on the other. The Celtics will counter this by cheating toward the
screen action and running a defender to the shooter. They were late in Game 2
-- expect them to arrive more quickly in Game 3.
This action also created some indecision for the hedge defender. P.J. Brown
got caught in between, not sure if he should go with Hamilton or get back to
McDyess. That hesitation allowed Hamilton to turn the corner and get into the
lane for a jumper.
Boston was not as physical, nor did they deny Hamilton as hard in Game 2, so
expect much more chest-to-chest denial from Rondo and Ray Allen and for
defenders to fight Rip on every cut in Game 3. By denying the catch or
forcing Hamilton further out on the floor as they did in Game 1, the rotation
becomes easier and even unnecessary.
The Pistons were much better defensively against the ball screen in Game 2 by
using a combination of switching defenders and traps to keep Pierce and Rondo
from getting into the paint. Detroit is confident that Hamilton can hold his
own when switching onto Pierce, so look for Boston in Game 3 to screen Paul
Pierce with Wallace's man, forcing a switch Pierce can beat or allowing him
to turn the corner.
Detroit also took a page from the Cleveland playbook, using Hamilton and
Rodney Stuckey as rovers to clog the middle when Rondo cut away from the
ball. Boston will counter in Game 3 the way they did against the Cavs -- by
either keeping Rondo on the ballside or by quickly reversing the ball and
allowing him to attack off the dribble.
Also look for the Pistons to spy on Pierce from the backside and look for the
steal on the spin move, as Rip Hamilton did in the second half of Game 2.
Credit Doc Rivers for simplifying the offensive action for Allen, by allowing
him to come off just one downscreen to the top of the floor. This allowed
Allen an easier play on the catch, which led to a catch-and-shoot 3 and a
drive to the middle late in the game. Look for more of this in Game 3 with
Garnett as the screener, which allows Allen to make a quick pass back to KG
for the jumper -- much like Detroit does at the other end.
Also look for more post-up action from Garnett in Game 3. Although KG has
shot the ball well and effectively from midrange, the Celtics will dig their
own grave if they settle for jump shots on the road. Garnett is their best
post-up player, so look for him to shoulder that responsibility, which will
also open up easier perimeter 3s on the inside/out pass from the rejuvenated
Allen.
The Celtics were the best team in the NBA on the road in the regular season,
and they won at Detroit this season. But they have been the worst team on the
road in the playoffs, and with Detroit knowing it can take command of the
series, winning their first playoff road game in this environment might be
too much for the Celtics. Sensing the Celtics are on the ropes, expect
Detroit's home crowd to be ready to play its role.
PREDICTION: Pistons win Game 3
--
"I've got a busted lip and a black eye. But you do what you have to do."
-- Ben Wallace
--
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