Re: [討論] 對Sepat雙眼牆的見解(From國外學者)

[dix (無情男)]

大概翻一下，有錯請指正，括弧就是不確定

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: Sepat provides another stunning example of the quandary facing the TC
: warning community.
: 1. Double eyewalls create a secondary wind max, potentially at a much
: larger radius than the original single eyewall.
雙眼牆颱風有第二個最大風速（wind max），其半徑範圍可能比原本單眼牆時大
: 2. If the inner eye collapses, the radius of max winds makes a step jump
: to a much larger radius.
內眼牆若崩潰，最大風速（max winds）半徑範圍會跳躍式上升
: 3. Even if the inner eye does not collapse, it typically becomes much
: weaker.
即使內眼牆沒崩潰，也會變弱
:   In both scenarios, the secondary eyewall and its associated high winds
: present a radically expanded wind field for those in its path during
: landfall. Coastal warnings, preparations and the expectations of all
: folks in the landfall region must realize that max winds will NOT be
: contained within the "typical" small inner core that encompasses 10s of
: km, but now can be multiple times larger in size.
不管內眼牆崩不崩潰，外眼牆在登陸時會有強風及大範圍（跟單眼牆比），而且要小心，
跟一般颱風的十幾公里眼牆比幾來，大了好幾倍
: Hurricane Katrina is the classic case, since it was in double eyewall
: mode at landfall and did NOT collapse the inner eye AND shrink the 2nd
: eyewall back to replace the inner eye prior to landfall.
卡催那就是典型例子，她在登陸時仍是雙眼牆，內眼牆並沒有崩潰被置換至第二眼牆
: Thus, not only are we faced with the usual landfall timing and max
: intensity dilemmas, our need has now advanced to "what eyewall cycle
: stage will the storm be in at landfall"?  This presents fascinating
: opportunities for research efforts on multiple fronts.
因此，現在不是只有看登陸時間和最大強度了，現在還要進步到看『颱風登陸時眼牆狀態
』：這是個值得研究的迷人課題之一
: Best wishes to our friends in Taiwan.
祝福在台灣的朋友


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◆ From: 59.117.217.226
→ chian1983:肛溫
※ 編輯: dix             來自: 59.117.217.226       (08/18 01:09)
→ rivali:你不確定那句番挫
推 KiYu:應該是指外眼牆縮回去形成單眼 所以內牆消失了??
推 demitri:卡崔納那段 應該是說 [登陸前第二眼牆"沒有"取代內眼牆。]
→ rivali:樓上對
→ rivali:http://tinyurl.com/2nm4gj   FYR
→ dix:那句感覺前後矛盾，我也不了，請高手解釋囉
推 demitri:not修飾後面整段-->NOT[collapse the inner...AND shrink]
→ demitri:所以是內眼牆既沒崩潰, 第二眼牆也沒取代內眼牆
推 KiYu:哈 謝謝r兄和d兄賜教<(_ _)>
※ 編輯: dix             來自: 59.117.217.226       (08/18 01:21)
推 dix:感謝d兄，果然通順多了
→ rivali:我亂玩ㄉ:P 在登陸時仍擁有雙眼牆的卡翠那就是個經典例子,
→ rivali:她的內眼牆沒有崩潰且外眼牆沒有收縮內眼牆就登陸了.