[情報] 93W TCFA

作者tytony (混沌的大氣)

看板TY_Research

標題[情報] 93W TCFA

時間Wed Sep 1 23:12:28 2010

http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/wp9310.gif

WTPN21 PGTW 011500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.6N 142.3E TO 20.4N 136.3E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 17 TO 22 KNOTS. METSAT IM- AGERY AT 011200Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 142.1E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 142.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 142.1E, APPROXIMATELY 190 NM NORTHWEST OF GUAM. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS INCREASED CENTRAL CONVECTION OVER A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) AND A 010941Z SSMIS MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGE SHOWS IMPROVED LOW LEVEL INFLOW. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE, FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 17 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. DUE TO THE IMPROVED UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT AND INCREASE IN CENTRAL CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 021500Z.// NNNN -- (C)【分組討論區】大家好雲圖顯示【板主:zonslan/Jasy/tytony】 >國家研究院今天是個晴朗的天氣 □□□□□□□□□□□□□□□□□ >Academy 最適合出門約會了! □□□□□□□□□□□□□□□□□ >EarthEnviron \● □□□□□□□□□□□□□□□□□ >TY_Research > □□□□□□□□□□□□中央氣象局大氣 ●大氣科學板 ψQSWEET ∥ MTSAT 紅外線雲圖 03/22/2009 21:58 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 140.113.3.42

推 aa1477888 :來了Orz... 09/01 23:14

推 ducatio :升 09/01 23:14

推 web2312 :才剛說可能還不會TCFA,結果就看到這一篇= = 09/01 23:15

→ web2312 :從ASCAT風場掃描來看,西南側目前環流還很弱 09/01 23:16

推 aa1477888 :不讓人家休息的XDDD 09/01 23:17

→ web2312 :東北側則已經有接近30kts的風速 09/01 23:17

→ kopuck :這個會怎麼樣移動阿 09/01 23:17

推 jeffkent :93W是在哪個位置? 09/01 23:17

推 mingjui2009 :倒數第2行 021500Z... 是指他下次更新的時間嗎? 09/01 23:19

→ tytony :關島西北邊上面有寫...Y 09/01 23:19

→ tytony :回ming 沒錯 09/01 23:19

推 web2312 :對,不過有時會看情況提早升格,例如08W就是TCFA發布 09/01 23:19

→ web2312 :後3-4小時就直接上TS了 09/01 23:20

推 hcyevi07 :不看字也開一下圖吧 09/01 23:20

推 ducatio :風迷不用睡了XDD 09/01 23:28

推 typhoonnat :難道是颱風人生的劇本是一週一颱 09/01 23:29

推 SWW :多少柔情多少淚~~~~ 09/01 23:30

推 sam1115 :93W是康伯斯的尾巴形成的嗎？ 09/01 23:31

推 seismic :如果93W形成9號颱風的話這個名字是什麼呢?? 09/01 23:32

推 typhoonnat :下一個颱風的名字叫"瑪瑙" 09/01 23:33

推 hcyevi07 :93C對流也有爆發的跡象 09/01 23:33

推 tcytc :揪竟瑪瑙會不會讓馬惱呢？（似乎不是很好） 09/01 23:35

推 lahiboy :奇怪，怎麼我這邊網頁一直都打不開？ Q__Q 09/01 23:36

推 ducatio :我也沒辦法開XD 09/01 23:36

→ seismic :93C還在發展嗎?目前位置應該過170E 往160E邁進了吧!? 09/01 23:36

推 aa1477888 :http://ppt.cc/t4SV 93W還要慢慢來... 09/01 23:37

→ seismic :對呀這個TCFA網頁一直開不起來!! 09/01 23:37

推 hcyevi07 :93C已經撤編了....... 09/01 23:38

→ aa1477888 :93C消失了 Orz... 09/01 23:38

推 O4O520 :跟萊羅克會有互動嗎 09/01 23:39

推 ikaridon :等他升格萊羅克大概已經bye了 09/01 23:40

推 aa1477888 :93W TCFA修正-20 TO 25 KNOTS 移動速度:4kts 09/01 23:44

推 bruce345735 :93W拜託你別靠近台灣 09/01 23:47

推 jerryhu5602 :93w會在130E以東北上嗎還是來不及會被高壓壓住? 09/01 23:48

推 dsilver :台灣:你還來我都濕了... 09/01 23:50

→ seismic :一周預報太平洋高壓開始增強西伸93W要北轉應該很困難 09/01 23:52

推 SWW :試試這個jtwc http://tinyurl.com/342zq4t 09/01 23:58

推 seismic :網頁還是開不起來耶! 09/01 23:59

推 aa1477888 :http://www.usno.navy.mil/JTWC 09/02 00:01

→ aa1477888 :JTWC開不起來嗎? 09/02 00:02

→ seismic :還是不行耶算了放棄!! 09/02 00:04

→ judavida :打不開+1 09/02 00:05

→ aa1477888 :哪家的網路? 09/02 00:05

→ tytony :JTWC會擋好幾個ISP的IP 所以可能連不上 09/02 00:07

→ judavida :HINET 09/02 00:07

推 aa1477888 :<<<HINET 可以連上 09/02 00:09

→ aa1477888 :http://www.weather.org.hk/tc.html 09/02 00:10

→ aa1477888 :選聯合颱風警報中心(使用代理伺服器) 09/02 00:10

→ seismic :現在用香港的可以連上了謝謝! 09/02 00:21

→ makoto945 :索尼可連JTWC 09/02 00:22

推 navarra :95W也撤編了，現在就看93W；將來接近臺灣的機會不低 09/02 00:54

推 arcticircle :95W也被萊羅克吃了嗎.哈 09/02 01:11

→ physbook :已加代理 http://ppt.cc/b5Da 09/02 01:59

推 typhoonss821:從文字預報 JTWC認為08W(已升格TD)會在128E開始北上 09/02 07:06

→ typhoonss821: 10W 09/02 07:11

→ typhoonss821:http://bbs.typhoon.gov.cn/attachment/Mon_1009/11_ 09/02 07:14

→ typhoonss821:http://ppt.cc/VYD0 忘了縮= = 09/02 07:15

推 markshian :升格得真快,不過EC跟JTWC目前認為10W可能北轉@@ 09/02 08:05

推 zonslan :EC預測蠻奇特,看500hPa 5~6號台灣都被低壓包圍 09/02 08:41

→ sneak : JTWC開不起來嗎? https://muxiv.com 08/13 21:00

→ sneak : 一周預報太平洋高壓開始 https://noxiv.com 11/11 17:28