[外電] Kobe's injury raises big questions abo

[KenRock (BasketBall Thug)]

Kobe's injury raises big questions about Howard's future.
By MattStephens http://0rz.tw/5q0UL
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Whether you're a Lakers fan, a die-hard NBA fan or a fan of another team who just
flat out loathes the man, there are few NBA connoisseurs who would have wished
for Kobe Bryant's career to end the way it may have on Friday night.
However, knowing Kobe's obsessive workout routines and determination to prove
his detractors wrong, don't bet on this being the end of the inevitable
Hall-of-Famer's career.
He could come back as good as he has played this year,
looking like the Kobe of 10 years ago, or he might be a shell of himself who only
plays another season or two as he tries to surpass Kareem's all-time point total
and reach other historic NBA milestones.
At this point, it's far too early to tell.
What we know for sure is the injury will have an effect on the entire league,
just as the Rose injury has and major injuries before that. At the bare minimum,
Kobe will probably not be back to 100 percent until early next season as Achilles' rehab
takes several months to recover from . Not only will this injury damage the Lakers' playoff
chances for this season, but next season now could be in jeopardy as well.

前言(僅翻譯重點)

1.首先，KB，GOOD LUCK~! 祝 早日康復。
2.儘管如KB如此堅毅難拔，如同鋼鐵般地硬漢，但因年事小高，目前很難判定歸期。
3.最保守的角度來看，或許KB明年也無法從重傷後100%復出，肯定對LA今明兩年有影響。
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So, what about Houston?

So (this being a Rockets blog),
how does this affect your Houston Rockets, you ask?

First off, it means the Lakers are not likely to be battling the Rockets
for a playoff bid next year.
Given their current cap situation, whether they re-sign Dwight Howard or not,
they will be completely handcuffed when it comes to free agency because of Kobe,
Pau and Nash's salaries, able to only utilize the MLE and
add veterans to put band-aids over their fatal wounds.

But the real reason you should pay attention to this injury is the future of
Dwight Howard's career.
The Rockets have tried to attain the Lakers' center multiple times in the past
and will almost certainly attempt to make a run at him this summer.
After Kobe's injury, however, Houston may have leapfrogged the Lakers on
Howard's list.

If there's one thing we have learned from Dwight Howard, it is that he is
incredibly fickle and changes his mind at the drop of a hat.
The Lakers can provide the sex appeal of Los Angeles, a max contract at five years
thanks to his Bird Rights and the chance to play for one of the most storied franchise
in the history of sports.

But with Kobe possibly gone for a good chunk of next season and no way to know for sure
what kind of player a 35-year-old Kobe Bryant coming off an Achilles tear could be,
Howard also won't be able to compete for a title next season. The Lakers will have a
boatload of cap room in 2015 to entice free agents, but there's no certainty in that.
Howard, a 27-year-old center who has been in the league eight years,
already shows signs of back problems.
This contract could be the last one he gets in his prime.

KOBE傷後對火箭隊的影響?

1) 或許，只是或許，明年LA已無力和HOU爭奪季後賽種子了。
2) 以目前LA的薪資帽來說，
   當HOWARD變成自由球員時，不管他們續不續簽他，都將變成束縛。
   那是因為KOBE+GASOL+NASH的薪水負擔，使它們僅能在擠出一張老將中產合約來補強。
   (若有合約+薪資達人，歡迎補充。謝謝。 http://0rz.tw/EuAZp )
3) 而重點是，火箭有極大可能會在KB傷後，在今年暑假市場對HOWARD搶人大作戰。
4) 魔獸表示: 我最忠誠。
5) LA三點利多: A.大城市吸引力。
               B.擁有早鳥權 = 五年頂約。
               C.在LA這個歷史輝煌的城市，再寫下一個震撼人心的詩篇的機會。

   LA三點利空: A.KB受傷，而且明年是否能恢復還是未知數 = 明年LA總冠軍機會更小。
               B.2015年時有大把鈔票與空間在自由市場搶人 = 但也還是未知數太多。
               C.今年已是HOWARD第八年，而且持續受到背傷的困擾，
                 所以下一張合約有可能是他的最後一張頂約。= 更會心急。
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Houston a better fit than LA

With Houston,
Howard does not get certainty of a ring, but no location can provide that.
What this city can offer (aside from a booming economy,
no state income tax and some incredible barbecue) is a dynamic young core of
players with which he could thrive.
James Harden (23) is the unselfish superstar who would elevate Howard's game,
while Jeremy Lin (24) and Chandler Parsons (24) are incredible role players with
high upside. All three are likely locked in for at least the next two seasons.
Houston also has a talented young group of power forwards with upside in Donatas
Motiejunas, Terrence Jones, Greg Smith and Thomas Robinson who are all 22 or younger.

