[紅襪] RED SOX PAYROLL, 2013-15

[seekforever (sadnessflower)]

STILL MONEY TO SPEND? RED SOX PAYROLL, 2013-15
By Alex Speier

The Red Sox have been arguably the most aggressive team involved in free
agency this offseason, making a number of one-, two- and three-year bets that
have allowed the team to keep of of its prospects and draft picks but paying
top-of-the-market rates for players meant to help create a competitor in the
short term while also buying time for the team’s next wave of prospects to
develop.

這個季後的策略，簡單說就是留下新秀，灑錢在FA補洞。
避免長約，等待這一批農場上來。

Here’s a look at the team’s payroll outlook for the next three seasons,
with particular significance attached to the idea of getting under the $189
million luxury tax threshold in 2014, given that doing so would both reset
the team’s luxury tax rate (from more than 40 percent in 2012 to 17 percent
for its next infraction) while also positioning the team, potentially, to
realize millions of dollars in a revenue-sharing rebate.

以下整理了未來三年的payroll，看看在避免豪華稅的前提下，還有多少錢可花：

(This list will be updated throughout the offseason as the Red Sox make
additional commitments. For the purposes of these projections, it is assumed
that the team will finalize a three-year, $39 million deal with Mike Napoli,
though that’s clearly subject to change.)

2013 PAYROLL (LUXURY TAX THRESHOLD: $178 MILLION)

Guaranteed deals

John Lackey, $16.5 million
Ryan Dempster, $13.25 million
David Ortiz, $13 million
Mike Napoli, $13 million
Shane Victorino, $13 million
Clay Buchholz, $7.4 million
Dustin Pedroia, $6.80 million
Jon Lester, $6 million
Jonny Gomes, $5 million
Koji Uehara, $4.25 million
David Ross, $3.1 million
Jose Iglesias, $2.1 million

TOTAL GUARANTEED: APPROX $103 MILLION

Arbitration eligible

Jacoby Ellsbury
Jarrod Saltalamacchia
Andrew Bailey
Alfredo Aceves
Craig Breslow
Andrew Miller
Daniel Bard
Franklin Morales

PROJECTED TOTAL: APPROXIMATELY $30 MILLION-$35 MILLION

Pre-arbitration eligible

Junichi Tazawa
Mark Melancon
Felix Doubront
Ryan Kalish
Daniel Nava
Will Middlebrooks
Clayton Mortensen
Pedro Ciriaco

PROJECTED TOTAL: APPROXIMATELY $5 MILLION

Additional expenses

Medical, 40-man roster, etc.

APPROXIMATELY $12 MILLION

ESTIMATED 2013 TOTAL COMMITMENTS: $155 MILLION (AS MEASURED FOR LUXURY TAX
PURPOSES) — APPROXIMATELY $23 MILLION UNDER THE THRESHOLD

13豪華稅門檻：178M
目前總支出　：155M（以最高計算）
可動用餘額　： 23M

2014 PAYROLL (LUXURY TAX THRESHOLD: $189 MILLION)

Guaranteed deals

John Lackey, $16.5 million
Ryan Dempster, $13.25 million
David Ortiz, $13 million
Mike Napoli, $13 million
Jon Lester, $13 million (option)
Shane Victorino, $13 million
Clay Buchholz, $7.4 million
Dustin Pedroia, $6.8 million
Jonny Gomes, $5 million
David Ross, $3.1 million

TOTAL GUARANTEED: APPROXIMATELY $104 MILLION

Arbitration eligible

Andrew Bailey
Alfredo Aceves
Andrew Miller
Daniel Bard
Franklin Morales
Junichi Tazawa
Felix Doubront
Mark Melancon

PROJECTED TOTAL: VERY ROUGH APPROXIMATION OF $25 MILLION-$30 MILLION

Pre-arbitration eligible

Jose Iglesias (he can have a salary reduction of no more than 20 percent)
Will Middlebrooks
Clayton Mortensen
Pedro Ciriaco
Jackie Bradley Jr.
Ryan Lavarnway
Ryan Kalish/Daniel Nava/Bryce Brentz

PROJECTED TOTAL: APPROXIMATELY $5 MILLION

Additional expenses

Medical, 40-man roster, etc.

APPROXIMATELY $12 MILLION

ESTIMATED 2014 TOTAL COMMITMENTS: $151 MILLION (WITH THE ABILITY TO PUSH THAT
NUMBER DOWN THROUGH TRADES) — APPROXIMATELY $38 MILLION UNDER THE THRESHOLD

14豪華稅門檻：189M
預計總支出  ：151M
可動用餘額  ： 38M

2015 PAYROLL (LUXURY TAX THRESHOLD: $189 MILLION)

This is so far out that it’s almost nonsensical to hypothesize what the team
’s obligations might be to arbitration-eligible players and pre-arbitration
players. But, a look at the guarantees reveals a ton of financial flexibility
for the team.

