推 Kobe24:Go Go Redsox!!!!!! 10/15 14:50
推 lankyo:可是北極2003暴完氣就受傷了...還是多想想吧.. 10/15 16:51
推 Carmelo3:Dice-K嬴就沒事了!!! 10/15 18:44
→ Carmelo3:AND Beckett03年好像本來就有傷了? 10/15 18:45
推 cjASKA:科南大概把眼光放到世界大賽???! 10/15 20:37
※ 引述《goopa (除此之外)》之銘言：
: 但如果說大家喜歡把每一種可能都計算進去的話，我想到一個狀況....
: 無論勝負結果，假如 Matsuzaka 第三場狀況不佳，而Beckett狀況ok的話...
: 假設第五戰打完紅襪以2:3落後，那第六戰 Beckett 依然可以中三日....
: 至於中三日的 Beckett + 中五日的 Matsuzaka 比較好...
: 還是中四日的 Matsuzaka + 中四日的 Beckett 比較好...
: 大家可以在心中給出自己的答案...
: 會這麼想是因為，雖然近年來大家極力避免中三日...
: 但一般會使用中三日的球隊，也很少會把連續中三日這個選項劃掉....
今天的boston globe：Lasting impression: Rest for the wary
By Dan Shaughnessy, Globe columnist
In a more pressing matter, Francona insisted that Wakefield, not Josh Beckett,
will pitch Game 4 at The Jake tomorrow night.
The Sox say they don't want Beckett to pitch on three days' rest -
which would set him up as a potential Game 7 starter on normal rest.
This means Beckett will pitch only twice this series, Game 1 and Game 5.
This, in turn, sets up Schilling and Matsuzaka for potential Games 6 and 7
at Fenway.
看來柯南不打算賭，北極接下來只可能上第５場。
所以是game4老魏、game5北極、game6席林、game7大輔。
"I think sometimes you can get short-sighted if the need for panic arises,
like perceived panic," said Francona. "Doing something like that may give you
a chance to win a game, but it doesn't set up the rest of the series."
柯南覺得讓北極中三日是較為短視的做法。
但是作者認為：
Francona and his men certainly know their team better than we do and their
track record is pretty good on these kinds of decisions, but the idea of
Beckett in Games 4 and 7 sounds a lot better to me than Beckett pitching
Game 5 and the rest of the series put into the hands of Wakefield, Dice-K,
and Schilling. Wakefield hasn't been good in a while, Dice-K was ineffective
in his Division Series start against the Angels, and the Tribe gave Schilling
his overdue beat-down (nine hits, five runs in 4 2/3 innings) Saturday night.
Beckett has pitched on three days' rest before. Remember when he shut out the
Yankees in the clincher of the 2003 World Series? Three days' rest.
作者指出北極上次季後賽幹掉洋基也是中三日。
結論：就算明天dice-K輸球，柯南大概還是不會讓北極中三日，
最差的情況是game3、game4都輸，那就要北極穩穩抓下第五場，
然後game6、game7在主場拿下。
我是覺得這兩種做法都是一種豪賭，
希望明天dice-K的表現可以讓大家喘口氣。
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