作者aa1477888 (TR3)
看板TY_Research
標題[情報] 01W生成 JMA-GW
時間Fri Feb 17 20:58:52 2012
WTPN31 PGTW 171500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W (ONE) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
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WARNING POSITION:
171200Z --- NEAR 9.6N 113.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 9.6N 113.8E
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FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 9.9N 112.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 10.2N 111.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 10.5N 110.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 11.0N 109.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 11.7N 107.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
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http://tinyurl.com/7nddh2h
http://tinyurl.com/6od868r
另外JMA已經發GW了 不過JMA一向對南海的TD....
可能形成今年第一號颱風-帕卡
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◆ From: 219.85.126.213
※ 編輯: aa1477888 來自: 219.85.126.213 (02/17 21:01)
推 snocia :正常狀況下,2月颱風連靠近台灣都很困難吧? 02/17 21:20
推 jeffkent :西部登陸@@ 應該只有輕度等級吧 02/17 21:22
推 ryanlin311 :自1972年有衛星觀測以來,第一個南海2月颱!!! 02/17 22:08
→ logdog :JMA最近對南海的系統變的比較積極 02/17 22:09
推 slcgboy :最近好冷 有最低溫的颱風的紀錄嗎? 02/17 22:38
→ truffaut :菲律賓逃過一劫 幾乎全年皆颱的國家 02/18 01:23
推 tytony :01W final warning~~ 02/18 08:39
→ aa1477888 :後面的93W也撤掉了... 02/18 12:20
推 DoraBoy :從駛流圖的變化來看 我覺得短期內(2~3天內)會先北上 02/18 18:33
→ DoraBoy :然後之後再看是會快速被網北北東拉走 或者再轉向西南 02/18 18:33
→ DoraBoy :兩者都有可能 02/18 18:34