Re: [漁塭] Lars Anderson

[Belladonaa ()]

: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=9154
: One scout called him, "the most overrated prospect in baseball,"


http://www.overthemonster.com/2009/7/14/948928/5-reasons-why-lars-anderson-is

Why Lars Anderson is Still a Top Prospect


1. Lars was just promoted.

Last year, Lars showed up to AA and dominated. It was a pleasant surprise
that he seemed largely unaffected by the third hardest change in baseball
level within the minor leagues, especially given that he was leaving one of
the most hitter-friendly parks in the majors. Having been given an offseason
to cool down off a great hot streak, it's not entirely surprising that Lars
is now showing some signs of needing to adjust. It happens to almost all
prospects. It looked like Lars might be immune last year, but the fact that
he was not should not exactly hurt his stock.


2. Our expectations power-wise were too high.

I've seen a number of comments on how Lars has "only" 8 home runs so far this
season, and how this is a reason to worry. But looking back at his past
years, it's hard to figure out why people think he should have more.

2007: 11 home runs in 493 at bats
2008: 18 home runs in 439 at bats (playing in Lancaster)
2009:  8 home runs in 298 at bats

Certainly his ABs/HR has gone up by about 16%, but Lancaster has been known
to wreck havoc on those numbers, so it's not all that hard to consider Lars
just about on pace to match his typical home run numbers. If there's a
problem, it's in a lack of doubles, which can be attributed to a variety of
issues. For instance...


3. Anderson was injured.

Early in the year, Anderson suffered a back injury, which can certainly lead
to a decline in power, and lead some scouts to call him "stiff and
unathletic" if seen in short samples. But Lars is 21, and is not about to be
felled by a relatively minor injury. Given time, the injury will almost
certainly disappear completely and leave Lars as good as new.


4. He's 21

He's a high-school kid who never once struggled with the transition to
professional baseball. Lars has put himself in such a position that he's able
to have a slump in the minors—an experience some consider necessary to
success in the majors—without putting him behind on typical development
timetables. If he puts himself in a position to get to Pawtucket in the
second half of 2010, then his ETA has likely only been pushed back about half
a year. And Pawtucket in 2010 isn't exactly an unlikely scenarion, for the
simple fact that...


5. He's getting better.

April: .293/.341/.453,  6 BB : 15 K
May:   .194/.318/.376, 16 BB : 28 K
June:  .298/.404/.405, 15 BB : 23 K
July:  .348/.434/.435,  7 BB : 11 K


--
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◆ From: 118.160.65.74
推 shiyhsien:說好的 砲管呢 XD
推 betadu:這砲管...
→ betadu:我們不需要高打率的1B槍啊
推 windphilip:砲管是會隨年紀增加的，上大聯盟還會繼續長。他最珍貴
→ windphilip:的應該是他一直以來都有的選球天賦。才21歲，可以等的
推 spko:可是同年紀打2B的Peddy，不管上壘還是長打都勝過這管一壘炮
→ spko:所以Lars讓人有點擔心是必然的...
推 roverchi: 說好的 砲管呢              (／‵Д′)／~ ╧╧
推 TsukimiyaAyu:怎麼了 你累了 說好的 砲管呢？
推 jimmyexe:    被鋸了 受傷了 被老婆 吸光了
推 TKWdEmoN:    受傷與水槍化一一細數著　我再不捨
推 doomx:       那些出牆的感覺都太深刻　我都還記得
推 jazir:       你怎麼了 說好的 砲管呢?
→ sneak:       那些出牆的 https://muxiv.com