[情報] 馬刺的暑假作業 Part1

[ParkerWind (帥氣帕克風!!!)]

Summer outlook: An all-you-need-to-know guide to the Spurs’ offseason

by Matthew Tynan

外電網址: http://ppt.cc/r4H2

It’s been one week since the Spurs’ heartbreaking Game 7 loss in the
Finals, and now it’s time to put the pain in the rearview mirror. Some of
you have moved on while, undoubtedly, some of you have not. Which is
understandable, because that was about as brutal an ending as you’ll likely
experience.

距離馬刺輸掉了那痛心疾首的冠軍賽也過了一個禮拜了，我們也該把痛苦拋到腦後了。我
知道有很多人為此動容，這是可以理解的，因為這結果實在是太殘忍了。

But life goes on, and in accordance with it, so does the NBA’s offseason.
Despite an ever-aging core, San Antonio has a chance to return to the
promised land in 2013-14. It’s going to take some smart decision-making and
perhaps a little creativity, but those are two attributes the Spurs’ front
office has in spades.

但人生還是得繼續往前啊!NBA休賽期間也在進行著。儘管核心陣容又更老了，馬刺還是有
機會在下季重返榮耀的。制服組們接下來肯定要著手於做出聰明的決策，可能還要有一點
創造力。

As we move farther and farther into the new age of the current collective
bargaining agreement — this will be the third offseason under its textual
guidance — we’ll begin to see its effects on a larger scale. With the
incoming impact of the new luxury tax rate and the ensuing escalating penalty
for repeat taxpayers, long-term frugality is going to be paramount for teams
without bottomless pockets and endless revenue streams. (The new CBA was
designed with small-market success in mind, but for the most part, teams in
major markets will be the only ones able to realistically sustain consecutive
years of tax payments.)

正如我們越來越走入集體談判協議的新時代 - 這將是新稅制規定的第三個休賽期 - 我們
將開始看到越來越大的效應。隨著新的豪華稅率和不斷加重罰款重複納稅者帶來的影響，
長期的開源節流已經是口袋深不見底和有無盡收入來源的球隊的首要目標。 （新的CBA是
為了讓小市場球隊能成功而設計的，但在大多數情況下，大市場的球隊才能負荷連續的納
稅）。

The Spurs have always been intently aware of their standing in relation to
the luxury-tax threshold, so adapting to the new rules shouldn’t be a
terrible issue for a group that has practiced brilliant cap management for
nearly two decades. But what should be a concern, to some degree at least, is
how other teams decide to approach the situation. San Antonio has two
restricted free agents in Tiago Splitter and Gary Neal, so their futures
essentially depend on the initial actions of other teams, some with
not-so-glamorous track records.

馬刺一直都很注意他們達到豪華稅的門檻，所以對於一個已實行近二十年有輝煌成果的管
理團隊來說要適應新的規則不應該是個可怕的問題。但是其他球隊會怎麼面對這個情況倒
是我們必須要注意的。馬刺有兩名受限制自由球員Splitter和Neal，所以他們的未來其實
是取決於其他球隊的初步行動，那些戰績沒那麼好的球隊。

But we’re moving into different times in the NBA. There’s a greater
movement toward analytics and, if you believe the new CBA will ultimately be
effective, more responsible spending. Of course, the fabric of this league is
sewn from the threads of past insane contracts and gaudy payrolls, so only
time will tell if general managers and those who advise them have actually
gotten smarter.

但是，我們正在進入不同的NBA時代。還有一個更大的走向分析，如果你相信新的勞資協
議是最有效的，支出更合理。當然，這個聯盟過去可是由華而不實的合約和不合理的支付
組成的，因此只有時間會告訴我們，總經理們和其他提供建議的人能否變得更聰明。

The Manu Ginobili conundrum
San Antonio has finally come to its first true crossroads of the Big 3 era.
And not surprisingly, the directional decision involves the future of the team
’s awkwardly physical dynamo, Manu Ginobili. One of the most popular players
in Spurs franchise history, Manu’s future seemed cloudy at best during an
NBA Finals run in which he was historically bad at times. Despite vintage
brilliance in Game 5, it was his ugly performance in Game 6 and his
fourth-quarter turnovers in Game 7 that left the most bitter taste for those
used to seeing postseason excellence from Numero Veinte.