Of course there's the little question of what Houston would do with
Omer Asik should they deal for Howard, but Howard probably won't concern himself
with that and neither will the Rockets until he gets close to donning Rockets red.

The Rockets won't be able to offer Dwight a five-year max contract without a
sign and trade, but if Daryl Morey allows Carlos Delfino and some other non-guaranteed
contracts to walk, the Rockets should have at least $17 million-$18 million to work with
in the off-season. Morey could easily flick his magic wand and free up enough room
to sign Dwight at a four-year max deal by swapping Thomas Robinson or another combination
of young guaranteed players for draft picks.

Other teams such as Dallas and Atlanta will be able to make attractive offers to
Howard, but neither team is as built for the future or tailor made to Dwight's
strengths like the Rockets. If he doesn't re-sign to the purple and gold,
Houston should be the clear favorite.


火箭隊的利多?

1) 一群能幫助HOWARD奪冠的年輕小伙子們:
   J.HARDEN - 一名無私的超級球星，能幫助提升HOWARD在場上的表現。
   J.LIN + C.P  - 兩名天花板頗高的未來球星(現為頂級綠葉)。
　　(＊註：以上三人都跟火箭還有兩年合約。）
   一票青春肉體PF海 - D.MO，T.Jones，G.Smith，T.ROB。

   而關於ASIK的未來與定位，這並不會對他造成困擾，因為這也不是他要煩惱的。

2) 火箭無法提供像LA能給的五年頂約(但LA不一定會給)，
   而火箭的八奇莫雷卻很有可能為了HOWARD使出大絕招: 砍人，交易包，選秀權..etc.
   來供給HOWARD四年頂約的條件(也不算差了)。

3) 當然肯定有其他球隊也想搶HOWARD，但以過往經驗來說。
   火箭肯定是最有誠意的，所以假設他不與LA續約，第一個考慮到肯定是HOU。
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Asik versus Howard

Whether Houston should pursue Dwight in the first place is another question entirely.
As much as Rockets fans (myself included) have fallen in love with Asik this season,
Friday night's game was a perfect example as to the major differences between
the Turk and a player of Howard's caliber. At one point in the second half,
Asik missed an easy layup in a crowd of Grizzlies jerseys and then failed to
convert on two follow-up attempts.

For all his strengths defensively and unselfish play, Asik squanders the easy
opportunities offensively far too often which Howard would not.

Is Houston necessarily a better team with Howard than Asik? Probably so.
When Howard is motivated, he is arguably the most dominating low post player
in the NBA. Asik's 10.2 points per game and relatively efficient 56 percent TS%
have been unsuspected, welcome additions to Houston this season,
but his offensive game and a 16.4 percent USG% are indicative of a role player
who will never match Howard's dominance. Even in what many consider an off year,
Dwight has averaged 17 and 12 with a 58 percent TS% and a 22 percent USG%.

So while all NBA fans mourn what could be the end of one storied career in LA,
consider it could point to the beginning of another career here in Houston.
It's still nowhere near a certainty, but with Dwigh


比較ASIK與HOWARD

1) 雖然我們都很愛ASIK，但有看今天比賽的都知道，那個連續奶油桂花手..
   這或許就是頂級藍領與頂級中鋒的分水嶺吧。

2) ASIK是個盡責且賣力防守與無私的好球員。
   但他總是浪費了LIN跟HARDEN的助攻，而這並不會發生在HOWARD身上。

3) HOU是否會需要HOWARD比需要ASIK來的多? 或許吧，因為:

   *當健康的HOWARD出現時，他肯定是全聯盟最有統治力的中鋒。
   
   *ASIK今年在進攻端的進步已讓人嘖嘖稱奇，並擁有56%的TS%(真實命中率)
    但他的USG%只有16.4(參與球隊進攻比例不多，但或許已經很盡力了。
    拿來與HOWARD今年的PPG 17pts + RPG 12rebs + TS% 58% + USG% 22%相比，
    
    這或許是一個藍領與頂級中鋒另一個分水嶺了。

   *最後一個利多: 魔獸表示:我最忠誠!!。
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--

                        J.LIN#7 @ RedNation
                          Go Go ROCKETS!!

