[情報] 95W TCFA

[DoraBoy (小多啦)]

1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
A 120 NM RADIUS OF 17.0N 108.8E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CY-
CLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.  WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO
BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 042300Z INDICATES THAT A
CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 108.8E.  THE SYSTEM IS
MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS.

2. REMARKS: AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 17.0N 108.8E,
APPROXIMATELY 80 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF HUE CITY, VIETNAM. RECENT
ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A RAPIDLY CONSOLIDATING
AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION. A 041857Z AMSU-B MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS A
COMMA-SHAPED BAND FEEDING INTO WHAT IS LIKELY A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). AN EARLIER ASCAT VERIFIES A LARGE
CYCLONIC WIND FIELD WITH WINDS APPROACHING GALE FORCE IN THE
NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT AS NORTHEASTERLY FLOW MOVING OFF OF EASTERN
CHINA CONVERGES INTO THE DISTURBANCE. HOWEVER, THE LOCATION OF THE
LLCC IS UNCERTAIN. VIGOROUS POLEWARD DIFFLUENCE AND LOW TO MODERATE
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS HELPED TO FUEL THE DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHING THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS GOOD.


http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/wp9510.gif


--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) 
◆ From: 125.227.88.97
推 NTOB        :先推在看
推 ICEFTP      :.......XD
推 kit279      :先推再說，以免被說看不懂英文.........淚奔.......
推 maverick01  :嗯嗯 是這樣沒錯 跟我想的差不多 只是用字太淺了XD
推 stone0504   :恩恩 原來如此 感謝分享               (其實看不懂)
→ DoraBoy     :看的懂還有圖最後兩句就好啦XD
→ DoraBoy     :看的懂最後兩句還有圖就好啦XD
→ DoraBoy     :簡單說就是未來24小時升格為14W的機會很高
推 physbook    :圖是壞的~~~