Ginobili的難題:
馬刺這次真的走到三巨頭時代的交叉路口了，方向的決定將會涉及到隊上的笨拙發動機
-Ginobili的未來。身為馬刺隊史上最受歡迎的球員之一，但他的未來似乎不樂觀，在總
冠軍賽他有時候表現優異，但有時候也差勁極了。儘管今年冠軍賽G5他表現亮眼，但仍不
能遮蓋他G6的差勁表現以及G7第四節的要命失誤。

Where Tim Duncan’s performance during the 2011-12 season left few doubters
in his ability to return for another effective season, this city is split
nearly down the middle in fan support for Ginobili. The $14.1 million he made
last season probably doesn’t sit right to some, but if we’re keeping things
in perspective that isn’t really a terrible number. Manu had some great
games against the Oklahoma City Thunder in the Western Conference Finals two
seasons ago, and $14 million for a guy in the final year of his contract with
a team that had neither roster space nor the dire need to utilize extra cash
wasn’t a bad deal. You can view it that way if you’d like, given his
performance for the most part over the course of the season, but hindsight is
always 20/20. He was quite good in 2011-12, and missing his predicted decline
by less than a year is pretty darn impressive.

當Duncan在2011-12球季的表現讓大家不會對他今年球季的回春感到懷疑時，這個城市已
經快要為了支不支持Ginobili而分裂為二了。上賽季14.1M的薪資真的是不太符合他的身
價，但從不同的角度看，會發現這不是個可怕的數字。Manu在上個季後賽對上雷霆時有幾
場比賽表現出色，而對於一個在他合約的最後一年領14M的老傢伙來說，既不佔未來
的名冊空間球隊也不迫切需要運用額外的現金，這並不至於是一個糟糕的協議。如果你
願意的話可以查看他本賽季大部分時間的表現還算OK，儘管這樣說已是事後諸葛亮了。他
在2011-12球季還是挺不錯的，而他辜負我們的期望還不到一年，就已經讓我們留下很糟
的印象了。

But with Ginobili now coming off the books, the Spurs have a great chance to
clear significant cap space whether they re-sign him or not. At more than $19
million, Manu’s cap hold is looming large. San Antonio can either renounce
his rights or re-sign him to a new, cheaper contract, which seems to be the
most likely scenario. At least, if he gets his way.
And let’s be clear: the Ginobili of old will never be back. The herky-jerky,
blurry first step is gone, and the legs aren’t there underneath the jumper
the way they used to be. But I believe (prior to the turnovers in the fourth)
his Game 7 performance is indicative of how effective he can be moving
forward. His passing, ball-handling and selective scoring are still
invaluable to the Spurs’ bench, he just has to realize that he can’t
function as wildly as he once could.

但Ginobili合約已到期了，馬刺隊有一個很好的機會清除大量的薪資空間，可以決定是否
重新簽下他。馬刺有權利選擇放棄他或重新簽一個新的更便宜的合同，這似乎是最可能的
情況。如果他也希望的話。
我們先講清楚：Ginobili已經不再年輕了。捉摸不定的迷蹤步已經不見了，腿也不是以前
能跳的老高的腿了。但我相信（在第四次失誤之前）他在G7的表現說明他還可以有效地幫
助球隊。他的傳球，控球能力和多樣性的得分對於馬刺的板凳來說仍是非常寶貴的，他只
是必須意識到，他不能像以前一樣隨心所欲了。

I believe it’s an insult to the intellect of Ginobili to say he can’t
change the way he plays. Sometimes it takes a while to realize the old way
doesn’t work anymore. We’ll probably see Manu in San Antonio for at least
another year, and maybe two. After all, that would mean his contract would
expire at the same time as Duncan’s player option and Tony Parker’s current
deal at the end of the 2014-15 season.
Quite fitting, I’d say.
There’s more to come later in the article on the Manu front.

