Re: Ellsbury wins Defensive Player of the Year

[abc12812 ()]

※ 引述《abc12812 ()》之銘言：
: ※ 引述《jayin07 ( ⊙o⊙)》之銘言：
: : 看看現場看球的人怎麼講...
: : http://www.myyesnetwork.com/12478/blog/2009/12/17/offense_vs._defense
: : 節錄
: : Ellsbury was a fairly miserable center fielder last year—he’s fast, but his
: : routes resemble a drunkard’s walk. In the smaller left field at Fenway, he
: : might be forced to take better paths to the ball. Cabrera is a solid if
: : unspectacular center fielder, and as with Damon, having to cover less ground
: : should mean that his positives get accentuated and his limitations get
: : minimized. Cabrera also has that terrific arm, which should mean a couple of
: : runners who might have gone second-to-home on a single to Damon would get
: : held up at third.
: : 現在就是等field f/x正式上路...
: 這作者很明顯是用數據看球賽，更糟的是他只看2009年的UZR
: 實際上Ellsbury今年在ZR表現還不錯，排名算是前段班
: TotalZone從小聯盟一路上來都高於平均甚多 (唯一的例外是今年，不過也只有-5)
: PMR今年還沒出來，不過看去年的表現也和爛這個字扯不上關係
: 頂多就是中線防守略差，但兩側防守很好
: 看+/-也沒多大問題
: 要我說的話，Ellsbury防守再差也很難輸給Melky Mantle
: 至少Ellsbury在轉播時沒有判斷問題，但Melky Mantle我們都知道他接平飛球的鳥樣


然後防守數據不同年變動大我想也不是新鮮事了

Coco Crisp 2007年UZR是24，隔年變-8 (然後就被ㄏㄇㄉㄉ說他防守不好)

Curtis Granderson 2007年是14，隔年變-9

Mike Cameron 2007年是-10，隔年變11

Adam Jones去年有10，今年變-4


所以我認為要用數據評斷Ellsbury的防守，還要再多個幾年觀察期吧

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