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Two Brilliant Points About The Present, Future
By Tim Legler
ESPN.com
We saw the game's two great young point guards in action on Monday night.
Both Chris Paul of New Orleans and Deron Williams of Utah have led their
teams to good starts.
The two third-year point guards naturally invite comparison, with Williams
having been picked one spot ahead of Paul in the 2005 NBA draft. Both teams
they run are off to 6-2 starts. Both are playing great basketball. Williams
entered Monday's game averaging 21 points and 10.4 assists per game, then
posted six points and seven assists in a 117-93 blowout win over Sacramento.
Paul's team needed some heroics, and he hit the winning layup in an 84-82 win
in New Jersey. He finished with 27 points, having entered the game averaging
18.1 points and 11.1 assists per game.
Paul's got the early statistical edge in steals (2.9 to 1.0) and rebounds
(4.4 to 3.1). Williams has the advantage in 3-point field goal percentage
(48 to 36).
First, let's look at Paul. He has put up great numbers, but the thing I like
about him the best is he's a great decision maker. Since he first had the ball
in his hands at the NBA level, he was the leader of that team.
This is important. More than any other position, point guard is the most
difficult to play in the NBA. As a rookie, those guys are timid around
veterans and won't say "No, I've got the ball, and I know what I'm doing."
His leadership and poise are beyond his years.
He missed time last year, and some say smaller point guards are prone to
injuries. But I don't think durability is going to be a big deal for him.
When you're at that level of talent, and he's long been playing at that size,
he'll avoid many hits when finishing on bigger guys in the paint. He's going
to have his share of nicks and dings, but I think he's learned how to avoid
the big contact.
One thing I noticed is that some teams try to post him up at 6-feet, 175
pounds -- it reminds me how teams would post up Muggsy Bogues, which only
served to get them out of their game plan.
When Paul's in traffic, if he gets his hands on the ball, it's often his.
We saw this when he stole the ball late in Monday's game to set up Morris
Peterson's four-point play. He has tremendous strength in his wrists and
forearms.
As good as he's playing, one would think he could become an All-Star soon.
But just like the power forward position is overloaded with talent in the
West, so too is the point guard position.
As long as Steve Nash is there, along with Tony Parker and Baron Davis, and
of course Allen Iverson is listed as a point guard -- well, it's going to be
tough. He might not play in an All-Star Game for three or four years. If the
Hornets keep playing this well, and they get off to a 30-18 start or so, he's
got a great chance to get in. Otherwise, he's probably not going to get in
until the other guys fade.
Williams, however, will be an All-Star this season. What he did in the
playoffs last season put him on the map as probably a top four point guard
in the league.
The guy was a better NBA player at the start of his career than I thought.
I didn't know he had this quickness, and he likes to get one step on you,
creating space by using his upper body. I didn't realize he had that knack.
I underestimated him.
And he's certainly worked hard to get where he is. When I talk to people in
Utah, they say they can't get him out of the gym -- a great example of a guy
who improved through hard work. I think his catch-and-shoot looks are more
consistent and he's a phenomenal finisher.
One thing he needs to be more consistent with is what he creates off the
pick-and-roll. He's got to get more consistent in the midrange game. On the
pick-and-roll, the defender is going underneath the pick and daring him to
hit that shot. Of course, that's nitpicking by me.
I've played for Jazz coach Jerry Sloan; he's tough on you. He's got great
knowledge, and once he gets on you, that's a difficult place to get out
from under. You've got to be thick skinned. Williams seems to have that.
Let's turn the clock ahead five years. The top point guards like Nash and
Jason Kidd are going to have to slow down by then. That's when we could see
the time where these are the top two point guards, along with Parker, out
there.
Your best playing years are usually from age 27 to 32. That's when you have
the best balance of experience and physical talent. And your team's front
office has had time to surround you with the right players.
If I had to take one, I'd pick Williams, because I think he's got a little
bit more in each area. I like a point guard with more size (6-3, 208 pounds)
who's more physical, who can take contact at the rim.
Still, you're not going to go wrong with either guy.
ESPN analyst Tim Legler is a former NBA 3-point champion
http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/dailydime?page=dime-071113
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