我相信如果說Ginobili不能夠改變他打球的方式對他來說是種侮辱。有時需要一段時間才
能了解老辦法已經行不通了。我們可能會繼續看到Manu在聖安東尼奧馬刺隊1到2年。畢竟
，這將意味著他的合同將與Duncan和Parker一起在2014-15球季到期。
我會說，很恰當。
後面還會提到更多有關Manu的事。

What to do with Tiago Splitter
To preface, this scenario is one in which the Spurs decide they’d like to
try and re-sign Splitter.
Perhaps the highest level of drama surrounding San Antonio this summer is the
current status of restricted free agent Tiago Splitter. Which, you know, sure
speaks to the Spurs’ flair for the dramatic. The Brazilian big man’s season
ended quite unceremoniously against a Heat team that ate him alive, but his
presence in the starting lineup elevated San Antonio’s defense to a top-3
position throughout the regular season and through most of the postseason.

如何處置Splitter呢?
前言:假定馬刺決定要嘗試重新簽下Splitter。
也許聖安東尼奧今年夏天最有張力的劇情就是受限制自由球員Splitter的當前動向。巴西
大個子的賽季結束的相當不光彩，他在冠軍賽被熱火隊毫不客氣地活吞了，但他在先發陣
容中還是能夠提升馬刺隊的防守在整個例行賽和季後賽排名前3名。

Splitter’s pick-and-roll offensive strengths were a perfect match for a team
that utilizes the play more than any other squad in the NBA, and his
improvement on the defensive side of the ball meant great things for the
aging Duncan. With Splitter in the fold, Timmy could spend more time off the
ball, patrolling the paint rather than banging bodies with his lighter frame
throughout the course of a game. No doubt it played a part in Duncan’s
resurgence this season, and it has allowed for greater longevity from the
future Hall-of-Famer. Despite a poor Finals performance, Splitter was great
in the opening round against the Lakers and in the Western Conference Finals
against the Grizzlies, two teams with dominant low-post players. He allowed
San Antonio to defend the paint and still operate at the offensive pace they
desired.

Splitter的進攻能力在一個擅長打擋拆的球隊中能夠發揮絕對的優勢，他在防守端的進步
大大幫助了年邁的Duncan。和Splitter同時在場上，Duncan可以花更多的時間空手走位，
在禁區找尋適當位置，而不用整場比賽都跟隊手在籃下肢體碰撞。毫無疑問，本賽季
Duncan的復甦，Splitter的進步絕對是其中一個關鍵，這也可以延長這位未來名人堂球員
的球員生涯。儘管總決賽表現欠佳，Splitter在首輪對陣湖人及西區決賽對陣灰熊，對抗
這兩支球隊強大的低位球員都表現出色。他讓馬刺隊能做好禁區防守，並維持在進攻上的
步調。

But against Miami, the story changed. Splitter was overwhelmed by the
quickness and speed of the Heat, and the defensive swarm he felt early in
each game had a significant impact on his psyche. It all became too fast, and
by Game 5 he had been supplanted in the starting lineup by Ginobili (he was
pulled for Gary Neal 47 seconds into Game 4 when the Heat started small, as
well). It remains to be seen whether or not his Finals fallout hurt his value
on the open market, but it’s safe to say it didn’t help it.

但對陣熱火時，情況發生了變化。Splitter被熱火的敏捷和速度打爆了，對方的防守也
多少影響到他的心理層面。這一切都變得太快了，G5他的先發就被Ginobili取代了(在G4
比賽開始47秒熱火開始打小球戰術時，他也被Neal換下)。他的市場價值是否因總冠軍賽
的表現而下跌?這答案可能是保留的，但可以保守地說他的身價絕對沒有因此提升。

The Spurs can submit a qualifying offer to Splitter of just less than $5
million by June 30, after which time any team in the league with cap space
may offer a contract of their own. If another team makes an offer — which
will almost assuredly happen — San Antonio will have three days to match the
signed offer sheet. It is believed that Splitter would like to remain a Spur,
and it appears the team would like to retain him for the right price, but it’
s going to be interesting to watch and see exactly how much money Splitter
might command and how much the Spurs will be willing to match.