Guaranteed deals

John Lackey, $0.5 million
Mike Napoli, $13 million
Shane Victorino, $13 million
Clay Buchholz, $7.4 million
Dustin Pedroia, $11 million (option)

TOTAL GUARANTEED: APPROXIMATELY $45 MILLION — APPROXIMATELY $144 MILLION
UNDER THE LUXURY TAX THRESHOLD

15豪華稅門檻：189M
預計總支出  ： 45M（保證約球員）
可動用餘額  ：144M

---

1. 如果真的還有23M可花，看起來補個Drew + 五號SP可以期待？

2. Napoli的部份，有消息說體檢有問題，正在重新協商合約中，
　 球團希望把保證約砍到兩年。

3. 仍然跟Swisher、LaRoche保持聯絡，作為Napoli出狀況時的備案。


--
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◆ From: 111.243.96.222
※ 編輯: seekforever     來自: 111.243.96.222       (12/14 15:02)
推 hunterqiji:2013payroll也有155M﹐但這陣容真不算很有競爭力...
推 tanaka0826:花著花著又快花光了
推 maxspeed150:把16.5M的那個東西拿掉後 其他也不至於到沒競爭力啦
→ maxspeed150:大概就是拚拚看有沒有外卡2這樣
推 badom:Lackey在紅襪拿了幾勝啊？
推 sky1686:哈 16.5M的那個東西XDD
→ mygoing:16.5M買一台機器算滿貴的 重點壞了又修不好
→ seekforever:有錢能花總比去年預算緊到要賤賣Scutaro好...
推 Orcish:
推 MingXDD:反正看起來很豪華的陣容，落一下塞也是沒季後賽
→ MingXDD:現在的陣容還不差啦
推 nolander:怎麼會沒競爭力... 不受傷的話這打線還不錯杯
推 boston31:奇怪..到目前為止還沒有松?的消息??
→ boston31:該回日本打球了??
推 lovemost:他這幾年甚麼樣子...
推 Westmoreland:Speier另外一篇算紅襪傷兵Payroll可以買下綠帽整隊
推 hunterqiji:雖然陣容除了SS之外沒明顯的軟肋﹐但也沒啥巨星
推 Westmoreland:還有紅襪 2012 年結算剛好不用繳豪華稅, 謝謝你躲人
→ hunterqiji:現在美東競爭白熱化﹐跟其他任何一隊比都不佔優啊
推 boston31:雖然松?最後繳出的成績不理想...但是至今還沒有人簽下他?
→ boston31:是怕他又BB彈連發嗎??
→ mygoing:如果他能穩定出賽先發 又能吃局數 可以考慮用5號SP約簽他
推 wamgern:不考慮多簽幾支樂透SP籤如松阪跟王嗎?
推 puff123:牛肉之前為了美日訓練方式不同的放話&自己跑回日本宣布要
→ puff123:動TJ......高層對他應該很不爽吧，加上這些年的這種鳥成績
→ puff123:要簽回他......我猜就算小聯盟約高層應該也不會考慮
推 cyclonekkk:不看好牛肉能完全重生 尤其是在美東...
→ sky1686:昔日的日本王牌現今卻如此    ...... 不知該說啥
推 nicknhit:我倒是覺得可以找他回來 投得好的話拼季後賽
→ nicknhit:投得爛就搭配高級多功能發球機(配備多種變化球)拼狀元
→ maikxz:新英格蘭地區應該不容許你拼狀元
推 nicknhit:顆....今年不就拼選秀了 明年拼選秀或者有季後賽打都可能
→ nicknhit:發生，看會不會一團混戰之下出線囉
→ maikxz:今年拚也是六七月才明顯化 賽季初敢這樣嗎 lol
→ maikxz:明年美東爛戰是覺得有機會應該是看能不能拚到一張外卡
推 meteorhades:E.Jackson不考慮嗎
→ meteorhades:其實剛被簽下的Lannan也還OK 而且才2.5M...
推 JacqueJones:Jackson短約簽的到嗎 有點懷疑
推 meteorhades:我是覺得如果能簽下Jackson是蠻不錯的 給他3年約我認
→ meteorhades:為是很OK的
推 alex710707: 可是三年後他也才31歲 還有機會至少再簽一張約
→ alex710707:來隊打者有利的球場 對他不是比較不利
→ seekforever:沒位子了 一定要留一個給發球機丟丟看 不然賣不掉
推 meteorhades:也是沒錯啦 聽說教士有在追他 而且還有球場威能 就要
→ meteorhades:看他選擇了XD 現在確定的不是只有Lester Buchholz 蛋
→ meteorhades:皮 發球機嗎 還有一個位置阿
推 casualy:還有Doubront...
→ meteorhades:抱歉我笨了XDDDD 難怪我在數的時候覺得很奇怪 但是都
→ meteorhades:只數到四個XDDDDDDD
推 pitt911:樓上沒關係啦 又不是忘記算自己  難免啦