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http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2010/11/free-agent-stock-watch-matt-guerrier.html
報導說雙城傾向留下 Guerrier 和 Jesse Crain
另外寫了一些Gurrier的優缺點
差不多就是滾地球投手那些 另外今年市場有不少右手牛
預測他會拿到4M-5M的一年約
Matt Guerrier probably caught a break when the Twins decided not to offer him
arbitration earlier this week. Fellow Type As Frank Francisco, Jason Frasor
and Grant Balfour all got offers of arbitration and will cost picks, but
teams can sign the 32-year-old Guerrier without having to surrender a draft
choice. Here's a detailed look at his free agent stock:
The Pros
Guerrier led the league in appearances in 2008-09 and pitched in 74 games
this past season.
He induces more grounders than fly balls.
His slider is excellent.
Guerrier has a 2.7 K/BB ratio against right-handed hittters in his career.
He has just a 1.5 K/BB ratio against left-handed hitters in his career, but
he does induce more groundballs against them (55%).
As mentioned earlier, it won't cost a pick to sign Guerrier.
The Cons
Defense independent pitching stats like FIP and xFIP suggest Guerrier's 3.17
ERA would have been higher if he had been less lucky in 2010.
He posted 5.3 K/9 and 2.8 BB/9 last year. That's not spectacular and both
rates were better in 2009.
The free agent market is flush with right-handed relievers, so Guerrier won't
have much leverage.
The Verdict
The Twins are one of many teams that could use a steady arm like Guerrier's.
MLB.com's Kelly Thesier wrote last month that they seem more likely to retain
Guerrier and Jesse Crain than their other free agent relievers.
The market has played out favorably for at least one reliever, but Guerrier
doesn't have the gaudy numbers that Joaquin Benoit does. Teams will have
interest in someone with a history of effectiveness and durability, but I
will be surprised if Guerrier earns more than $4-5MM on a one-year deal.
--
“I know they don’t like the Yankees to win, not even in Nintendo games. And
knowing that I am part of Boston, I consider myself a Bostonian . . . I’m
pretty sure that every Boston fan out there can feel proud that I’m going to
try to beat the Yankees, and I’m going to give just the same effort I always
did for them. They’re special fans, and they will always have my respect.’
2009 WS The night before G6 Pedro Martinez
--
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