Should coaches take a Technical?

[RonnieBrewer (Ronnie Brewer)]

Should coaches take a Technical?
By Roland Beech
Special to NBCSports.comPosted: Dec.3, 2006, 1:35 pm EST

文章前半略

2005-06 Regular Season "Post-Coach Technical" Stats
(League Totals)

Coach Technicals     Net Points    Net Fouls    Net FTA     Net T/O
        219            +183          -225         -48        -111


This is revealing: from the point a coach is whistled for a technical through
the end of the game, or until his counterpart on the other team gets whistled,
the "coach T'eed up team" was +183 net points on the year in the NBA last
season.

Keep in mind also, that the above stats include the technical foul issued for
the technical. So even giving up a point in most cases for the outburst, the
overall move was a positive it seems.

Particularly significant you might argue is that there does appear to be some
evidence that the officials do turn around and start giving some breaks to
the T'eed up coaches team - the opposition was called for 225 more fouls the
rest of the way (almost three more per forty-eight minutes).

While the opponents end up shooting slightly more free throws, that's again
including the one from the technical, so taking away 219 there, the net
after-effects from that is +171 more free throws for the angry coach team.

Turnovers likewise show a healthy boom for the T'eed up team with opponents
losing the ball 111 times more often, which includes a number of ref-whistled
violations as well as more general steals and lost balls (but even there the
officials can have influence in whether they call the contact before the
steal a foul and so on).

Of course this in no way proves any kind of officiating change, just suggests
it. All the effects may be due to the players on the coach's team playing
better, it could be a function of garbage time issues since often a technical
comes in a game that's out of hand.

The surface conclusion then is yes, a technical can actually give a team a
boost in the current game.

Looking into home versus away effects we find:

Team    Coach Technicals    Net Points    Net Fouls   Net FTA    Net T/O
Home          118             -22           -48         -170      -21
Away          101             +205          -177        +122      -90

So it's actually an away coach getting T'eed up that seems to bring about the
real beneficial effect. Indeed the net FTA difference is huge when you again
consider that the away sides are giving up 101 extra off the bat from the
technical.

Home coaches getting whistled still show less turnovers and fouls than their
opponents the rest of the way, but at a slight net points loss overall.

One final thought would be that some coaches may, ahem, wield a little more
clout than others. Which teams were the best and worst following a bench T?

Net Points following a Coaching Technical

+45.....Philadelphia
+42.....San Antonio
+40.....Detroit
+38.....Boston
+32.....Phoenix, Utah
+25.....Miami

-16.....Chicago
-22.....New York
-29.....Seattle
-38.....New Orleans/Oklahoma City
-42.....Milwaukee
-48.....Toronto

The teams bouncing back off the technical certainly include some of the strong
contenders (Detroit, Miami, San Antonio, Phoenix was almost the final four
last season) and along with the powerhouse coaches guys like Jerry Sloan and
Mo Cheeks may get extra respect from the refs.

On the other end you have some of the teams that already made a move to
replace last year's coaches (Seattle in midseason, New York…well however you
want to describe the Larry Brown mess) along with two coaches most on the hot
season this year in Stotts (Milwaukee) and Mitchell (Toronto).

Once again we have to add the disclaimed that the samples on specific teams
are tiny indeed, but overall yes, if the game is not going well get a little
vocal coach!


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