馬刺6/30前可以執行QO給Splitter報價低於500萬美元，但在這之後其他有薪資空間
的球隊就會來跟他報價了。如果另一支球隊向Splitter報價(這幾乎確定會發生)馬刺將有
3天的時間選擇是否跟進。相信Splitter會想留在馬刺，也看的出來馬刺想用合理的價錢
留他，而至於他想要多少以及馬刺願意開多少將會是個有趣的故事了。

With the new CBA in mind, this process will be an interesting one. Splitter
is a very specialized big man with no real elite-level skills. He’s very
good in the pick and roll, but a big man’s ability to roll to the basket
does not hold the same level of importance as, say, shot-blocking, rebounding
and scoring. Tiago is excellent within the Spurs’ system, but you can’t
really dump it to him in the post or count on him to put up double-doubles on
a nightly basis. San Antonio wants him back, because losing him for nothing
would be potentially devastating without a replacement in line (other than
Aron Baynes, who is no more than a prospect at this point).

根據新的CBA規則，這個過程會很有趣。 Splitter是一個不錯的大個子，但沒有真正頂尖
的技術。他的擋拆配合是非常好的，但對於一個大個子來說他的阻攻、籃板、得分能力都
不算太好。Splitter在馬刺的系統內可以發揮得很好，但你真的不能太依賴他，或指望他
每晚繳出雙十的成績。馬刺隊希望他留下，因為失去他我們的內線就完了，沒人可以取代
他(除了Baynes以外，但他應該不可能好過Splitter）。

In the past, big men have demanded, on average, larger contracts than they
likely deserve at times. After all, it’s much more difficult to find
quality, skilled 7-footers than it is wing players and point guards. It’s
just science. There are fewer giant human beings in this world than
average-sized players (by NBA standards), so when you locate the ones who can
put one foot in front of the other, catch the ball, score around the basket
and play a little defense, all while being at least decently athletic,
typically you’re going to pay up.

在過去長人稀有，常會有簽下超出身價大約的現象。畢竟要找個具備技術的七呎長人遠比
找到堪用的側翼及控球後衛要困難太多了。以NBA的標準來看，這個世界上具備超出一般
禁區球員身材的人類更少，所以當你有個能夠接球、在籃下得分、略懂防守且體能良好的
大個子，通常你就會願意付錢了。

But with the threat of the escalating rates for repeat luxury taxpayers
imminent under the law of the new CBA, it’s likely we’ll start seeing
shorter contracts. Instead of the 4- and 5-year deals that often seem to
hamstring franchises, we’ll probably be looking at more contracts of the 2-
and 3-year variety. Similar dollar signs might be there, but teams aren’t
going to let these deals cripple their futures any longer. The smart ones won
’t, at least. Splitter is skilled, make no mistake about it. But, again, he
lacks an elite-level skill that so often commands top dollar.

但是在新的CBA規定下，我們可能傾向於簽較短的合約(例如2~3年，而不是可能會長期影
響總資產的4~5年)，平均一年付出的錢可能差不多，但球隊至少不會因此被套牢太久。而
Splitter他是有技術的，但他的技術卻也沒有優秀到可以談大約。

San Antonio is shedding salary heading into this offseason with the likely
Ginobili pay-cut and the elimination of Stephen Jackson’s $10 million
contract (remember that one?). So they’ll have an ample amount of cash to
throw at Splitter, if it’s a reasonable amount in their eyes. Before, I’ve
been quite hesitant toward any thought of a potential offer that nears the
eight-figure ($10 million or more) mark for Tiago, but looking forward, it
all depends.

