[漁塭] MLB.com Top 50 Prospects (Jonathan Mayo)

[Westmoreland (Five Tools/Seven Skills)]

  http://tinyurl.com/ybr6ejj By Jonathan Mayo / MLB.com


  http://mediadownloads.mlb.com/mlbam/2010/01/27/mlbtv_7150947_1m.mp4

  Rank: 27, Ryan Westmoreland, OF

  * 2009 Rank: NR
  * Drafted: 2005, 5th (172)
  * ETA in Majors: 2013

  Statistically speaking: It's not so surprising to see a young, speedy
  prospect swipe 19 bases during his pro debut. To see him go a perfect
  19-for-19 in stolen-base attempts is another matter, entirely. To give
  some perspective, consider this: only one other player in all of Minor
  League Baseball was perfect for the entire season with as many steals
  (Andrew Means of the Reds, with 19). A's prospect Grant Desme went 24-
  for-24 before getting promoted from the Midwest League and getting
  caught five times at the next level.

  Scouting report: There is little that Westmoreland can't do when he's
  healthy. He's got a very advanced approach at the plate, especially for
  his age, and he's got great swing mechanics. He's got decent power now
  with the chance to grow into more as he matures. He's a plus runner who
  knows what he's doing on the bases. He did have shoulder surgery after
  being drafted, but when he's healthy, his arm should be just fine in the
  outfield.

  Upside potential: A five-tool center fielder with the ability to be a
  30-30 type annually.

  They said it: "He's sort of the classic five-tool player. He's a
  tremendous kid and a very hard worker, so there's a lot to like, a lot
  to get excited about. But he's 19 years old and he's in low A, so he's
  got a little bit of a ways to go from a development standpoint. But
  there's a lot to be excited about with just the package of the person
  and the player." -- Red Sox farm director, Mike Hazen

  He said it: "I never really knew how to play every day. A 75-game
  schedule is a lot different than a 20-game schedule in high school. The
  first couple weeks were tough physically, mentally trying to keep myself
  there. But I think I settled in the last three-quarters of the season."
  -- To WEEI, about his pro debut


  http://mediadownloads.mlb.com/mlbam/2010/01/27/mlbtv_7150939_1m.mp4

  Rank: 28, Casey Kelly, RHP

  * 2009 Rank: NR
  * Drafted: 2008, 1st (30)
  * ETA in Majors: 2011

  Statistically speaking: Two things really stand out from Kelly's 2009
  season on the mound: His walk rate and his ground-ball ratio. Kelly gave
  up just 16 free passes over 95 IP for a nifty 1.52 BB/9 ratio. His
  ground out to fly out ratio (GO/AO) was 1.60 (1.10 is about average).

  Scouting report: Now fully committed to pitching, Kelly can continue to
  hone his craft, which was already pretty advanced for his age and
  experience. He's got a three-pitch mix that he can throw consistently
  for strikes: a fastball with plenty of sink that he runs up to 92-93
  mph, as well as a curve and changeup, both of which can be plus pitches
  for the right-hander. He's a terrific athlete with good mechanics and a
  good head on his shoulders

  Upside potential: Already moving quickly for a young pitcher, there
  should be nothing stopping him from being a top-notch starter now that
  he's given up playing shortstop.

  They said it: "He's going to compete for a spot in the Portland
  rotation. The criteria that we hold in terms of progressing players
  through the system, especially a starting pitcher -- which is repeating
  your delivery, throwing your fastball to both sides of the plate and
  throwing your secondary pitches for strikes -- Casey demonstrates a lot
  of those things already." -- Red Sox farm director, Mike Hazen

  He said it: "It's a lot easier than last year [when I was] trying to
  train for two positions, but this year has been great. Knowing what
  position I'm going to be playing throughout the season has helped my
  training. I've been training hard; started a throwing program a couple
  of weeks ago. So I'm ready to get the season going."


  http://mediadownloads.mlb.com/mlbam/2010/01/26/mlbtv_7150809_1m.mp4

  Rank: 45, Jose Iglesias, SS

  * 2009 Rank: NR
  * Signed: July 2009
  * ETA in Majors: 2011

  Statistically speaking: There's not much to go on yet -- just 69 at-bats
  in the Arizona Fall League -- but in his 18 games there, Iglesias only
  went more than one game without a hit once. He got most of his ABs
  hitting ninth and he had most of his success there, going 11-for-31
  (.355) in nine games. By comparison, he hit .267 (4-for-15) hitting
  second, .083 (1-for-12) in the seventh slot and .273 (3-for-11) in the
  eight hole.