--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 111.242.106.179
推 sdfsonic:如果健康我會很希望魔獸過來
推 takewind:這季看起來他沒有那麼健康
→ KenRock:誰都說不準，但我很喜歡阿西，他是那種你氣到但不知怎罵的
→ KenRock:認真可愛球員
推 sdfsonic:我也很喜歡阿西 但是冠軍需要健康的魔獸
推 poju1024:kb受傷，我感覺魔獸更會留在LA了...
→ IBIZA:harden應該還有五年合約
→ IBIZA:"able to only utilize the MLE and add veterans"
→ IBIZA:這段翻譯不對
→ IBIZA:這邊是指Laker只能用中產特例跟老將底薪特例補強
→ IBIZA:而不是一份老將中產合約
→ IBIZA:Laker應該會有一個3M的小中產...然後可能會有一個5M接近6M
→ IBIZA:的傷兵特例(如果聯盟批准的話)
→ IBIZA:雙年特例我不確定有沒有  不過看本文的內容的話 應該是沒了
→ IBIZA:3M小中產+5M傷兵特例+底薪特例....這是今年Laker的最大補強
→ IBIZA:空間....
→ Gilbertsky:如果Nash和嘎受都健康的話 感覺這些空間是足夠了
→ IBIZA:Nash跟Gasol如果都健康, 加上DH續留的話  我覺得Laker明年還
→ IBIZA:是有機會打進季後賽
→ IBIZA:如果Kobe明年後半季能復出  而且表現仍有一定水準
→ IBIZA:加上5M傷兵如果能補個不錯的鋒衛   衝擊冠軍也不是不可能
→ IBIZA:最主要還是傷/老兵的復原/老化情況
→ Gilbertsky:也是個契機 或許Kobe復出後能夠更好地融入團隊
→ Gilbertsky:而不會過度依賴個人能力
→ Gilbertsky:老將真的必須更多地依賴團隊才能打得長久
推 tomatoai:對Asik有種 打也不是罵也不是的糾結 不停鼓勵希望他進步
→ nenpow:Asik很棒，但DH真的高他一個檔次...
推 zaq1xsw2121:不如簽頂級PF+堪用替補C 陣容就很漂亮啦
噓 Nacia:我真的寧願AL來
→ KenRock:謝謝Ibiza補充及訂正。
→ yoyoman0529:DH到火箭的機率？以2K13來說 我從去年發行玩王朝玩到
→ yoyoman0529:現在，超過50個記錄檔，DH沒有一次能留在湖人，
→ yoyoman0529:不管你信不信，反正我是信了，現在沒Kobe，湖人要給DH
→ yoyoman0529:什麼願景？如果是當個LA新球霸，那還真的很簡單。
→ KenRock:2k13 XD,你不要害我被噓阿。
→ KenRock:我的建議是打開強制交易硬留他，並且每年TeamOption XD
推 JessicaA1ba:我怎麼覺得Kobe不能上或者就此退休，魔獸更可能留LA…
推 JessicaA1ba:因為明年他就可以正式當老大&拿得到球了
→ Gilbertsky:我覺得魔獸應該是樂見目前的情形沒錯 可惜他也有傷痛
推 Aswind:不成熟的看法：兩種可能 1.湖人趁機徹底重建且不簽魔獸 2.
→ Gilbertsky:如果他能趁勢打出俠客般的數據 老大可能就接棒了
→ Aswind:以魔獸為建隊核心 但不知如何在薪資空間內重新打造新球隊
→ Gilbertsky:我覺得現在重建會直接導致Kobe退休 不太可能發生...
推 jorden:我覺得草莓獸百分百會留湖人  以昨天罰50球來看
→ jorden:聯盟絕對會暗助湖人 交易到某某球星 來幫助草莓獸
→ jorden:或是湖人財大氣粗 可以允許草莓獸無理的要求
推 GigiBuffon:KOBE受傷了DH就會留了吧  終於可以當老大了
推 jajaye:他不是已經說要代替KOBE成為領袖了嗎
→ KenRock:領袖發言是針對季後賽拿冠軍，跟未來去留無關。忠誠獸= =
推 kusami:Smith拼錯了 t跟h反囉^^
→ KenRock:Sorry，thanks you
→ fluffptt:Kobe受傷...魔獸一定留LA的啦..換它當一哥啦
推 doomster562:拜託別簽魔獸來
※ 編輯: KenRock         來自: 111.242.110.251      (04/14 19:41)