作者logdog (風暴之軌跡)
看板TY_Research
標題[祝賀]2009熱帶氣旋之王彩雲
時間Wed Sep 16 08:32:50 2009
TYPHOON 15W (CHOI-WAN) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
151800Z --- NEAR 18.2N 144.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N 144.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 19.4N 142.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS
彩雲眾望所歸
一舉擊敗了希梅娜(JIMENA 135KTS)
為西北太平洋搶下了2009年全球風王的王座
來到了140KTS
這跟海棠 娜比 西馬隆 聖帕等風王平起平坐
在JTWC的REASONING提到
彩雲內部眼強在過去這段時間
輻合有顯著的改善
而且眼牆有向外擴張的趨勢
且TUTT仍會提供良好的輻散一段時間
這個加強的過程還會持續
現在連薔蜜(145KTS)的紀錄都開始受到挑戰
JTWC也開始大方起來了.....
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※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 123.192.171.148
推 tcytc :結構到目前都還是無懈可擊,有機會到150KTS吧 09/16 08:41
→ tcytc :不過應該快到關鍵的轉彎路口囉... 09/16 08:41
→ tcytc :只是還沒看到他打方向燈XDD 09/16 08:43
推 killseven :150kts 跟梅米一樣強了 看能不能155kts 拼佳巴電母 09/16 08:44
推 SWW :不過雲系軸心變成南北方向了~ 09/16 08:50
推 killseven :不意外阿 這本來就是轉北的預兆 彩雲北轉篤定的 09/16 09:00
推 tcytc :要是會不轉,大概又是氣象學的靈異奇案XD 09/16 09:05
推 goldmark :眼睛變大了 09/16 09:33
→ aceliang :看成王彩樺 09/16 09:45
推 LionRafale :JTWC下修了....最高就140的樣子 09/16 16:30
推 BornFish :王彩樺XDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD 我大笑了 09/16 17:29
推 jeffh :本篇笑點:王彩樺XDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD 09/16 17:35
推 ilutc :推王彩樺XDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD 09/16 20:28
推 appro1986 :看了我也笑了 王彩樺 XD 09/16 20:41
推 fantasymew :2009熱帶氣旋之王彩樺@@ 09/17 20:59