  Scouting report: The first thing people talk about when they discuss
  Iglesias is his glove. He is a plus defender at shortstop, with plus
  range, hands and arm. He's everything you want for the position
  defensively. At the plate, he's more of a question mark, but has shown
  the ability to make contact with some pretty good bat speed. He runs
  well, and while he won't be among league leaders, might be able to steal
  a few bases.

  Upside potential: His glove is ready for the big leagues now and has
  Gold Glove potential. He won't have to hit much, but if he hits enough,
  he could be an All-Star. With his ability to make contact, he could be a
  good No. 2 hitter.

  They said it: "He does some stuff that you just kind of sit there and
  go, 'Wow.' You don't know what to say. He's only 20 years old. He's
  going to get better and better as he goes along. There were a couple of
  plays he made in Arizona where everyone in the dugout looked at each
  other with just a stunned face, like, 'Did he just do that?'" --
  Teammate Casey Kelly

  He said it: "I want to show my teammates that I can help and I'm not
  just going to work -- I'm going to work hard. I'm going to work hard to
  show that I can find ways to help out my teammates and hopefully
  represent this community and this prestigious city very well."


  ---

  http://tinyurl.com/yz9nc7r

  Keith Law's 2010 Prospect Rankings


  No. 18 – Casey Kelly (SP):

  Note the absence of 「SS」 from his position — although Kelly was a
  good defensive shortstop, he was raw enough at the plate that it didn't
  make sense for him to continue to hit when he's so polished on the mound
  and could knock on the big league door in 2010 or 2011 as a pitcher.
  Kelly's defining attribute as a pitcher is his command, which was
  unusually good for a high school pitcher (in Sarasota, Fla.) and hasn't
  regressed at all since he got into pro ball. He has a chance for three
  average or better pitches, with a solid-average fastball already, a
  curveball that frequently flashes plus with good depth and tight
  rotation, and an above-average changeup with good arm speed and some
  fade. As you might expect from a former middle infielder, Kelly is a
  great athlete who fields his position well and repeats his delivery,
  contributing to that above-average command. He probably will add a
  little velocity as he goes, but his ability to locate his fastball and
  chance for two above-average to plus secondary pitches make him a top-
  flight pitching prospect even without the big fastball.


  No. 32 – Ryan Westmoreland (OF):

  Westmoreland was one of the top prep players available in the 2008 Rule
  4 draft, but was widely considered unsignable due to his strong
  commitment to Vanderbilt. (Imagine how much more stacked Vanderbilt's
  2011 draft class — which still features potential first-rounders Sonny
  Gray, Jack Armstrong and Jason Esposito — would be with Westmoreland in
  it.) The Red Sox signed Westmoreland for $2 million, but he had hurt the
  labrum in his throwing shoulder and ended up having offseason surgery
  between 2008 and 2009, limiting him to DH duty for most of last summer.
  He was still recovering from the original injury, playing left field
  rather than center when he picked up a glove again, only to break his
  collarbone slamming into the outfield wall while catching a fly ball,
  further holding back his development. Westmoreland is a top-10 talent
  with his combination of athleticism, power potential and feel for
  hitting, and he showed very advanced plate discipline in his limited
  season in Lowell last year while going a remarkable 19-for-19 in stolen
  base attempts. The combination of catastrophic injuries does raise the
  specter of Chris Snelling Disease, in which a prospect is so prone to
  injury that he can't develop properly as a hitter. But with a full
  season in 2010, Westmoreland could largely put those concerns to rest.


  No. 53 – Anthony Rizzo (1B):

  Boston's (former) top first-base prospect, Lars Anderson, struggled last
  year, but Rizzo is on the rise. Rizzo lost most of 2008 to his battle
  with limited stage classical Hodgkin's lymphoma. He's fully recovered
  now and, during his time away from baseball, transformed himself
  physically, making himself leaner and more athletic. In the process, he
  became one of the best defensive first basemen in the minors. He's a
  left-handed hitter with a very easy stroke that generates line drives to
  all fields, although as he grows he should develop 25-30 home run power.
  His approach at the plate remains immature, unsurprising given the time
  he missed, and he has to work on getting himself into better counts
  where he can stay back and drive the ball. He can't match Anderson's
  offensive potential, but Rizzo's defensive prowess and strong 2009 put
  him ahead of Lars on the Red Sox rankings.