聖安東尼奧馬刺步入這個休賽期薪資將得到解套，包括Ginobili合約到期還有船長(你還
記得他嗎?)的合約消除。因此，他們將有充足的本錢投資Splitter，如果在他們眼裡金額
合理的話。過去我一直在想Splitter到底有沒有資格領八位數的薪資(千萬年薪)呢? 現在
來看，看情形，不一定。

Splitter, at 28 years old, is nearing the magic age of 30, which means it’s
not likely he’ll be offered a lengthy contract that would spill over years
into his 30′s. Let’s say Portland offers Splitter a 3-year deal (sources
have said the Trail Blazers are interested) for more money than San Antonio
would prefer to pay.  The Spurs have done an excellent job setting up their
financial future, and if they decided to match a Splitter offer sheet and
backload the contract (a fairly standard practice), they’d be paying Tiago
the largest portion of his salary when they have the most cap space available.

Splitter已經28歲了，接近傳說中的30歲，這意味著他不太可能得到一個長約以跨越30大
關。比方說拓荒者對Splitter開出3年的協議（聽說拓荒者隊他有興趣）比馬刺開的錢還
要多。馬刺隊於未來財務方面總是做的很出色，如果他們決定要跟進拓荒者的報價（這是
標準程序），他們會利用充裕的薪資空間支付Splitter這筆薪水。

As the Spurs currently stand, only two players — Kawhi Leonard and Cory
Joseph — are under contract for the 2015-16 season, and those are just
options at this point. Leonard will almost assuredly have already signed an
extension by that time, probably for something close to a max deal, but the
fact of the matter is San Antonio has a ton of cap flexibility moving forward
after the Duncan/Ginobili era ends. Even paying Splitter a bit more than he’
s worth wouldn’t be the end of the world, so long as the contract isn’t too
long. In the mean time, it isn’t like this team is trying to free up a ton
of cap space anyway in the next year or two (especially if they decide to
bring the band back together again). But if Duncan and Manu both hang it up
after next season, then we’re talking about a whole new thing altogether.

由於馬刺目前只有兩名球員於2015-16賽季時還在合約內(Kawhi Leonard和Cory Joseph)
而且到那時候都是OT。Leonard幾乎確定到時候會再續簽長約，但重點是屆時Duncan、
Ginobili時代的結束會帶給馬刺海一般大的薪資空間。即使到時候overpay Splitter一些
也無傷大雅，只要不是太長的合約。因此馬刺這兩年為了保持陣容完整應該是不會跟
Splitter過意不去。但是如果Duncan和Manu下季打完就退休了，那我們就得重新討論了。

For a team that came so very close to winning a fifth title, losing Splitter
and not finding a legitimate replacement would probably do much more harm to
the Spurs and their frontcourt than overpaying him would. Unless he receives
a completely outrageous offer (which, after his Finals performance and given
his age, I doubt), I’d expect the Spurs to match whatever sheet he signs.
Despite his age, Splitter is still improving, and it has been evident over
the course of the last couple of years. He’s close to or at his ceiling by
now, but as the roster is presently constituted, San Antonio would be best
suited to bring him back, unless they locate a better option.

對於一個非常非常非常非常非常接近贏得第五個總冠軍的球隊來說，因為想省錢而失去
Splitter，而找不到一個替代者造成馬刺前場的損失會比花冤枉錢還嚴重。除非某隊給他
超級離譜高的報價（對於他總冠軍賽的表現我是覺得不太可能啦!），所以我可以期待馬
刺會跟進對於Splitter的所有報價。儘管他已28歲，Splitter這幾年仍然持續明顯在進步
。他也許已經接近他的天花板了，但馬刺還最適合他的，把Splitter簽回來吧!除非能找
到一個更好的選擇。


to be continued......


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推 mywu:推翻譯...這篇原文太長了..趴克風真有耐心..
推 Tabris157:推
推 dean87014:推推
推 momoforever:謝謝翻譯：）
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推 lordray1:謝謝翻譯
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推 ciaaarz:推 辛苦了:)
推 lili71705:推翻譯
→ totorogod:推~~
推 shena30335:PUSH~
推 HaluY:推!!!