[討論] Top 10 Shortstop Prospects

[majohn ()]

出處：http://www.projectprospect.com/top-10-shortstop-prospects/

One of the most celebrated positions in all of baseball, shortstop typically
has more than a couple prospects worth getting excited about. And this year
is no different. The 2008 class offers a unique mix of easy-to-project,
polished types—mainly in Reid Brignac, Jed Lowrie and Chin Lung Hu–as well
as high-ceiling, further-off types—like Carlos Triunfel, Elvis Andrus,
Esmailyn Gonzalez and Co. Given this kind of balance, following shortstop
prospects in 2008 should once again be full of excitement.


1. Reid Brignac, TB (1/16/86); ETA: 2008


What a difference a year makes. A second round pick in the 2004 Draft, Reid
Brignac posted a .264/.319/.416 vital line in 2005 before going
.260/.327/.433 in 2007. The year 2006, however, was much kinder to Brignac,
as the 6-foot-3, 180-pounder tabbed a stellar .321/.376/.539 line between
High-A and Double-A. While the 2006 campaign may have put him on the map, you
shouldn’t be navigating away from Brignac because of his 2007 showing. The
St. Amant, La. native’s line drive rate from ’06 stayed true to form in
'07, while his BABIP tanked from .395 to .288. Though he was in the
hitter-friendly California League in '06, there's still reason to believe
that Brignac was a bit unlucky last season. He still holds the skills and
power potential to become an above-average shortstop at the Major League
level.

2. Carlos Triunfel, SEA (2/27/90); ETA: 2011


What were you doing as a 17-year-old? Playing high school baseball? Getting
your first part-time job? Carlos Truinfel didn’t have the same experience—
he was too busy going .288/.330/.356 in the High-A California League. A
5-foot-11, 175-pounder, Triunfel signed with the Mariners for $1.3 million
out of the Dominican Republic in 2006. While having 224 High-A plate
appearances to your credit before age 18 is impressive, hitting zero home
runs there is not—he hasn’t hit a homer in any of his 402 professional
plate appearances (13 Rookie League, 165 Low-A). His lack of power potential
may be a cause for concern—as well as his 4.2% BB rate—but there’s little
else working against the stock of this talented youngster.

3. Jed Lowrie, BOS (4/17/84); ETA: 2008


He may not have the highest ceiling on this list of shortstops, but Jed Lowrie
’s odds of reaching that ceiling are about as high as any. The No. 45
overall pick out of Stanford in 2005, Lowrie impressed to the tune of a
.298/.393/.503 vital between Double-A and Triple-A last season. The 6-foot,
180-pounder posted a strong .205 IsoP and 77:91 BB:K rates between the two
levels, but saw a dramatic drop off in his ability to take a walk in his 177
Triple-A plate appearances (16.4% BB vs. 6.8%). If Lowrie’s walk rate can
return to form back in Pawtucket this season—and prove that he has the range
to stick at short—then his power-patience combo could help him become an
above-average big leaguer.

在名單中他或許沒有最高的天資，但是Lowrie能夠達到預期表現的機會卻是最佳的。
這位Stanford畢業的傢伙在05年第45順位被選上，上一季在2a和3a有.298/.393/.503
讓人印象深刻的表現。六呎身高，180磅的身材已經夠強壯了。在兩個層級聯盟有著
.205 IsoP and 77:91 BB:K的數據，但是他在3A時候發生了一些悲劇，將保送能力給
忘掉放在床上給冠C哥了(16.4% BB vs. 6.8%)。如果他能夠將凹保送的能力在這一季
找回來，並證明他有能力成為一位游擊手，那麼他的泡瓦及耐心將能使他成為一位
高於平均的大聯盟選手。

4. Elvis Andrus, TEX (8/26/88); ETA: 2010


If you could read Elvis Andrus’ mind, his thoughts on the 2007 season would
probably sound something like, “Carolina stinks, but California is nice.”
 After being dealt to the Texas Rangers as a key component of the Mark
Teixeira trade, Andrus was given the opportunity to enjoy California’s
version of High-A. He posted .294/.361/.367 vital in 122 plate appearances in
Bakersfield, improving upon his  .244/.328/.335 line in 439 Myrtle Beach
appearances prior to the trade. While he’s slugged just .358 in 1,117 MiLB
at-bats, Andrus’ was just 18 years of age when he started his second year of
full-season ball. His growing ability to find the base paths and speed to do
damage once he’s aboard means that Andrus will be an intriguing one to watch
once again come 2008.



5. Esmailyn Gonzalez, WSH (9/21/89); ETA: 2011


When the Washington Nationals signed a 16-year-old kid to a $1.4-million
deal, it's safe to say that expectations were soaring plenty high.
Fortunately for the Washington brass, Esmailyn Gonzalez was ready to meet the
challenge. In his first season as a professional, the 5-foot-11, 175-pounder
put up a .245/.382/.311 vital line in 131 Rookie League plate appearances.
While that overall package may not impress at first glance, Gonzalez did show
patience well beyond his years, posting strong 18:17 BB:K rate. He may be a
bit rough around the edges—just as any teen sensation in his situation would
be—but Gonzalez's upside and youthful display of plate discipline are just
two of the many reasons to keep an eye on him next season and beyond.