  No. 56 – Lars Anderson (1B):

  The universal answer to the question of 「What happened to Lars Anderson
  in 2009?」 seems to be 「You tell me.」 Anderson came into the season as
  a polished hitter with patience, plate coverage and power, started
  slowly and finished horribly, with just one home run after June and a
  .201/.298/.265 line during that span. Nothing changed about his
  mechanics — he starts with a big move down into the hitting position,
  after which he takes a short path to the ball and … well, he used to
  drive it to all fields and show big pull power, at least in BP, but
  everything went awry for him in 2009, and the cause appears to be more
  mental than physical or mechanical. Anderson is an unusually intelligent
  player — he was spotted at spring training one year on a back field, by
  himself, reading 「Lonesome Dove」 — and should be able to find his way
  out of the morass, but sometimes the game's challenges get too deep into
  a player's head, and some players never recover.


  No. 86 – Ryan Kalish (OF):

  Kalish broke his wrist not long after signing with Boston in 2006,
  limiting his playing time in 2007 and perhaps damping down his power
  output even into 2008, but last year he had a mild breakout. His wrist
  was healthy and he had more reps under his belt, and of course physical
  maturation is a major factor for high school players as they approach
  their age 21/22 seasons. Kalish was primarily a football player growing
  up, and the Red Sox had to do a lot of work to help him find a
  consistent swing. Unfortunately, he had to do that work while recovering
  hand and wrist strength after the injury. He's become a lot stronger
  since then, and his pitch recognition has also improved. The drift in
  his swing that affected his output in high school is gone, with much
  better weight transfer and good hip rotation, so while he's not the
  quick, athletic teenager the Red Sox signed, he's now a more polished
  overall hitter who's already coming into some power and may add more.


  No. 91 – Jose Iglesias (SS):

  Iglesias is a premium defensive shortstop with a chance to hit, so while
  he probably won't be any kind of impact bat, he'll be worth a few wins a
  year with a plus glove and a bat that plays at that position. On
  defense, he has both quickness and instincts, with good feet, great
  hands and quick turns and transfers, as well as an above-average arm.
  He's an aggressive hitter with a swing-first mentality, but his swing is
  short to the ball and should produce lots of contact, even hard contact
  once he gets more reps in pro ball. He'll probably max out with grade 40
  or so power on the 20-80 scale, but if he can improve the quality of his
  contact, he'll be productive for the position. At worst, he might be
  Adam Everett, but I think he'll end up more than an automatic out by the
  time he reaches the big leagues.


  No. 98 – Junichi Tazawa (P):

  Last year's capsule on Tazawa began: 「Tazawa isn't quite big-league
  ready, but he's fairly close and could start in Double-A and appear in
  the majors by year-end.」 Pitching regularly in a starting rotation,
  Tazawa's stuff slipped a little bit in quality, with an average fastball
  at 89-91 mph with a little tail but no downhill plane or sink. He showed
  promise with two secondary pitches — a curveball in the mid-70s with
  good depth and an above-average splitter around 80 mph with good bottom
  (although when I saw him he didn't use this pitch as much as he should
  have). His arm action is long, but he repeats it well and gets good
  momentum headed towards the plate. He'll have to develop above-average
  fastball command and mix in his splitter more often to be more than a
  fifth starter, but considering that 2009 was his first year in any level
  higher than a Japanese industrial league, he has more room for growth as
  a pitcher than the typical 23-year-old does.


  Law also rates the Red Sox as the No. 2 overall farm system.
  And here is his list of the Top 10 Red Sox Prospects:

   1. Casey Kelly, RHP
   2. Ryan Westmoreland, CF/LF
   3. Anthony Rizzo, 1B
   4. Lars Anderson, 1B
   5. Ryan Kalish, OF
   6. Jose Iglesias, SS
   7. Junichi Tazawa, RHP
   8. Derrik Gibson, SS/2B
   9. Stolmy Pimentel, RHP
  10. Reymond Fuentes, OF

  ---

  John Sickels Top 50/50 Prospects List

  Top 50 Hitters:

    20. Ryan Westmoreland OF, Grade B+
    39. Ryan Kalish OF, Grade B
    40. Josh Reddick OF, Grade B

  Top 50 Pitchers:

    22. Casey Kelly RHP, Grade B+
    40. Michael Bowden RHP, Grade B


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※ 編輯: Westmoreland    來自: 118.160.69.253       (01/29 14:35)