推 youngscott :EC一樣還在亂搞中.. 我去日本..我去菲律賓 我難產 XD 08/28 09:28
推 jelly777 :看起來會不會又是不好惹的傢伙XD 08/28 09:31
WTPN21 PGTW 272000
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 20.7N 148.6E TO 24.0N 145.4E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 22 TO 27 KNOTS. METSAT IM-
AGERY AT 271730Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 21.1N 148.2E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.5N
148.7E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 148.2E, APPROXIMATELY 435 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF IWO TO, JAPAN. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DEVELOP OVER THE LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH THE DEEPEST CONVECTION ON THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE LLCC ASSOCIATED WITH CONVERGENCE. A 271617Z
TRMM 85H IMAGE SUPPORTS THE TIGHT TURNING WITH THE DEEPEST
CONVECTION EXTENDING TO THE SOUTHWEST. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS
A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT, WITH MULTIPLE
OUTFLOW CHANNELS OVER THE SYSTEM. A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC
TROUGH CELL HAS DEVELOPED AROUND 26.1N 146.3E AND HAS HELPED TO
ENHANCE THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL. A TROUGH NEAR 22.7N 163.0E HAS
CONTINUED TO ALLOW GOOD OUTFLOW TO THE EAST. SOUTH OF THE LLCC UPPER
LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW HAS CONTINUED TO MAINTAIN AN EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW
CHANNEL. WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 22 TO 27
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
282000Z.//
NNNN
硫磺島東南東方
昨天一下中心附近對流爆發
越來越有樣子
相信不久可以得到命名
不過目前還遠要再看狀況
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