6. Chin Lung Hu, LAD (2/2/84); ETA: 2008
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~WoW!!!!!

It’s plenty safe to call the 2007 season Chin Ling Hu’s official breakout
campaign. After going a meager .254/.318/.334 in Double-A in 2006, Hu posted
a solid .325/.364/.507 vital line between Double-A and Triple-A a season ago.
The 5-foot-11 Hu also has bulked up to a 190 pounds—his playing weight in
2006 was close 150 pounds. While there are plenty of positives surrounding
the Tainan City, Taiwan native, Hu and his 5.8% BB rate suggests limited
upside offensively. It’s also unlikely that he’ll be able to slug in the
.500-range at the next level, however, Hu’s glove alone could make him a
safe bet to be an average Major League shortstop.



7. Oscar Tejeda, BOS (12/26/89); ETA: 2011


It’s illegal in most states—it’s not fair. As if holding Major League
Baseball’s second-highest payroll isn’t intimidating enough, Boston also
holds a ridiculous breadth of minor league talent—now including two
prospects here at one of baseball’s most premium positions. A 6-foot-1,
180-pounder, Oscar Tejeda signed with the Red Sox in 2006 out of the
Dominican Republic. Wasting little time to impress, Tejeda went
.296/.345/.397 between two levels (Rookie and Low-A) in his first season as a
professional. Still a raw talent, Tejeda holds all the natural abilities
necessary to be one of the highest of high-upside prospects on this list.

這就像你老爸是李嘉誠一樣不公平的！！這是不對的！！！有著全聯盟第二高的薪資
還不夠嚇人，襪子們的農場深度才真的嚇到你了八，科科！在這一個最有價值的位置
名單上襪子們有兩個人，這真是太靠邀了。六呎一，180磅，Oscar Tejeda在06年
於多明尼加和襪子簽約。他沒有浪費任何時間就讓人對他產生深刻印象，
Oscar Tejeda第一個職業球季在新人聯盟
以及低階1A有著.296/.345/.397成績。他的潛力還在努力被開發，Tejeda擁有了所有
應具備的資質以及能力，他在這份名單中理所當然的應該被具有極高的期待。


8. Chris Nelson, COL (9/3/85); ETA: 2009


For Chris Nelson, the third time truly was a charm. After struggling to the
tune of a .241/.304/.330 vital line in his first season as a pro (2005),
Nelson only improved to .260/.310/.416 the following season as he repeated
Low-A. Last season, however, was a whole new song for Nelson. Taken No. 9
overall in the 2004 Draft, the 5-foot-11, 175-pounder did his part to prove
he wasn’t a bust, going an impressive .287/.357/.499 with a .364 wOBA last
season in the California League. If the Decatur, Ga. native kind find similar
success in Double-A next season, his stock will only continue to rise.



9. Hector Gomez, COL (3/5/88); ETA: 2010


They may have been swept by Boston in the World Series, but at least the
Rockies are able to keep pace with the Red Sox as far as young shortstops go.
A 6-foot-1, 160-pounder out of the Dominican Republic, Hector Gomez’s upside
lands him a slot on this list—but having success early in his professional
career certainly hasn’t hurt his stock, either. In his first year of
full-season ball, Gomez tabbed a solid .265/.306/.421 vital line as a
19-year-old in the friendly confines of Low-A Ashville. Gomez also possesses
plus speed and a solid glove, suggesting that he should make it to the show
as a big league shortstop—even if it means leaving Colorado and Troy
Tulowitzki’s shadow to do so.



10. Pete Kozma, STL (4/11/88); ETA: 2011


With the No. 17 overall pick in the 2007 Draft, the Cardinals picked up the
top high school shortstop in the country in Pete Kozma. The 6-foot-1,
180-pounder is a product of Owasso (Okla.) H.S., where he was heralded for
his fundamentals and offensive potential. Kozma may have struggled in his
professional debut—he went just .233/.313/.342 in his 163 plate appearances
a season ago—but this hard worker will only get better as he continues to
gain experience in 2008 and beyond.


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◆ From: 140.137.20.1
推 TimChiu:wasting little time to impress 應該是沒浪費什麼時間
推 TimChiu:就開始有讓人印象深刻的表現
→ majohn:喔喔，謝了....眼殘了XD
※ 編輯: majohn          來自: 140.137.20.1         (02/25 12:51)
→ majohn:謝拉
推 albertjet:推!!! 這個Tejeda不知道能長成怎樣，好幼齒...
推 cyscys:OT still got a long way to go